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18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

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18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

Bundesliga · Round 7
Mainz
Werder Bremen
14:30Sat
56%
22%
Draw22%

Mainz are the stronger side

WLWLW

last 5 games

DWLDD

last 5 games

Stadium
Mewa Arena, Mainz · 34,000 seats
Managers
Urs Fischer · Daniel Thioune
Odds have moved in the last 24h — not advice, just worth knowing before you bet: 1X2: Away 4.57→4.40 (-3.7%)
Preview

Mainz are 5th of 18 in Bundesliga, with 10 points from 6 games played.

Werder Bremen are 8th of 18, with 9 points from 6 games played.

Over their last 10, Mainz scored 3.2 and conceded 1.4 a game on average, and both teams scored in 50% of those.

Werder Bremen scored 1.9 and conceded 2.2 a game over the same span, and both teams scored in 70%.

Mainz last played Schalke (away) and won 1-0.

Werder Bremen last played Paderborn (at home) and drew 2-2.

Head-to-head, Mainz has 1W 1D 4L from the last 6 meetings, averaging 2.17 goals a game.

Last 5 matches

Every competition. Scores are coloured from each team's side: green won, orange drew, red lost. Tap the arrow to see the first half.

18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

Mainz
3Win0Draw2Loss
Bundesliga
06 Sep 2026 · 14:30
HamburgH
0-5
MMainz
Bundesliga
12 Sep 2026 · 14:30
MainzM
1-3
FFrankfurt
Bundesliga
19 Sep 2026 · 14:30
M´gladbachM
3-4
MMainz
Werder Bremen
1Win3Draw1Loss
Bundesliga
12 Sep 2026 · 17:30
1. FC Cologne1F
1-1
BBremen
Bundesliga
19 Sep 2026 · 14:30
BremenB
3-2
AAugsburg
Club Friendly Games
02 Oct 2026 · 12:00
EnschedeE
7-0
BBremen

First half goals

Goals scoredper gameGoals concededper game
71.451
00102

Final goals

Goals scoredper gameGoals concededper game
142.8102
81.6142.8
Events
Team

15 of Bremen's last 15 home matches had a goal in the 2nd half

Over 0.5 goals in the 2nd half · 83% chance
15 / 15
Total goals 2nd Half: +0.5

15 of Bremen's last 15 home matches had over 1.5 goals in Bundesliga

Over 1.5 goals · 83% chance
15 / 15
Total goals: +1.5

Mainz scored in 14 of their last 15 matches

Mainz over 0.5 goals · 87% chanceMainz over 1.5 goals · 60% chance
14 / 15
Goals scored

Mainz won or saw over 2.5 goals in 14 of their last 15 matches

Mainz to win or over 2.5 goals · 78% chance
14 / 15
Won or over 2.5 goals

14 of Bremen's last 15 matches had a goal in the 2nd half

Over 0.5 goals in the 2nd half · 83% chance
14 / 15
Total goals 2nd Half: +0.5

14 of Bremen's last 15 home matches had over 1.5 goals

Over 1.5 goals · 83% chance
14 / 15
Total goals: +1.5

Bremen conceded in 14 of their last 15 matches in Bundesliga

Mainz over 0.5 goals · 87% chance
14 / 15
Goals conceded

Bremen conceded in 14 of their last 15 home matches in Bundesliga

Mainz over 0.5 goals · 87% chance
14 / 15
Goals conceded

A pattern in past results, not a prediction. Each one shows the longest run of recent games where it held at least 80% of the time.

Standings of Mainz and Werder Bremen in Bundesliga

#
Team
MP
W
D
L
GD
Pts
PPG
Last 5
1
BM
Bayern MunichWDWWD
6
4
2
0
+17
14
2.33
WDWWD
2
BD
Borussia DortmundDDWWW
6
4
2
0
+7
14
2.33
DDWWW
3
SF
SC FreiburgLWDWW
6
4
1
1
+9
13
2.17
LWDWW
4
BL
Bayer LeverkusenWWWDW
6
4
1
1
+7
13
2.17
WWWDW
5
FM
FSV MainzWLWLW
6
3
1
2
+4
10
1.67
WLWLW
6
S0
SV 07 ElversbergWLDLW
6
3
1
2
+1
10
1.67
WLDLW
7
RL
RB LeipzigLWLWL
6
3
0
3
+5
9
1.5
LWLWL
8
WB
Werder BremenDDWDW
6
2
3
1
0
9
1.5
DDWDW
9
HS
Hamburger SVWWWLL
6
3
0
3
-9
9
1.5
WWWLL
10
FA
FC AugsburgLDLDW
6
2
2
2
+4
8
1.33
LDLDW
11
EF
Eintracht FrankfurtWLDWL
6
2
2
2
-6
8
1.33
WLDWL
12
1F
1. FC CologneLWLDL
6
2
1
3
-3
7
1.17
LWLDL
13
VS
VfB StuttgartLWLLW
6
2
0
4
-2
6
1
LWLLW
14
TH
TSG HoffenheimWLLWL
6
2
0
4
-3
6
1
WLLWL
15
S0
Schalke 04LLDWD
6
1
2
3
-3
5
0.83
LLDWD
16
SP
SC Paderborn 07DLWLL
6
1
2
3
-4
5
0.83
DLWLL
17
UB
Union BerlinDWLLL
6
1
2
3
-12
5
0.83
DWLLL
18
BM
Borussia MonchengladbachLLLLL
6
0
0
6
-12
0
0
LLLLL
Champions League UEFA Europa League Conference League Qualification Relegation Playoffs Relegation

Mainz vs Werder Bremen: pre-match stats

For each team, in how many of its recent matches did this happen? Based on its last 10 matches, in any competition.

Part of the match
Which matches
What to look at
Total goals in the match: over or under 0.5
Mainz
Under
10% · 1 of 10
Over
90% · 9 of 10
Werder Bremen
Under
0% · 0 of 10
Over
100% · 10 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 1.5
Mainz
Under
20% · 2 of 10
Over
80% · 8 of 10
Werder Bremen
Under
10% · 1 of 10
Over
90% · 9 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 2.5
Mainz
Under
20% · 2 of 10
Over
80% · 8 of 10
Werder Bremen
Under
20% · 2 of 10
Over
80% · 8 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 3.5
Mainz
Under
30% · 3 of 10
Over
70% · 7 of 10
Werder Bremen
Under
30% · 3 of 10
Over
70% · 7 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 4.5
Mainz
Under
50% · 5 of 10
Over
50% · 5 of 10
Werder Bremen
Under
60% · 6 of 10
Over
40% · 4 of 10
Our three best bets
Mainz or Werder Bremen
77% chance
Mainz (draw no bet)
71% chance
Over 2.5 · total goals
62% chance
Best value
Under 3.5 · total goals
60% chance
Mainz or Werder Bremen
77% chance
Mainz
Last 10 games
3.2
scored a game
1.4
conceded a game
Both teams scored50% of games
Over 2.5 goals80% of games
Kept a clean sheet50% of games
Werder Bremen
Last 10 games
1.9
scored a game
2.2
conceded a game
Both teams scored70% of games
Over 2.5 goals80% of games
Kept a clean sheet10% of games
Mainz
  • Out · Dominik Kohr (Midfielder) — Injured
  • Out · Robin Zentner (Goalkeeper) — Injured
  • OROut · Otto Ruoppi (Midfielder) — Injured
  • SKOut · Silas Katompa Mvumpa (Forward) — Injured
Werder Bremen
  • Out · Felix Agu (Defender) — Injured
  • KTOut · Keke Topp (Forward) — Injured
  • Out · Jens Stage (Midfielder) — Injured
  • Out · Justin Njinmah (Forward) — Injured
  • Out · Moussa N’Diaye (Defender) — Injured
  • Out · Senne Lynen (Midfielder) — Injured
  • Out · Salim Musah (Forward) — Injured
  • Out · Skelly Alvero (Midfielder) — Injured
Bundesliga
10 Oct 2026 · 14:30
MainzM
3-4
LLeverkusen
Bundesliga
17 Oct 2026 · 14:30
SchalkeS
0-1
MMainz
Goals scored
14
2.8 per game
Goals conceded
10
2 per game
Bundesliga
09 Oct 2026 · 19:30
DortmundD
2-2
BBremen
Bundesliga
17 Oct 2026 · 14:30
BremenB
2-2
PPaderborn
Goals scored
8
1.6 per game
Goals conceded
14
2.8 per game