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18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

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18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

Liga DIMAYOR · Round 14
Atletico Nacional
AD Pasto
02:00Fri
75%
9%
Draw16%

Atletico Nacional are the stronger side

DWDWW

last 5 games

LWWLD

last 5 games

Stadium
Estadio Atanasio Girardot, Medellin · 44,863 seats
Managers
Lucas Gonzalez · Diego Merino Rivera
Preview

Atletico Nacional are 1st of 20 in Apertura, with 40 points from 19 games played.

AD Pasto are 3rd of 20, with 34 points from 19 games played.

Over their last 10, Atletico Nacional scored 2 and conceded 1 a game on average, and both teams scored in 60% of those.

AD Pasto scored 0.7 and conceded 1.5 a game over the same span, and both teams scored in 40%.

Atletico Nacional last played Boyaca Chico (away) and won 4-1.

AD Pasto last played Fortaleza (at home) and drew 0-0.

Head-to-head, Atletico Nacional has 5W 1D 0L from the last 6 meetings, averaging 2.83 goals a game.

Last 5 matches

Every competition. Scores are coloured from each team's side: green won, orange drew, red lost. Tap the arrow to see the first half.

18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

Atletico Nacional
3Win2Draw0Loss
Club Friendly Games
26 Sep 2026 · 21:30
Atletico NacionalAN
1-1
CChapecoense
Liga DIMAYOR, Finalizacion
01 Oct 2026 · 02:00
Atletico NacionalAN
3-1
JJunior
Liga DIMAYOR, Finalizacion
08 Oct 2026 · 00:05
Atletico NacionalAN
0-0
T
AD Pasto
2Win1Draw2Loss
Copa DIMAYOR, Knockout Stage
10 Sep 2026 · 02:10
PastoP
1-4
IMInd. Medellin
Liga DIMAYOR, Finalizacion
15 Sep 2026 · 02:00
America CaliAC
0-1
PPasto
Liga DIMAYOR, Finalizacion
20 Sep 2026 · 02:15
PastoP
1-0
OCOnce Caldas

First half goals

Goals scoredper gameGoals concededper game
61.220.4
0020.4

Final goals

Goals scoredper gameGoals concededper game
112.251
30.671.4
Events
Team

Atletico Nacional didn't draw in 15 of their last 15 away matches

Atletico Nacional or AD Pasto (no draw) · 84% chance
15 / 15
No draws

Atletico Nacional haven't lost in 14 of their last 15 home matches

Atletico Nacional or draw · 91% chance
14 / 15
Unbeaten

Atletico Nacional scored in 14 of their last 15 home matches

Atletico Nacional over 1.5 goals · 70% chance
14 / 15
Goals scored

Pasto didn't draw in 14 of their last 15 home matches

Atletico Nacional or AD Pasto (no draw) · 84% chance
14 / 15
No draws

14 of Pasto's last 15 home matches had under 3.5 goals in Liga DIMAYOR

Under 3.5 goals · 62% chance
14 / 15
Total goals: -3.5

Atletico Nacional haven't lost in 13 of their last 15 matches

Atletico Nacional or draw · 91% chance
13 / 15
Unbeaten

13 of Atletico Nacional's last 15 matches had over 1.5 goals

Over 1.5 goals · 82% chance
13 / 15
Total goals: +1.5

13 of Atletico Nacional's last 15 home matches had over 1.5 goals

Over 1.5 goals · 82% chance
13 / 15
Total goals: +1.5

A pattern in past results, not a prediction. Each one shows the longest run of recent games where it held at least 80% of the time.

Standings of Atletico Nacional and AD Pasto in Liga DIMAYOR, Finalizacion

#
Team
MP
W
D
L
GD
Pts
PPG
Last 5
1
AN
Atletico NacionalWDWDL
19
13
1
5
+20
40
2.11
WDWDL
2
CJ
CD Junior FCDDDLL
19
11
2
6
+7
35
1.84
DDDLL
3
AP
AD PastoDLWWD
19
10
4
5
+4
34
1.79
DLWWD
4
AD
America de CaliDLWWD
19
10
3
6
+10
33
1.74
DLWWD
5
CO
CD Once CaldasWWDLL
19
8
9
2
+9
33
1.74
WWDLL
6
CT
CD TolimaLLDDD
19
8
7
4
+10
31
1.63
LLDDD
7
IS
Independiente Santa FeLWWLW
19
7
8
4
+7
29
1.53
LWWLW
8
ID
Internacional de Bogota.DDDLL
19
7
7
5
0
28
1.47
DDDLL
9
DC
Deportivo CaliDDWWW
19
7
6
6
+4
27
1.42
DDWWW
10
MF
Millonarios FCWDDDW
19
7
5
7
+8
26
1.37
WDDDW
11
IM
Independiente MedellinLWLDL
19
7
5
7
+2
26
1.37
LWLDL
12
AD
Aguilas Doradas RionegroWDDWL
19
7
5
7
-5
26
1.37
WDDWL
13
CB
CA BucaramangaDDWWW
19
5
8
6
+6
23
1.21
DDWWW
14
LF
Llaneros FCWLLLW
19
4
10
5
-3
22
1.16
WLLLW
15
FF
Fortaleza FCDDDLD
19
5
7
7
-5
22
1.16
DDDLD
16
JD
Jaguares de CordobaLWLLL
19
5
3
11
-13
18
0.95
LWLLL
17
AF
Alianza FC ValleduparDLWLW
19
3
8
8
-14
17
0.89
DLWLW
18
BC
Boyaca Chico FCLLDWL
19
5
2
12
-17
17
0.89
LLDWL
19
CD
Cucuta Deportivo FCWWWLL
19
3
7
9
-13
16
0.84
WWWLL
20
DP
Deportivo Pereira FC SADDLLD
19
1
7
11
-17
10
0.53
DDLLD
Playoffs

Atletico Nacional vs AD Pasto: pre-match stats

For each team, in how many of its recent matches did this happen? Based on its last 10 matches, in any competition.

Part of the match
Which matches
What to look at
Total goals in the match: over or under 0.5
Atletico Nacional
Under
10% · 1 of 10
Over
90% · 9 of 10
AD Pasto
Under
10% · 1 of 10
Over
90% · 9 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 1.5
Atletico Nacional
Under
10% · 1 of 10
Over
90% · 9 of 10
AD Pasto
Under
40% · 4 of 10
Over
60% · 6 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 2.5
Atletico Nacional
Under
50% · 5 of 10
Over
50% · 5 of 10
AD Pasto
Under
60% · 6 of 10
Over
40% · 4 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 3.5
Atletico Nacional
Under
60% · 6 of 10
Over
40% · 4 of 10
AD Pasto
Under
80% · 8 of 10
Over
20% · 2 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 4.5
Atletico Nacional
Under
70% · 7 of 10
Over
30% · 3 of 10
AD Pasto
Under
90% · 9 of 10
Over
10% · 1 of 10
Our three best bets
Atletico Nacional to win
76% chance
Under 3.5 · total goals
62% chance
both teams to score: No
54% chance
Best value
Atletico Nacional to win
76% chance
Over 2.5 · total goals
60% chance
Atletico Nacional
Last 10 games
2
scored a game
1
conceded a game
Both teams scored60% of games
Over 2.5 goals50% of games
Kept a clean sheet30% of games
AD Pasto
Last 10 games
0.7
scored a game
1.5
conceded a game
Both teams scored40% of games
Over 2.5 goals40% of games
Kept a clean sheet30% of games
Atletico Nacional
  • Out · James Rodriguez (Midfielder) — Other
AD Pasto

Nobody listed.

Tolima
Copa DIMAYOR, Knockout Stage
15 Oct 2026 · 02:30
Atletico NacionalAN
3-2
IMInd. Medellin
Liga DIMAYOR, Finalizacion
17 Oct 2026 · 21:00
Boyaca ChicoBC
1-4
ANAtletico Nacional
Goals scored
11
2.2 per game
Goals conceded
5
1 per game
Liga DIMAYOR, Finalizacion
25 Sep 2026 · 00:10
Boyaca ChicoBC
3-0
PPasto
Liga DIMAYOR, Finalizacion
04 Oct 2026 · 20:00
PastoP
0-0
FFortaleza
Goals scored
3
0.6 per game
Goals conceded
7
1.4 per game