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18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

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18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

Primera Division · Round 12
Deportivo Maldonado
Danubio FC
23:30Sat
50%
23%
Draw27%

Deportivo Maldonado are the stronger side

WWWDW

last 5 games

LWLWW

last 5 games

Stadium
Estadio Domingo Burgueno Miguel, Maldonado · 22,000 seats
Managers
Gabriel Di Noia · Leonel Rocco
Preview

Deportivo Maldonado are 2nd of 16 in Primera Division 2026, Apertura, with 29 points from 15 games played.

Danubio FC are 11th of 16, with 18 points from 15 games played.

Over their last 10, Deportivo Maldonado scored 2.2 and conceded 0.5 a game on average, and both teams scored in 40% of those.

Danubio FC scored 1.2 and conceded 1.2 a game over the same span, and both teams scored in 40%.

Deportivo Maldonado last played Albion (at home) and won 4-1.

Danubio FC last played Central Espanol (at home) and won 1-0.

Head-to-head, Deportivo Maldonado has 2W 2D 2L from the last 6 meetings, averaging 3.17 goals a game.

Last 5 matches

Every competition. Scores are coloured from each team's side: green won, orange drew, red lost. Tap the arrow to see the first half.

18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

Deportivo Maldonado
4Win1Draw0Loss
Copa Uruguay, Group C
23 Sep 2026 · 00:00
CerroC
1-2
DMDep Maldonado
Primera Division, Clausura
27 Sep 2026 · 01:30
Montevideo CityMC
0-2
DMDep Maldonado
Primera Division, Clausura
03 Oct 2026 · 22:00
Dep MaldonadoDM
3-0
CE
Danubio FC
3Win0Draw2Loss
Primera Division, Clausura
27 Sep 2026 · 22:00
DefensorD
1-0
DDanubio
Primera Division, Clausura
04 Oct 2026 · 14:00
DanubioD
2-1
CLCerro Largo
Primera Division, Clausura
09 Oct 2026 · 21:00
Montevideo CityMC
1-0
DDanubio

First half goals

Goals scoredper gameGoals concededper game
10.300
30.820.5

Final goals

Goals scoredper gameGoals concededper game
122.430.6
91.830.6
Events
Team

Dep Maldonado haven't lost in 14 of their last 15 home matches

Deportivo Maldonado or draw · 78% chance
14 / 15
Unbeaten

Danubio haven't won in 14 of their last 15 away matches in Primera Division

Deportivo Maldonado or draw · 78% chance
14 / 15
Winless

Dep Maldonado haven't lost in 13 of their last 15 matches

Deportivo Maldonado or draw · 78% chance
13 / 15
Unbeaten

13 of Dep Maldonado's last 15 home matches had over 1.5 goals

Over 1.5 goals · 71% chance
13 / 15
Total goals: +1.5

Dep Maldonado scored in 13 of their last 15 home matches

Deportivo Maldonado over 0.5 goals · 78% chanceDeportivo Maldonado over 1.5 goals · 45% chance
13 / 15
Goals scored

Dep Maldonado drew or saw over 2.5 goals in 13 of their last 15 home matches

A draw or over 2.5 goals · 67% chance
13 / 15
Drew or over 2.5 goals

13 of Dep Maldonado's last 15 away matches had under 3.5 goals

Under 3.5 goals · 76% chance
13 / 15
Total goals: -3.5

13 of Dep Maldonado's last 15 matches had under 3.5 goals in Primera Division

Under 3.5 goals · 76% chance
13 / 15
Total goals: -3.5

A pattern in past results, not a prediction. Each one shows the longest run of recent games where it held at least 80% of the time.

Standings of Deportivo Maldonado and Danubio FC in Primera Division, Clausura

#
Team
MP
W
D
L
GD
Pts
PPG
Last 5
1
RC
Racing Club MontevideoWLLLD
15
9
4
2
+9
31
2.07
WLLLD
2
DM
Deportivo MaldonadoDWWWL
15
9
2
4
+8
29
1.93
DWWWL
3
AF
Albion FCWWWLL
15
8
4
3
+10
28
1.87
WWWLL
4
CP
CA Penarol MontevideoLDWDW
15
8
3
4
+7
27
1.8
LDWDW
5
CE
Central Espanol FCLLLLL
15
7
3
5
+1
24
1.6
LLLLL
6
MC
Montevideo City TorqueLWLDL
15
6
5
4
+6
23
1.53
LWLDL
7
CN
Club Nacional de FootballWWWWD
15
7
1
7
+5
22
1.47
WWWWD
8
DS
Defensor SportingLLLWL
15
5
6
4
+2
21
1.4
LLLWL
9
LM
Liverpool MontevideoWDWWD
15
5
5
5
+2
20
1.33
WDWWD
10
MW
Montevideo WanderersLLWWD
15
6
2
7
-5
20
1.33
LLWWD
11
DF
Danubio FCWLWLD
15
4
6
5
-4
18
1.2
WLWLD
12
CL
Cerro Largo FCDLLLL
15
5
2
8
-3
17
1.13
DLLLL
13
CB
CA Boston RiverWWDLL
15
5
2
8
-6
17
1.13
WWDLL
14
CJ
CA Juventud de Las PiedrasLWDDW
15
4
3
8
-5
15
1
LWDDW
15
CP
CA ProgresoWDLWW
15
2
4
9
-11
10
0.67
WDLWW
16
CC
CA CerroDWLDL
15
2
4
9
-16
10
0.67
DWLDL
Playoffs

Deportivo Maldonado vs Danubio FC: pre-match stats

For each team, in how many of its recent matches did this happen? Based on its last 10 matches, in any competition.

Part of the match
Which matches
What to look at
Total goals in the match: over or under 0.5
Deportivo Maldonado
Under
0% · 0 of 10
Over
100% · 10 of 10
Danubio FC
Under
0% · 0 of 10
Over
100% · 10 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 1.5
Deportivo Maldonado
Under
10% · 1 of 10
Over
90% · 9 of 10
Danubio FC
Under
30% · 3 of 10
Over
70% · 7 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 2.5
Deportivo Maldonado
Under
60% · 6 of 10
Over
40% · 4 of 10
Danubio FC
Under
70% · 7 of 10
Over
30% · 3 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 3.5
Deportivo Maldonado
Under
80% · 8 of 10
Over
20% · 2 of 10
Danubio FC
Under
80% · 8 of 10
Over
20% · 2 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 4.5
Deportivo Maldonado
Under
80% · 8 of 10
Over
20% · 2 of 10
Danubio FC
Under
90% · 9 of 10
Over
10% · 1 of 10
Our three best bets
Under 3.5 · total goals
76% chance
Deportivo Maldonado or Danubio FC
72% chance
Deportivo Maldonado (draw no bet)
69% chance
Best value
Under 3.5 · total goals
76% chance
Over 1.5 · total goals
71% chance
Deportivo Maldonado
Last 10 games
2.2
scored a game
0.5
conceded a game
Both teams scored40% of games
Over 2.5 goals40% of games
Kept a clean sheet50% of games
Danubio FC
Last 10 games
1.2
scored a game
1.2
conceded a game
Both teams scored40% of games
Over 2.5 goals30% of games
Kept a clean sheet20% of games
No injury list for this league, so absences are unknown — this isn't the same as "no injuries".
Deportivo Maldonado
Danubio FC
Central Espanol
Primera Division, Clausura
09 Oct 2026 · 00:00
Dep MaldonadoDM
1-1
LMLiverpool M
Copa Uruguay, Knockout Stage
15 Oct 2026 · 01:00
Dep MaldonadoDM
4-1
AAlbion
Goals scored
12
2.4 per game
Goals conceded
3
0.6 per game
Copa Uruguay, Knockout Stage
15 Oct 2026 · 20:00
Central EspanolCE
0-6
DDanubio
Primera Division, Clausura
18 Oct 2026 · 19:00
DanubioD
1-0
CECentral Espanol
Goals scored
9
1.8 per game
Goals conceded
3
0.6 per game