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18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

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18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

UEFA Europa League · Round 3
Sturm Graz
Marseille
17:45Thu
28%
46%
Draw26%

Marseille are the stronger side

DLWLW

last 5 games

LLWLW

last 5 games

Stadium
Merkur Arena, Graz · 16,364 seats
Managers
Fabio Ingolitsch · Bruno Genesio
Preview

Sturm Graz are 26th of 36 in UEFA Europa League 26/27, with 1 points from 2 games played.

Marseille are 31st of 36, with 0 points from 2 games played.

Over their last 10, Sturm Graz scored 1.7 and conceded 1.3 a game on average, and both teams scored in 50% of those.

Marseille scored 1.6 and conceded 1.7 a game over the same span, and both teams scored in 50%.

Sturm Graz last played GAK (at home) and won 6-1.

Marseille last played Angers (away) and won 5-2.

Last 5 matches

Every competition. Scores are coloured from each team's side: green won, orange drew, red lost. Tap the arrow to see the first half.

Sturm Graz

18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

2Win1Draw2Loss
UEFA Europa League
16 Sep 2026 · 20:00
Sturm GrazSG
0-0
SRStade Rennais
Bundesliga
20 Sep 2026 · 16:00
SalzburgS
3-0
SGSturm Graz
Bundesliga
10 Oct 2026 · 18:30
AustriaA
0-2
SGSturm Graz
Marseille
2Win0Draw3Loss
UEFA Europa League
17 Sep 2026 · 20:00
BesiktasB
4-1
MMarseille
Ligue 1
20 Sep 2026 · 19:45
MarseilleM
1-2
PPSG
Ligue 1
11 Oct 2026 · 19:45
TroyesT
0-2
MMarseille

First half goals

Goals scoredper gameGoals concededper game
40.820.4
30.630.6

Final goals

Goals scoredper gameGoals concededper game
81.671.4
91.891.8
Events
Team

15 of Sturm Graz's last 15 away matches had over 1.5 goals

Over 1.5 goals · 80% chance
15 / 15
Total goals: +1.5

Marseille didn't draw in 15 of their last 15 matches

Sturm Graz or Marseille (no draw) · 73% chance
15 / 15
No draws

14 of Sturm Graz's last 15 home matches had a goal in the 2nd half

Over 0.5 goals in the 2nd half · 81% chance
14 / 15
Total goals 2nd Half: +0.5

14 of Marseille's last 15 matches had a goal in the 2nd half

Over 0.5 goals in the 2nd half · 81% chance
14 / 15
Total goals 2nd Half: +0.5

Marseille didn't draw in 14 of their last 15 home matches

Sturm Graz or Marseille (no draw) · 73% chance
14 / 15
No draws

14 of Marseille's last 15 home matches had a goal in the 2nd half

Over 0.5 goals in the 2nd half · 81% chance
14 / 15
Total goals 2nd Half: +0.5

Marseille didn't draw in 14 of their last 15 away matches

Sturm Graz or Marseille (no draw) · 73% chance
14 / 15
No draws

13 of Sturm Graz's last 15 matches had over 8.5 corners

Over 8.5 corners · 62% chance
13 / 15
Corners: +8.5

A pattern in past results, not a prediction. Each one shows the longest run of recent games where it held at least 80% of the time.

Standings of Sturm Graz and Marseille in UEFA Europa League

#
Team
MP
W
D
L
GD
Pts
PPG
Last 5
1
JT
Juventus TurinWW
2
2
0
0
+6
6
3
WW
2
BL
Bayer LeverkusenWW
2
2
0
0
+6
6
3
WW
3
SB
SL BenficaWWWWD
2
2
0
0
+5
6
3
WWWWD
4
BI
Besiktas IstanbulWWLWW
2
2
0
0
+4
6
3
WWLWW
5
AB
AFC BournemouthWW
2
2
0
0
+4
6
3
WW
6
AO
AC Omonia NicosiaWWWLW
2
2
0
0
+4
6
3
WWWLW
7
FB
Ferencvarosi BudapestWWWWD
2
2
0
0
+3
6
3
WWWWD
8
OL
Olympique LyonWW
2
2
0
0
+2
6
3
WW
9
SA
Sunderland AFCWW
2
2
0
0
+2
6
3
WW
10
OP
Olympiacos PiraeusWW
2
2
0
0
+2
6
3
WW
11
SP
Sparta PragueDW
2
1
1
0
+3
4
2
DW
12
US
Union Saint-GilloiseDW
2
1
1
0
+3
4
2
DW
13
SR
Stade Rennais FCWD
2
1
1
0
+1
4
2
WD
14
GD
GNK Dinamo ZagrebWD
2
1
1
0
+1
4
2
WD
15
CP
Crystal PalaceLW
2
1
0
1
+3
3
1.5
LW
16
AM
AC MilanWL
2
1
0
1
+2
3
1.5
WL
17
JB
Jagiellonia BialystokWLWWD
2
1
0
1
+1
3
1.5
WLWWD
18
OC
OFI CreteLWWW
2
1
0
1
+1
3
1.5
LWWW
19
ST
SCU TorreenseLW
2
1
0
1
0
3
1.5
LW
20
AA
AZ AlkmaarWL
2
1
0
1
0
3
1.5
WL
21
FS
FC SalzburgLWWWD
2
1
0
1
-3
3
1.5
LWWWD
22
LS
Lillestroem SKDLWD
2
0
1
1
-1
1
0.5
DLWD
22
RS
Real Sociedad San SebastianDL
2
0
1
1
-1
1
0.5
DL
24
HB
Hapoel Be`er Sheva FCLD
2
0
1
1
-1
1
0.5
LD
24
PL
PFC Levski SofiaDL
2
0
1
1
-1
1
0.5
DL
26
SS
SK Sturm GrazLD
2
0
1
1
-3
1
0.5
LD
27
NN
NEC NijmegenDL
2
0
1
1
-5
1
0.5
DL
28
RC
RC Celta de VigoLL
2
0
0
2
-2
0
0
LL
28
RA
RSC AnderlechtLLWWW
2
0
0
2
-2
0
0
LLWWW
30
TH
TSG HoffenheimLL
2
0
0
2
-3
0
0
LL
31
FV
FC Viktoria PlzenLLWL
2
0
0
2
-4
0
0
LLWL
31
OM
Olympique MarseilleLL
2
0
0
2
-4
0
0
LL
33
CG
Celtic GlasgowLL
2
0
0
2
-5
0
0
LL
33
FA
FC Ararat-ArmeniaLLWD
2
0
0
2
-5
0
0
LLWD
35
NC
NK CeljeLL
2
0
0
2
-5
0
0
LL
36
KL
KKS Lech PoznanLLDWW
2
0
0
2
-8
0
0
LLDWW
Playoffs Qualification Playoffs

Sturm Graz vs Marseille: pre-match stats

For each team, in how many of its recent matches did this happen? Based on its last 10 matches, in any competition.

Part of the match
Which matches
What to look at
Total goals in the match: over or under 0.5
Sturm Graz
Under
10% · 1 of 10
Over
90% · 9 of 10
Marseille
Under
0% · 0 of 10
Over
100% · 10 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 1.5
Sturm Graz
Under
20% · 2 of 10
Over
80% · 8 of 10
Marseille
Under
20% · 2 of 10
Over
80% · 8 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 2.5
Sturm Graz
Under
40% · 4 of 10
Over
60% · 6 of 10
Marseille
Under
40% · 4 of 10
Over
60% · 6 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 3.5
Sturm Graz
Under
70% · 7 of 10
Over
30% · 3 of 10
Marseille
Under
60% · 6 of 10
Over
40% · 4 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 4.5
Sturm Graz
Under
80% · 8 of 10
Over
20% · 2 of 10
Marseille
Under
70% · 7 of 10
Over
30% · 3 of 10
Our three best bets
Sturm Graz or Marseille
74% chance
Under 3.5 · total goals
65% chance
Marseille (draw no bet)
64% chance
Best value
Marseille to win
47% chance
Marseille (draw no bet)
64% chance
Sturm Graz
Last 10 games
1.7
scored a game
1.3
conceded a game
Both teams scored50% of games
Over 2.5 goals60% of games
Kept a clean sheet30% of games
Marseille
Last 10 games
1.6
scored a game
1.7
conceded a game
Both teams scored50% of games
Over 2.5 goals60% of games
Kept a clean sheet20% of games
Sturm Graz

Nobody listed.

Marseille
  • Out · Derek Cornelius (Defender) — Injured
UEFA Europa League
15 Oct 2026 · 20:00
BournemouthB
3-0
SGSturm Graz
Bundesliga
18 Oct 2026 · 16:00
Sturm GrazSG
6-1
GGAK
Goals scored
8
1.6 per game
Goals conceded
7
1.4 per game
UEFA Europa League
15 Oct 2026 · 20:00
MarseilleM
0-1
OOlympiacos
Ligue 1
18 Oct 2026 · 14:00
AngersA
2-5
MMarseille
Goals scored
9
1.8 per game
Goals conceded
9
1.8 per game