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18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

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18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

UEFA Europa League · Round 3
Bournemouth
AC Milan
20:00Thu
43%
31%
Draw26%

Bournemouth are the stronger side

WLLWW

last 5 games

LWDWW

last 5 games

Stadium
Vitality Stadium, Bournemouth · 11,307 seats
Managers
Marco Rose · Ruben Amorim
Preview

Bournemouth are 5th of 36 in UEFA Europa League 26/27, with 6 points from 2 games played.

AC Milan are 16th of 36, with 3 points from 2 games played.

Over their last 10, Bournemouth scored 1.8 and conceded 1.4 a game on average, and both teams scored in 60% of those.

AC Milan scored 2.2 and conceded 1.1 a game over the same span, and both teams scored in 60%.

Bournemouth last played Sunderland (at home) and won 2-0.

AC Milan last played Atalanta (at home) and won 3-2.

Head-to-head, Bournemouth has 0W 0D 1L from the last 1 meetings, averaging 3 goals a game.

Last 5 matches

Every competition. Scores are coloured from each team's side: green won, orange drew, red lost. Tap the arrow to see the first half.

18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

Bournemouth
3Win0Draw2Loss
UEFA Europa League
17 Sep 2026 · 20:00
Real SociedadRS
1-2
BBournemouth
Premier League
20 Sep 2026 · 14:00
BournemouthB
0-1
LLiverpool
Premier League
10 Oct 2026 · 15:00
ChelseaC
5-1
BBournemouth
AC Milan
3Win1Draw1Loss
UEFA Europa League
16 Sep 2026 · 20:00
MilanM
0-2
SBSL Benfica
Serie A
20 Sep 2026 · 19:45
MilanM
3-0
LLecce
Serie A
11 Oct 2026 · 17:00
SassuoloS
1-1
MMilan

First half goals

Goals scoredper gameGoals concededper game
40.820.4
5110.2

Final goals

Goals scoredper gameGoals concededper game
81.671.4
112.251
Events
Team

15 of Bournemouth's last 15 matches had a goal in the 2nd half

Over 0.5 goals in the 2nd half · 81% chance
15 / 15
Total goals 2nd Half: +0.5

15 of Milan's last 15 matches had over 1.5 goals

Over 1.5 goals · 79% chance
15 / 15
Total goals: +1.5

15 of Milan's last 15 matches had a goal in the 2nd half

Over 0.5 goals in the 2nd half · 81% chance
15 / 15
Total goals 2nd Half: +0.5

14 of Bournemouth's last 15 matches had over 1.5 goals

Over 1.5 goals · 79% chance
14 / 15
Total goals: +1.5

14 of Bournemouth's last 15 matches had a goal in the 1st half

Over 0.5 goals in the 1st half · 72% chance
14 / 15
Total goals 1st Half: +0.5

Bournemouth scored in 14 of their last 15 matches

Bournemouth over 0.5 goals · 80% chanceBournemouth over 1.5 goals · 47% chance
14 / 15
Goals scored

Bournemouth haven't lost in 14 of their last 15 home matches

Bournemouth or draw · 69% chance
14 / 15
Unbeaten

14 of Bournemouth's last 15 home matches had a goal in the 2nd half

Over 0.5 goals in the 2nd half · 81% chance
14 / 15
Total goals 2nd Half: +0.5

A pattern in past results, not a prediction. Each one shows the longest run of recent games where it held at least 80% of the time.

Standings of Bournemouth and AC Milan in UEFA Europa League

#
Team
MP
W
D
L
GD
Pts
PPG
Last 5
1
JT
Juventus TurinWW
2
2
0
0
+6
6
3
WW
2
BL
Bayer LeverkusenWW
2
2
0
0
+6
6
3
WW
3
SB
SL BenficaWWWWD
2
2
0
0
+5
6
3
WWWWD
4
BI
Besiktas IstanbulWWLWW
2
2
0
0
+4
6
3
WWLWW
5
AB
AFC BournemouthWW
2
2
0
0
+4
6
3
WW
6
AO
AC Omonia NicosiaWWWLW
2
2
0
0
+4
6
3
WWWLW
7
FB
Ferencvarosi BudapestWWWWD
2
2
0
0
+3
6
3
WWWWD
8
OL
Olympique LyonWW
2
2
0
0
+2
6
3
WW
9
SA
Sunderland AFCWW
2
2
0
0
+2
6
3
WW
10
OP
Olympiacos PiraeusWW
2
2
0
0
+2
6
3
WW
11
SP
Sparta PragueDW
2
1
1
0
+3
4
2
DW
12
US
Union Saint-GilloiseDW
2
1
1
0
+3
4
2
DW
13
SR
Stade Rennais FCWD
2
1
1
0
+1
4
2
WD
14
GD
GNK Dinamo ZagrebWD
2
1
1
0
+1
4
2
WD
15
CP
Crystal PalaceLW
2
1
0
1
+3
3
1.5
LW
16
AM
AC MilanWL
2
1
0
1
+2
3
1.5
WL
17
JB
Jagiellonia BialystokWLWWD
2
1
0
1
+1
3
1.5
WLWWD
18
OC
OFI CreteLWWW
2
1
0
1
+1
3
1.5
LWWW
19
ST
SCU TorreenseLW
2
1
0
1
0
3
1.5
LW
20
AA
AZ AlkmaarWL
2
1
0
1
0
3
1.5
WL
21
FS
FC SalzburgLWWWD
2
1
0
1
-3
3
1.5
LWWWD
22
LS
Lillestroem SKDLWD
2
0
1
1
-1
1
0.5
DLWD
22
RS
Real Sociedad San SebastianDL
2
0
1
1
-1
1
0.5
DL
24
HB
Hapoel Be`er Sheva FCLD
2
0
1
1
-1
1
0.5
LD
24
PL
PFC Levski SofiaDL
2
0
1
1
-1
1
0.5
DL
26
SS
SK Sturm GrazLD
2
0
1
1
-3
1
0.5
LD
27
NN
NEC NijmegenDL
2
0
1
1
-5
1
0.5
DL
28
RC
RC Celta de VigoLL
2
0
0
2
-2
0
0
LL
28
RA
RSC AnderlechtLLWWW
2
0
0
2
-2
0
0
LLWWW
30
TH
TSG HoffenheimLL
2
0
0
2
-3
0
0
LL
31
FV
FC Viktoria PlzenLLWL
2
0
0
2
-4
0
0
LLWL
31
OM
Olympique MarseilleLL
2
0
0
2
-4
0
0
LL
33
CG
Celtic GlasgowLL
2
0
0
2
-5
0
0
LL
33
FA
FC Ararat-ArmeniaLLWD
2
0
0
2
-5
0
0
LLWD
35
NC
NK CeljeLL
2
0
0
2
-5
0
0
LL
36
KL
KKS Lech PoznanLLDWW
2
0
0
2
-8
0
0
LLDWW
Playoffs Qualification Playoffs

Bournemouth vs AC Milan: pre-match stats

For each team, in how many of its recent matches did this happen? Based on its last 10 matches, in any competition.

Part of the match
Which matches
What to look at
Total goals in the match: over or under 0.5
Bournemouth
Under
0% · 0 of 10
Over
100% · 10 of 10
AC Milan
Under
0% · 0 of 10
Over
100% · 10 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 1.5
Bournemouth
Under
10% · 1 of 10
Over
90% · 9 of 10
AC Milan
Under
0% · 0 of 10
Over
100% · 10 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 2.5
Bournemouth
Under
30% · 3 of 10
Over
70% · 7 of 10
AC Milan
Under
40% · 4 of 10
Over
60% · 6 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 3.5
Bournemouth
Under
60% · 6 of 10
Over
40% · 4 of 10
AC Milan
Under
60% · 6 of 10
Over
40% · 4 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 4.5
Bournemouth
Under
90% · 9 of 10
Over
10% · 1 of 10
AC Milan
Under
80% · 8 of 10
Over
20% · 2 of 10
Our three best bets
Bournemouth or AC Milan
74% chance
Under 3.5 · total goals
66% chance
both teams to score: Yes
59% chance
Best value
Under 3.5 · total goals
66% chance
both teams to score: Yes
59% chance
Bournemouth
Last 10 games
1.8
scored a game
1.4
conceded a game
Both teams scored60% of games
Over 2.5 goals70% of games
Kept a clean sheet30% of games
AC Milan
Last 10 games
2.2
scored a game
1.1
conceded a game
Both teams scored60% of games
Over 2.5 goals60% of games
Kept a clean sheet30% of games
Bournemouth
  • Out · Julian Araujo (Defender) — Injured
  • Out · Eli Junior Kroupi (Forward) — Injured
  • VMOut · Veljko Milosavljevic (Defender) — Injured
  • Out · Alex Scott (Midfielder) — Injured
AC Milan
  • Out · Alexis Saelemaekers (Midfielder) — Injured
  • Out · Matteo Gabbia (Defender) — Injured
UEFA Europa League
15 Oct 2026 · 20:00
BournemouthB
3-0
SGSturm Graz
Premier League
18 Oct 2026 · 14:00
BournemouthB
2-0
SSunderland
Goals scored
8
1.6 per game
Goals conceded
7
1.4 per game
UEFA Europa League
15 Oct 2026 · 17:45
SalzburgS
0-4
MMilan
Serie A
18 Oct 2026 · 17:00
MilanM
3-2
AAtalanta
Goals scored
11
2.2 per game
Goals conceded
5
1 per game