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18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

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18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

UEFA Champions League · Round 3
Liverpool
Villarreal
20:00Tue
63%
17%
Draw20%

Liverpool are the stronger side

WWLWW

last 5 games

WWLWD

last 5 games

Stadium
Anfield, Liverpool · 61,276 seats
Referee
Szymon Marciniak (Poland)
Managers
Andoni Iraola · Inigo Perez
Odds have moved in the last 24h — not advice, just worth knowing before you bet: Over/Under: Under 1.5 5.70→6.10 (+7%), Over/Under: Under 2.5 2.70→2.85 (+5.6%), Draw No Bet: Away 4.75→4.50 (-5.3%), 1X2: Draw 4.87→5.07 (+4.1%)
Preview

Liverpool are 5th of 36 in UEFA Champions League 26/27, with 6 points from 2 games played.

Villarreal are 14th of 36, with 3 points from 2 games played.

Over their last 10, Liverpool scored 2 and conceded 1.3 a game on average, and both teams scored in 60% of those.

Villarreal scored 1.6 and conceded 1.5 a game over the same span, and both teams scored in 70%.

Liverpool last played Brentford (away) and won 2-1.

Villarreal last played Elche (at home) and drew 0-0.

Head-to-head, Liverpool has 3W 1D 1L from the last 5 meetings, averaging 2.2 goals a game.

Last 5 matches

Every competition. Scores are coloured from each team's side: green won, orange drew, red lost. Tap the arrow to see the first half.

18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

Liverpool
4Win0Draw1Loss
EFL Cup
15 Sep 2026 · 20:00
LiverpoolL
3-1
TTottenham
Premier League
20 Sep 2026 · 14:00
BournemouthB
0-1
LLiverpool
Premier League
11 Oct 2026 · 16:30
LiverpoolL
0-3
MCManchester City
Villarreal
3Win1Draw1Loss
LaLiga
17 Sep 2026 · 20:30
MalagaM
1-3
VVillarreal
LaLiga
20 Sep 2026 · 17:30
VillarrealV
3-1
LLevante
LaLiga
10 Oct 2026 · 20:00
Real MadridRM
1-0
VVillarreal

First half goals

Goals scoredper gameGoals concededper game
40.810.2
5130.6

Final goals

Goals scoredper gameGoals concededper game
122.481.6
91.840.8
Events
Team

Villarreal conceded in 15 of their last 15 away matches

Liverpool over 0.5 goals · 90% chance
15 / 15
Goals conceded

Liverpool won or saw over 2.5 goals in 14 of their last 15 matches

Liverpool to win or over 2.5 goals · 82% chance
14 / 15
Won or over 2.5 goals

Liverpool didn't draw in 14 of their last 15 away matches

Liverpool or Villarreal (no draw) · 80% chance
14 / 15
No draws

Villarreal didn't draw in 14 of their last 15 home matches

Liverpool or Villarreal (no draw) · 80% chance
14 / 15
No draws

Liverpool scored in 13 of their last 15 matches

Liverpool over 0.5 goals · 90% chanceLiverpool over 1.5 goals · 66% chance
13 / 15
Goals scored

Liverpool won at least one half in 13 of their last 15 matches

Liverpool to win either half · 75% chance
13 / 15
Won at least one half

13 of Liverpool's last 15 home matches had over 1.5 goals

Over 1.5 goals · 85% chance
13 / 15
Total goals: +1.5

13 of Liverpool's last 15 away matches had a goal in the 2nd half

Over 0.5 goals in the 2nd half · 85% chance
13 / 15
Total goals 2nd Half: +0.5

A pattern in past results, not a prediction. Each one shows the longest run of recent games where it held at least 80% of the time.

Standings of Liverpool and Villarreal in UEFA Champions League

#
Team
MP
W
D
L
GD
Pts
PPG
Last 5
1
PS
Paris Saint-GermainWW
2
2
0
0
+7
6
3
WW
2
FB
FC BarcelonaWW
2
2
0
0
+7
6
3
WW
3
AV
Aston VillaWW
2
2
0
0
+7
6
3
WW
4
VS
VfB StuttgartWW
2
2
0
0
+5
6
3
WW
5
LF
Liverpool FCWW
2
2
0
0
+4
6
3
WW
6
SC
Sporting CPWW
2
2
0
0
+4
6
3
WW
7
AF
Arsenal FCWW
2
2
0
0
+4
6
3
WW
8
RM
Real MadridWW
2
2
0
0
+2
6
3
WW
9
RB
Real Betis SevilleWW
2
2
0
0
+2
6
3
WW
10
BM
Bayern MunichDW
2
1
1
0
+5
4
2
DW
11
FS
FC Shakhtar DonetskWD
2
1
1
0
+2
4
2
WD
12
C1
Como 1907LW
2
1
0
1
+2
3
1.5
LW
13
MU
Manchester UnitedLW
2
1
0
1
+2
3
1.5
LW
14
VC
Villarreal CFWL
2
1
0
1
+1
3
1.5
WL
15
AM
Atletico MadridWL
2
1
0
1
+1
3
1.5
WL
16
CB
Club BruggeWL
2
1
0
1
0
3
1.5
WL
17
MC
Manchester CityLW
2
1
0
1
0
3
1.5
LW
18
BD
Borussia DortmundLW
2
1
0
1
0
3
1.5
LW
19
RC
Racing Club De LensLW
2
1
0
1
-1
3
1.5
LW
20
AA
AEK AthensLWWD
2
1
0
1
-1
3
1.5
LWWD
21
RL
RB LeipzigWL
2
1
0
1
-2
3
1.5
WL
22
SM
Sabah MasazirWLWLW
2
1
0
1
-2
3
1.5
WLWLW
23
FR
Feyenoord RotterdamWL
2
1
0
1
-3
3
1.5
WL
24
B
Bodoe/GlimtWLWWW
2
1
0
1
-4
3
1.5
WLWWW
25
AR
AS RomaLD
2
0
1
1
-1
1
0.5
LD
26
PE
PSV EindhovenLD
2
0
1
1
-1
1
0.5
LD
27
VF
Viking FKDLWD
2
0
1
1
-2
1
0.5
DLWD
28
FI
Fenerbahce IstanbulLDWDW
2
0
1
1
-6
1
0.5
LDWDW
29
IM
Inter MilanoLL
2
0
0
2
-2
0
0
LL
30
FP
FC PortoLL
2
0
0
2
-3
0
0
LL
31
SP
Slavia PragueLL
2
0
0
2
-3
0
0
LL
32
SN
SSC NapoliLL
2
0
0
2
-3
0
0
LL
33
LL
LASK LinzLLWL
2
0
0
2
-4
0
0
LLWL
34
LO
Lille OSCLL
2
0
0
2
-4
0
0
LL
35
GI
Galatasaray IstanbulLL
2
0
0
2
-5
0
0
LL
36
SS
SK Slovan BratislavaLLWDW
2
0
0
2
-8
0
0
LLWDW
Playoffs Qualification Playoffs

Liverpool vs Villarreal: pre-match stats

For each team, in how many of its recent matches did this happen? Based on its last 10 matches, in any competition.

Part of the match
Which matches
What to look at
Total goals in the match: over or under 0.5
Liverpool
Under
10% · 1 of 10
Over
90% · 9 of 10
Villarreal
Under
10% · 1 of 10
Over
90% · 9 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 1.5
Liverpool
Under
20% · 2 of 10
Over
80% · 8 of 10
Villarreal
Under
30% · 3 of 10
Over
70% · 7 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 2.5
Liverpool
Under
30% · 3 of 10
Over
70% · 7 of 10
Villarreal
Under
30% · 3 of 10
Over
70% · 7 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 3.5
Liverpool
Under
60% · 6 of 10
Over
40% · 4 of 10
Villarreal
Under
40% · 4 of 10
Over
60% · 6 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 4.5
Liverpool
Under
90% · 9 of 10
Over
10% · 1 of 10
Villarreal
Under
80% · 8 of 10
Over
20% · 2 of 10
Our three best bets
Over 2.5 · total goals
66% chance
Liverpool to win
65% chance
both teams to score: Yes
59% chance
Best value
Liverpool to win
65% chance
Under 3.5 · total goals
55% chance
Liverpool
Last 10 games
2
scored a game
1.3
conceded a game
Both teams scored60% of games
Over 2.5 goals70% of games
Kept a clean sheet30% of games
Villarreal
Last 10 games
1.6
scored a game
1.5
conceded a game
Both teams scored70% of games
Over 2.5 goals70% of games
Kept a clean sheet10% of games
Liverpool
  • CBOut · Conor Bradley (Defender) — Injured
  • Out · Hugo Ekitike (Forward) — Injured
  • GLOut · Giovanni Leoni (Defender) — Injured
  • Out · Dominik Szoboszlai (Midfielder) — Injured
  • Out · Jeremie Frimpong (Defender) — Injured
  • Out · Amara Nallo (Defender) — Injured
Villarreal
  • Out · Alex Freeman (Defender) — Other
  • Out · Tajon Buchanan (Forward) — Injured
  • Out · Nicolas Pepe (Forward) — Injured
UEFA Champions League
14 Oct 2026 · 17:45
LASKL
3-6
LLiverpool
Premier League
17 Oct 2026 · 15:00
BrentfordB
1-2
LLiverpool
Goals scored
12
2.4 per game
Goals conceded
8
1.6 per game
UEFA Champions League
13 Oct 2026 · 20:00
VillarrealV
3-1
NNapoli
LaLiga
17 Oct 2026 · 15:15
VillarrealV
0-0
EElche
Goals scored
9
1.8 per game
Goals conceded
4
0.8 per game