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18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

Bundesliga · Round 7
Paderborn
Hamburger SV
14:30Sat
42%
32%
Draw26%

Paderborn are the stronger side

LWWLD

last 5 games

LWWWW

last 5 games

Stadium
Home Deluxe Arena, Paderborn · 15,000 seats
Managers
Ralf Kettemann · Merlin Polzin
Preview

Paderborn are 16th of 18 in Bundesliga, with 5 points from 6 games played.

Hamburger SV are 9th of 18, with 9 points from 6 games played.

Over their last 10, Paderborn scored 1.2 and conceded 1.3 a game on average, and both teams scored in 30% of those.

Hamburger SV scored 1.4 and conceded 1.8 a game over the same span, and both teams scored in 40%.

Paderborn last played Bremen (away) and drew 2-2.

Hamburger SV last played Stuttgart (at home) and won 1-0.

Head-to-head, Paderborn has 3W 2D 1L from the last 6 meetings, averaging 3.17 goals a game.

Last 5 matches

Every competition. Scores are coloured from each team's side: green won, orange drew, red lost. Tap the arrow to see the first half.

18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

Paderborn
2Win1Draw2Loss
Bundesliga
12 Sep 2026 · 14:30
DortmundD
3-0
PPaderborn
Bundesliga
20 Sep 2026 · 18:30
PaderbornP
3-1
HHoffenheim
Club Friendly Games
30 Sep 2026 · 00:30
DC UnitedDU
0-1
PPaderborn
Hamburger SV
4Win0Draw1Loss
Bundesliga
13 Sep 2026 · 14:30
LeipzigL
5-0
HHamburg
Bundesliga
19 Sep 2026 · 14:30
HamburgH
2-1
1F1. FC Cologne
Club Friendly Games
04 Oct 2026 · 14:30
HamburgH
2-0
CCopenhagen

First half goals

Goals scoredper gameGoals concededper game
5120.4
20.430.6

Final goals

Goals scoredper gameGoals concededper game
61.281.6
81.681.6
Events
Team

Paderborn conceded in 15 of their last 15 home matches

Hamburger SV over 0.5 goals · 77% chance
15 / 15
Goals conceded

14 of Paderborn's last 15 home matches had over 1.5 goals

Over 1.5 goals · 82% chance
14 / 15
Total goals: +1.5

14 of Paderborn's last 15 home matches had a goal in the 1st half

Over 0.5 goals in the 1st half · 74% chance
14 / 15
Total goals 1st Half: +0.5

14 of Paderborn's last 15 home matches had a goal in the 2nd half

Over 0.5 goals in the 2nd half · 83% chance
14 / 15
Total goals 2nd Half: +0.5

Hamburg didn't draw in 14 of their last 15 matches

Paderborn or Hamburger SV (no draw) · 74% chance
14 / 15
No draws

14 of Hamburg's last 15 matches had over 1.5 goals

Over 1.5 goals · 82% chance
14 / 15
Total goals: +1.5

14 of Hamburg's last 15 away matches had over 1.5 goals

Over 1.5 goals · 82% chance
14 / 15
Total goals: +1.5

Hamburg conceded in 14 of their last 15 matches in Bundesliga

Paderborn over 0.5 goals · 81% chance
14 / 15
Goals conceded

A pattern in past results, not a prediction. Each one shows the longest run of recent games where it held at least 80% of the time.

Standings of Paderborn and Hamburger SV in Bundesliga

#
Team
MP
W
D
L
GD
Pts
PPG
Last 5
1
BM
Bayern MunichWDWWD
6
4
2
0
+17
14
2.33
WDWWD
2
BD
Borussia DortmundDDWWW
6
4
2
0
+7
14
2.33
DDWWW
3
SF
SC FreiburgLWDWW
6
4
1
1
+9
13
2.17
LWDWW
4
BL
Bayer LeverkusenWWWDW
6
4
1
1
+7
13
2.17
WWWDW
5
FM
FSV MainzWLWLW
6
3
1
2
+4
10
1.67
WLWLW
6
S0
SV 07 ElversbergWLDLW
6
3
1
2
+1
10
1.67
WLDLW
7
RL
RB LeipzigLWLWL
6
3
0
3
+5
9
1.5
LWLWL
8
WB
Werder BremenDDWDW
6
2
3
1
0
9
1.5
DDWDW
9
HS
Hamburger SVWWWLL
6
3
0
3
-9
9
1.5
WWWLL
10
FA
FC AugsburgLDLDW
6
2
2
2
+4
8
1.33
LDLDW
11
EF
Eintracht FrankfurtWLDWL
6
2
2
2
-6
8
1.33
WLDWL
12
1F
1. FC CologneLWLDL
6
2
1
3
-3
7
1.17
LWLDL
13
VS
VfB StuttgartLWLLW
6
2
0
4
-2
6
1
LWLLW
14
TH
TSG HoffenheimWLLWL
6
2
0
4
-3
6
1
WLLWL
15
S0
Schalke 04LLDWD
6
1
2
3
-3
5
0.83
LLDWD
16
SP
SC Paderborn 07DLWLL
6
1
2
3
-4
5
0.83
DLWLL
17
UB
Union BerlinDWLLL
6
1
2
3
-12
5
0.83
DWLLL
18
BM
Borussia MonchengladbachLLLLL
6
0
0
6
-12
0
0
LLLLL
Champions League UEFA Europa League Conference League Qualification Relegation Playoffs Relegation

Paderborn vs Hamburger SV: pre-match stats

For each team, in how many of its recent matches did this happen? Based on its last 10 matches, in any competition.

Part of the match
Which matches
What to look at
Total goals in the match: over or under 0.5
Paderborn
Under
10% · 1 of 10
Over
90% · 9 of 10
Hamburger SV
Under
0% · 0 of 10
Over
100% · 10 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 1.5
Paderborn
Under
30% · 3 of 10
Over
70% · 7 of 10
Hamburger SV
Under
10% · 1 of 10
Over
90% · 9 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 2.5
Paderborn
Under
60% · 6 of 10
Over
40% · 4 of 10
Hamburger SV
Under
30% · 3 of 10
Over
70% · 7 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 3.5
Paderborn
Under
70% · 7 of 10
Over
30% · 3 of 10
Hamburger SV
Under
70% · 7 of 10
Over
30% · 3 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 4.5
Paderborn
Under
90% · 9 of 10
Over
10% · 1 of 10
Hamburger SV
Under
70% · 7 of 10
Over
30% · 3 of 10
Our three best bets
Paderborn or Hamburger SV
74% chance
both teams to score: Yes
63% chance
Under 3.5 · total goals
62% chance
Best value
Under 3.5 · total goals
62% chance
Paderborn (draw no bet)
57% chance
Paderborn
Last 10 games
1.2
scored a game
1.3
conceded a game
Both teams scored30% of games
Over 2.5 goals40% of games
Kept a clean sheet30% of games
Hamburger SV
Last 10 games
1.4
scored a game
1.8
conceded a game
Both teams scored40% of games
Over 2.5 goals70% of games
Kept a clean sheet30% of games
Paderborn
  • Out · Bennit Broger (Midfielder) — Other
  • NAOut · Nyamekye Awortwie-Grant (Defender) — Injured
  • TGOut · Timur Gayret (Forward) — Injured
  • Out · Marcel Hoffmeier (Defender) — Injured
  • Out · Sebastian Klaas (Midfielder) — Injured
Hamburger SV
  • PDOut · Patson Daka (Forward) — Injured
  • AGOut · Albert Gronbaek (Midfielder) — Injured
  • Out · Bakery Jatta (Midfielder) — Injured
  • Out · Nicolai Remberg (Midfielder) — Injured
Bundesliga
10 Oct 2026 · 14:30
PaderbornP
0-2
SStuttgart
Bundesliga
17 Oct 2026 · 14:30
BremenB
2-2
PPaderborn
Goals scored
6
1.2 per game
Goals conceded
8
1.6 per game
Bundesliga
10 Oct 2026 · 14:30
HoffenheimH
2-3
HHamburg
Bundesliga
17 Oct 2026 · 14:30
HamburgH
1-0
SStuttgart
Goals scored
8
1.6 per game
Goals conceded
8
1.6 per game