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18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

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18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

UEFA Champions League · Round 3
Porto
PSV Eindhoven
20:00Tue
61%
19%
Draw20%

Porto are the stronger side

WWWWL

last 5 games

WLWLL

last 5 games

Stadium
Estadio do Dragao, Porto · 50,033 seats
Referee
Daniel Siebert (Germany)
Managers
Francesco Farioli · Peter Bosz
Odds have moved in the last 24h — not advice, just worth knowing before you bet: 1X2: Away 4.84→5.24 (+8.3%), 1X2: Home 1.70→1.63 (-4.1%), 1X2: Draw 4.45→4.63 (+4%), Over/Under: Under 1.5 5.40→5.60 (+3.7%)
Preview

Porto are 30th of 36 in UEFA Champions League 26/27, with 0 points from 2 games played.

PSV Eindhoven are 26th of 36, with 1 points from 2 games played.

Over their last 10, Porto scored 2.3 and conceded 1 a game on average, and both teams scored in 60% of those.

PSV Eindhoven scored 2.6 and conceded 1.2 a game over the same span, and both teams scored in 80%.

Porto last played Real Betis (away) and lost 2-3.

PSV Eindhoven last played Den Haag (away) and lost 1-2.

Head-to-head, Porto has 0W 0D 1L from the last 1 meetings, averaging 3 goals a game.

Last 5 matches

Every competition. Scores are coloured from each team's side: green won, orange drew, red lost. Tap the arrow to see the first half.

18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

Porto
4Win0Draw1Loss
Liga Portugal
12 Sep 2026 · 18:00
Casa PiaCP
1-4
PPorto
Liga Portugal
20 Sep 2026 · 20:30
PortoP
3-1
SBSL Benfica
Club Friendly Games
02 Oct 2026 · 18:00
DeportivoD
1-3
PPorto
PSV Eindhoven
2Win0Draw3Loss
Eredivisie
13 Sep 2026 · 19:00
EindhovenE
4-1
SSparta
Eredivisie
20 Sep 2026 · 13:30
EnschedeE
3-2
EEindhoven
Eredivisie
09 Oct 2026 · 19:00
EindhovenE
2-0
HHeerenveen

First half goals

Goals scoredper gameGoals concededper game
30.630.6
61.220.4

Final goals

Goals scoredper gameGoals concededper game
142.871.4
91.871.4
Events
Team

Porto didn't draw in 15 of their last 15 matches

Porto or PSV Eindhoven (no draw) · 79% chance
15 / 15
No draws

15 of Eindhoven's last 15 matches had a goal in the 2nd half

Over 0.5 goals in the 2nd half · 83% chance
15 / 15
Total goals 2nd Half: +0.5

15 of Eindhoven's last 15 home matches had over 1.5 goals

Over 1.5 goals · 84% chance
15 / 15
Total goals: +1.5

15 of Eindhoven's last 15 home matches had a goal in the 2nd half

Over 0.5 goals in the 2nd half · 83% chance
15 / 15
Total goals 2nd Half: +0.5

15 of Eindhoven's last 15 away matches had a goal in the 2nd half

Over 0.5 goals in the 2nd half · 83% chance
15 / 15
Total goals 2nd Half: +0.5

Porto haven't lost in 14 of their last 15 home matches

Porto or draw · 82% chance
14 / 15
Unbeaten

Porto didn't draw in 14 of their last 15 away matches

Porto or PSV Eindhoven (no draw) · 79% chance
14 / 15
No draws

14 of Eindhoven's last 15 matches had over 1.5 goals

Over 1.5 goals · 84% chance
14 / 15
Total goals: +1.5

A pattern in past results, not a prediction. Each one shows the longest run of recent games where it held at least 80% of the time.

Standings of Porto and PSV Eindhoven in UEFA Champions League

#
Team
MP
W
D
L
GD
Pts
PPG
Last 5
1
PS
Paris Saint-GermainWW
2
2
0
0
+7
6
3
WW
2
FB
FC BarcelonaWW
2
2
0
0
+7
6
3
WW
3
AV
Aston VillaWW
2
2
0
0
+7
6
3
WW
4
VS
VfB StuttgartWW
2
2
0
0
+5
6
3
WW
5
LF
Liverpool FCWW
2
2
0
0
+4
6
3
WW
6
SC
Sporting CPWW
2
2
0
0
+4
6
3
WW
7
AF
Arsenal FCWW
2
2
0
0
+4
6
3
WW
8
RM
Real MadridWW
2
2
0
0
+2
6
3
WW
9
RB
Real Betis SevilleWW
2
2
0
0
+2
6
3
WW
10
BM
Bayern MunichDW
2
1
1
0
+5
4
2
DW
11
FS
FC Shakhtar DonetskWD
2
1
1
0
+2
4
2
WD
12
C1
Como 1907LW
2
1
0
1
+2
3
1.5
LW
13
MU
Manchester UnitedLW
2
1
0
1
+2
3
1.5
LW
14
VC
Villarreal CFWL
2
1
0
1
+1
3
1.5
WL
15
AM
Atletico MadridWL
2
1
0
1
+1
3
1.5
WL
16
CB
Club BruggeWL
2
1
0
1
0
3
1.5
WL
17
MC
Manchester CityLW
2
1
0
1
0
3
1.5
LW
18
BD
Borussia DortmundLW
2
1
0
1
0
3
1.5
LW
19
RC
Racing Club De LensLW
2
1
0
1
-1
3
1.5
LW
20
AA
AEK AthensLWWD
2
1
0
1
-1
3
1.5
LWWD
21
RL
RB LeipzigWL
2
1
0
1
-2
3
1.5
WL
22
SM
Sabah MasazirWLWLW
2
1
0
1
-2
3
1.5
WLWLW
23
FR
Feyenoord RotterdamWL
2
1
0
1
-3
3
1.5
WL
24
B
Bodoe/GlimtWLWWW
2
1
0
1
-4
3
1.5
WLWWW
25
AR
AS RomaLD
2
0
1
1
-1
1
0.5
LD
26
PE
PSV EindhovenLD
2
0
1
1
-1
1
0.5
LD
27
VF
Viking FKDLWD
2
0
1
1
-2
1
0.5
DLWD
28
FI
Fenerbahce IstanbulLDWDW
2
0
1
1
-6
1
0.5
LDWDW
29
IM
Inter MilanoLL
2
0
0
2
-2
0
0
LL
30
FP
FC PortoLL
2
0
0
2
-3
0
0
LL
31
SP
Slavia PragueLL
2
0
0
2
-3
0
0
LL
32
SN
SSC NapoliLL
2
0
0
2
-3
0
0
LL
33
LL
LASK LinzLLWL
2
0
0
2
-4
0
0
LLWL
34
LO
Lille OSCLL
2
0
0
2
-4
0
0
LL
35
GI
Galatasaray IstanbulLL
2
0
0
2
-5
0
0
LL
36
SS
SK Slovan BratislavaLLWDW
2
0
0
2
-8
0
0
LLWDW
Playoffs Qualification Playoffs

Porto vs PSV Eindhoven: pre-match stats

For each team, in how many of its recent matches did this happen? Based on its last 10 matches, in any competition.

Part of the match
Which matches
What to look at
Total goals in the match: over or under 0.5
Porto
Under
0% · 0 of 10
Over
100% · 10 of 10
PSV Eindhoven
Under
0% · 0 of 10
Over
100% · 10 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 1.5
Porto
Under
0% · 0 of 10
Over
100% · 10 of 10
PSV Eindhoven
Under
10% · 1 of 10
Over
90% · 9 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 2.5
Porto
Under
30% · 3 of 10
Over
70% · 7 of 10
PSV Eindhoven
Under
30% · 3 of 10
Over
70% · 7 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 3.5
Porto
Under
60% · 6 of 10
Over
40% · 4 of 10
PSV Eindhoven
Under
50% · 5 of 10
Over
50% · 5 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 4.5
Porto
Under
80% · 8 of 10
Over
20% · 2 of 10
PSV Eindhoven
Under
60% · 6 of 10
Over
40% · 4 of 10
Our three best bets
Porto (draw no bet)
77% chance
Over 2.5 · total goals
63% chance
Porto to win
61% chance
Best value
Porto to win
61% chance
Under 3.5 · total goals
59% chance
Porto
Last 10 games
2.3
scored a game
1
conceded a game
Both teams scored60% of games
Over 2.5 goals70% of games
Kept a clean sheet30% of games
PSV Eindhoven
Last 10 games
2.6
scored a game
1.2
conceded a game
Both teams scored80% of games
Over 2.5 goals70% of games
Kept a clean sheet10% of games
Porto

Nobody listed.

PSV Eindhoven
  • APOut · Alassane Plea (Forward) — Injured
  • Out · Jerdy Schouten (Midfielder) — Injured
  • Out · Kiliann Sildillia (Defender) — Injured
Liga Portugal
10 Oct 2026 · 18:00
MadeiraM
1-2
PPorto
UEFA Champions League
14 Oct 2026 · 20:00
Real BetisRB
3-2
PPorto
Goals scored
14
2.8 per game
Goals conceded
7
1.4 per game
UEFA Champions League
13 Oct 2026 · 20:00
LeipzigL
1-0
EEindhoven
Eredivisie
17 Oct 2026 · 15:30
Den HaagDH
2-1
EEindhoven
Goals scored
9
1.8 per game
Goals conceded
7
1.4 per game