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18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

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18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

LaLiga · Round 10
Barcelona
Real Madrid
21:00Sun
62%
20%
Draw18%

Barcelona are the stronger side

WWWWW

last 5 games

WLWWW

last 5 games

Stadium
Camp Nou, Barcelona · 105,000 seats
Managers
Hansi Flick · Jose Mourinho
Odds have moved in the last 24h — not advice, just worth knowing before you bet: Draw No Bet: Away 4.20→3.75 (-10.7%), 1X2: Away 5.34→4.77 (-10.7%), Double Chance: Draw or Away 2.50→2.35 (-6%), 1X2: Home 1.49→1.56 (+4.7%)
Preview

Barcelona are 1st of 20 in LaLiga, with 27 points from 9 games played.

Real Madrid are 3rd of 20, with 21 points from 9 games played.

Over their last 10, Barcelona scored 4.3 and conceded 1.1 a game on average, and both teams scored in 70% of those.

Real Madrid scored 2.7 and conceded 1.2 a game over the same span, and both teams scored in 70%.

Barcelona last played Real Betis (away) and won 5-2.

Real Madrid last played Sevilla (at home) and won 4-1.

Head-to-head, Barcelona has 5W 0D 1L from the last 6 meetings, averaging 4.83 goals a game.

Last 5 matches

Every competition. Scores are coloured from each team's side: green won, orange drew, red lost. Tap the arrow to see the first half.

18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

Barcelona
5Win0Draw0Loss
LaLiga
16 Sep 2026 · 20:30
BarcelonaB
7-2
SSantander
LaLiga
19 Sep 2026 · 20:00
SevillaS
1-3
BBarcelona
LaLiga
10 Oct 2026 · 17:30
BarcelonaB
3-0
GGetafe
Real Madrid
4Win0Draw1Loss
LaLiga
15 Sep 2026 · 20:30
ElcheE
2-3
RMReal Madrid
LaLiga
20 Sep 2026 · 15:15
AtleticoA
2-1
RMReal Madrid
LaLiga
10 Oct 2026 · 20:00
Real MadridRM
1-0
VVillarreal

First half goals

Goals scoredper gameGoals concededper game
10240.8
5110.2

Final goals

Goals scoredper gameGoals concededper game
224.461.2
132.681.6
Events
Team

Barcelona didn't draw in 15 of their last 15 matches

Barcelona or Real Madrid (no draw) · 82% chance
15 / 15
No draws

15 of Barcelona's last 15 matches had a goal in the 2nd half

Over 0.5 goals in the 2nd half · 90% chance
15 / 15
Total goals 2nd Half: +0.5

Barcelona didn't draw in 15 of their last 15 home matches

Barcelona or Real Madrid (no draw) · 82% chance
15 / 15
No draws

Barcelona didn't draw in 15 of their last 15 away matches

Barcelona or Real Madrid (no draw) · 82% chance
15 / 15
No draws

Real Madrid scored in 15 of their last 15 home matches

Real Madrid over 0.5 goals · 78% chanceReal Madrid over 1.5 goals · 45% chance
15 / 15
Goals scored

Barcelona won in 14 of their last 15 matches

Barcelona to win · 62% chance
14 / 15
Wins

Barcelona haven't lost in 14 of their last 15 matches

Barcelona or draw · 80% chance
14 / 15
Unbeaten

Barcelona scored in 14 of their last 15 matches

Barcelona over 0.5 goals · 93% chanceBarcelona over 1.5 goals · 75% chance
14 / 15
Goals scored

A pattern in past results, not a prediction. Each one shows the longest run of recent games where it held at least 80% of the time.

Standings of Barcelona and Real Madrid in LaLiga

#
Team
MP
W
D
L
GD
Pts
PPG
Last 5
1
FB
FC BarcelonaWWWWW
9
9
0
0
+30
27
3
WWWWW
2
AM
Atletico MadridWWWWW
9
7
1
1
+11
22
2.44
WWWWW
3
RM
Real MadridWWLWW
9
7
0
2
+14
21
2.33
WWLWW
4
RB
Real Betis SevilleLWDWW
9
6
1
2
+2
19
2.11
LWDWW
5
RS
Real Sociedad San SebastianWWWLW
9
5
1
3
0
16
1.78
WWWLW
6
SF
Sevilla FCLDLWW
9
4
2
3
-2
14
1.56
LDLWW
7
DA
Deportivo AlavesLLDLL
9
3
2
4
+3
11
1.22
LLDLL
8
RC
RC Celta de VigoWDWDD
9
2
5
2
+3
11
1.22
WDWDD
9
RD
RC Deportivo de A CorunaDLDLD
9
2
5
2
+1
11
1.22
DLDLD
10
CO
CA OsasunaWLDLL
9
3
2
4
-8
11
1.22
WLDLL
11
AB
Athletic BilbaoDDDWW
7
2
3
2
+1
9
1.29
DDDWW
12
VC
Villarreal CFDLWWL
9
2
3
4
0
9
1
DLWWL
13
EB
Espanyol BarcelonaLDLLW
9
2
2
5
-1
8
0.89
LDLLW
14
RV
Rayo VallecanoDWLWL
7
2
2
3
-5
8
1.14
DWLWL
15
GC
Getafe CFLWLDD
8
2
2
4
-6
8
1
LWLDD
16
RS
Racing SantanderLDLLW
9
2
2
5
-12
8
0.89
LDLLW
17
LU
Levante UDDDLLD
8
1
4
3
-4
7
0.88
DDLLD
18
EC
Elche CFDDWLD
9
1
4
4
-6
7
0.78
DDWLD
19
VC
Valencia CFDDLWL
9
1
3
5
-9
6
0.67
DDLWL
20
MC
Malaga CFLDLLD
9
0
4
5
-12
4
0.44
LDLLD
Champions League UEFA Europa League Conference League Qualification Relegation

Barcelona vs Real Madrid: pre-match stats

For each team, in how many of its recent matches did this happen? Based on its last 10 matches, in any competition.

Part of the match
Which matches
What to look at
Total goals in the match: over or under 0.5
Barcelona
Under
0% · 0 of 10
Over
100% · 10 of 10
Real Madrid
Under
0% · 0 of 10
Over
100% · 10 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 1.5
Barcelona
Under
0% · 0 of 10
Over
100% · 10 of 10
Real Madrid
Under
20% · 2 of 10
Over
80% · 8 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 2.5
Barcelona
Under
10% · 1 of 10
Over
90% · 9 of 10
Real Madrid
Under
20% · 2 of 10
Over
80% · 8 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 3.5
Barcelona
Under
20% · 2 of 10
Over
80% · 8 of 10
Real Madrid
Under
40% · 4 of 10
Over
60% · 6 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 4.5
Barcelona
Under
30% · 3 of 10
Over
70% · 7 of 10
Real Madrid
Under
50% · 5 of 10
Over
50% · 5 of 10
Our three best bets
Barcelona (draw no bet)
74% chance
both teams to score: Yes
72% chance
Barcelona to win
61% chance
Best value
both teams to score: Yes
72% chance
Barcelona to win
61% chance
Barcelona
Last 10 games
4.3
scored a game
1.1
conceded a game
Both teams scored70% of games
Over 2.5 goals90% of games
Kept a clean sheet30% of games
Real Madrid
Last 10 games
2.7
scored a game
1.2
conceded a game
Both teams scored70% of games
Over 2.5 goals80% of games
Kept a clean sheet20% of games
Barcelona
  • Out · Roony Bardghji (Midfielder) — Injured
  • Out · Andreas Christensen (Defender) — Injured
  • Out · Eric Garcia (Defender) — Injured
  • Out · Jules Kounde (Defender) — Injured
Real Madrid
  • Out · Raul Asencio (Defender) — Injured
  • Out · Ferland Mendy (Defender) — Injured
  • ROut · Rodrygo (Forward) — Injured
UEFA Champions League
13 Oct 2026 · 20:00
GalatasarayG
1-4
BBarcelona
LaLiga
17 Oct 2026 · 17:30
Real BetisRB
2-5
BBarcelona
Goals scored
22
4.4 per game
Goals conceded
6
1.2 per game
UEFA Champions League
14 Oct 2026 · 20:00
RomaR
3-4
RMReal Madrid
LaLiga
18 Oct 2026 · 20:00
Real MadridRM
4-1
SSevilla
Goals scored
13
2.6 per game
Goals conceded
8
1.6 per game