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18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

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18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

UEFA Champions League · Round 3
Man City
AEK Athens
20:00Tue
89%
3%
Draw8%

Man City are the stronger side

WWWLW

last 5 games

DWWWL

last 5 games

Stadium
Etihad Stadium, Manchester · 52,900 seats
Referee
Willy Delajod (France)
Managers
Enzo Maresca · Marko Nikolic
Odds have moved in the last 24h — not advice, just worth knowing before you bet: GG/NG: Yes 2.30→2.20 (-4.3%), Over/Under: Under 2.5 3.75→3.90 (+4%), GG/NG: No 1.62→1.68 (+3.7%)
Preview

Man City are 17th of 36 in UEFA Champions League 26/27, with 3 points from 2 games played.

AEK Athens are 20th of 36, with 3 points from 2 games played.

Over their last 10, Man City scored 2.8 and conceded 1.1 a game on average, and both teams scored in 50% of those.

AEK Athens scored 2.8 and conceded 0.7 a game over the same span, and both teams scored in 50%.

Man City last played Ipswich (at home) and won 3-2.

AEK Athens last played Shakhtar (away) and lost 1-3.

Last 5 matches

Every competition. Scores are coloured from each team's side: green won, orange drew, red lost. Tap the arrow to see the first half.

Man City

18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

4Win0Draw1Loss
EFL Cup
17 Sep 2026 · 19:30
Manchester CityMC
5-0
NNorwich
Premier League
20 Sep 2026 · 14:00
Manchester CityMC
5-3
SSunderland
Premier League
11 Oct 2026 · 16:30
LiverpoolL
0-3
MCManchester City
AEK Athens
3Win1Draw1Loss
Super League
13 Sep 2026 · 17:00
Asteras TripolisAT
1-1
AAAEK Athens
Greece Cup, Main Round
17 Sep 2026 · 15:45
AEK AthensAA
8-1
PPanserraikos
Super League
20 Sep 2026 · 16:00
VolosV
1-2
AAAEK Athens

First half goals

Goals scoredper gameGoals concededper game
71.461.2
91.820.4

Final goals

Goals scoredper gameGoals concededper game
183.691.8
15361.2
Events
Team

Manchester City didn't draw in 15 of their last 15 matches

Man City or AEK Athens (no draw) · 92% chance
15 / 15
No draws

Manchester City won or saw over 2.5 goals in 15 of their last 15 matches

Man City to win or over 2.5 goals · 93% chance
15 / 15
Won or over 2.5 goals

Manchester City didn't draw in 15 of their last 15 home matches

Man City or AEK Athens (no draw) · 92% chance
15 / 15
No draws

Manchester City scored in 15 of their last 15 home matches

Man City over 1.5 goals · 85% chance
15 / 15
Goals scored

Manchester City won or saw over 2.5 goals in 15 of their last 15 home matches

Man City to win or over 2.5 goals · 93% chance
15 / 15
Won or over 2.5 goals

AEK Athens scored in 15 of their last 15 home matches

AEK Athens over 0.5 goals · 44% chanceAEK Athens over 1.5 goals · 11% chance
15 / 15
Goals scored

Manchester City scored in 14 of their last 15 matches

Man City over 1.5 goals · 85% chance
14 / 15
Goals scored

14 of Manchester City's last 15 home matches had over 1.5 goals

Over 1.5 goals · 90% chance
14 / 15
Total goals: +1.5

A pattern in past results, not a prediction. Each one shows the longest run of recent games where it held at least 80% of the time.

Standings of Man City and AEK Athens in UEFA Champions League

#
Team
MP
W
D
L
GD
Pts
PPG
Last 5
1
PS
Paris Saint-GermainWW
2
2
0
0
+7
6
3
WW
2
FB
FC BarcelonaWW
2
2
0
0
+7
6
3
WW
3
AV
Aston VillaWW
2
2
0
0
+7
6
3
WW
4
VS
VfB StuttgartWW
2
2
0
0
+5
6
3
WW
5
LF
Liverpool FCWW
2
2
0
0
+4
6
3
WW
6
SC
Sporting CPWW
2
2
0
0
+4
6
3
WW
7
AF
Arsenal FCWW
2
2
0
0
+4
6
3
WW
8
RM
Real MadridWW
2
2
0
0
+2
6
3
WW
9
RB
Real Betis SevilleWW
2
2
0
0
+2
6
3
WW
10
BM
Bayern MunichDW
2
1
1
0
+5
4
2
DW
11
FS
FC Shakhtar DonetskWD
2
1
1
0
+2
4
2
WD
12
C1
Como 1907LW
2
1
0
1
+2
3
1.5
LW
13
MU
Manchester UnitedLW
2
1
0
1
+2
3
1.5
LW
14
VC
Villarreal CFWL
2
1
0
1
+1
3
1.5
WL
15
AM
Atletico MadridWL
2
1
0
1
+1
3
1.5
WL
16
CB
Club BruggeWL
2
1
0
1
0
3
1.5
WL
17
MC
Manchester CityLW
2
1
0
1
0
3
1.5
LW
18
BD
Borussia DortmundLW
2
1
0
1
0
3
1.5
LW
19
RC
Racing Club De LensLW
2
1
0
1
-1
3
1.5
LW
20
AA
AEK AthensLWWD
2
1
0
1
-1
3
1.5
LWWD
21
RL
RB LeipzigWL
2
1
0
1
-2
3
1.5
WL
22
SM
Sabah MasazirWLWLW
2
1
0
1
-2
3
1.5
WLWLW
23
FR
Feyenoord RotterdamWL
2
1
0
1
-3
3
1.5
WL
24
B
Bodoe/GlimtWLWWW
2
1
0
1
-4
3
1.5
WLWWW
25
AR
AS RomaLD
2
0
1
1
-1
1
0.5
LD
26
PE
PSV EindhovenLD
2
0
1
1
-1
1
0.5
LD
27
VF
Viking FKDLWD
2
0
1
1
-2
1
0.5
DLWD
28
FI
Fenerbahce IstanbulLDWDW
2
0
1
1
-6
1
0.5
LDWDW
29
IM
Inter MilanoLL
2
0
0
2
-2
0
0
LL
30
FP
FC PortoLL
2
0
0
2
-3
0
0
LL
31
SP
Slavia PragueLL
2
0
0
2
-3
0
0
LL
32
SN
SSC NapoliLL
2
0
0
2
-3
0
0
LL
33
LL
LASK LinzLLWL
2
0
0
2
-4
0
0
LLWL
34
LO
Lille OSCLL
2
0
0
2
-4
0
0
LL
35
GI
Galatasaray IstanbulLL
2
0
0
2
-5
0
0
LL
36
SS
SK Slovan BratislavaLLWDW
2
0
0
2
-8
0
0
LLWDW
Playoffs Qualification Playoffs

Man City vs AEK Athens: pre-match stats

For each team, in how many of its recent matches did this happen? Based on its last 10 matches, in any competition.

Part of the match
Which matches
What to look at
Total goals in the match: over or under 0.5
Man City
Under
0% · 0 of 10
Over
100% · 10 of 10
AEK Athens
Under
0% · 0 of 10
Over
100% · 10 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 1.5
Man City
Under
20% · 2 of 10
Over
80% · 8 of 10
AEK Athens
Under
10% · 1 of 10
Over
90% · 9 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 2.5
Man City
Under
30% · 3 of 10
Over
70% · 7 of 10
AEK Athens
Under
40% · 4 of 10
Over
60% · 6 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 3.5
Man City
Under
50% · 5 of 10
Over
50% · 5 of 10
AEK Athens
Under
60% · 6 of 10
Over
40% · 4 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 4.5
Man City
Under
50% · 5 of 10
Over
50% · 5 of 10
AEK Athens
Under
80% · 8 of 10
Over
20% · 2 of 10
Our three best bets
Over 2.5 · total goals
76% chance
both teams to score: No
57% chance
Best value
Over 3.5 · total goals
56% chance
Over 2.5 · total goals
76% chance
Man City
Last 10 games
2.8
scored a game
1.1
conceded a game
Both teams scored50% of games
Over 2.5 goals70% of games
Kept a clean sheet50% of games
AEK Athens
Last 10 games
2.8
scored a game
0.7
conceded a game
Both teams scored50% of games
Over 2.5 goals60% of games
Kept a clean sheet50% of games
Man City

Nobody listed.

AEK Athens
  • Out · Thomas Strakosha (Goalkeeper) — Injured
UEFA Champions League
14 Oct 2026 · 20:00
Manchester CityMC
2-4
PPSG
Premier League
17 Oct 2026 · 15:00
Manchester CityMC
3-2
IIpswich
Goals scored
18
3.6 per game
Goals conceded
9
1.8 per game
Super League
10 Oct 2026 · 17:30
AEK AthensAA
3-0
OCOFI Crete
UEFA Champions League
14 Oct 2026 · 20:00
ShakhtarS
3-1
AAAEK Athens
Goals scored
15
3 per game
Goals conceded
6
1.2 per game