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18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

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18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

Bundesliga · Round 10
Sturm Graz
SV Ried
14:30Sun
57%
21%
Draw22%

Sturm Graz are the stronger side

DLWLW

last 5 games

WDWWW

last 5 games

Stadium
Merkur Arena, Graz · 16,364 seats
Managers
Fabio Ingolitsch · Mario Despotovic
Odds have moved in the last 24h — not advice, just worth knowing before you bet: 1X2: Away 4.10→4.40 (+7.3%), Draw No Bet: Away 3.10→3.30 (+6.5%), Double Chance: Draw or Away 1.91→2.00 (+4.7%), Over/Under: Over 3.5 2.35→2.25 (-4.3%)
Preview

Sturm Graz are 4th of 12 in Bundesliga 26/27, with 17 points from 9 games played.

SV Ried are 5th of 12, with 14 points from 9 games played.

Over their last 10, Sturm Graz scored 1.7 and conceded 1.3 a game on average, and both teams scored in 50% of those.

SV Ried scored 2.1 and conceded 1.6 a game over the same span, and both teams scored in 90%.

Sturm Graz last played GAK (at home) and won 6-1.

SV Ried last played Austria (at home) and won 3-2.

Head-to-head, Sturm Graz has 4W 2D 0L from the last 6 meetings, averaging 3 goals a game.

Last 5 matches

Every competition. Scores are coloured from each team's side: green won, orange drew, red lost. Tap the arrow to see the first half.

18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

Sturm Graz
2Win1Draw2Loss
UEFA Europa League
16 Sep 2026 · 20:00
Sturm GrazSG
0-0
SRStade Rennais
Bundesliga
20 Sep 2026 · 16:00
SalzburgS
3-0
SGSturm Graz
Bundesliga
10 Oct 2026 · 18:30
AustriaA
0-2
SGSturm Graz
SV Ried
4Win1Draw0Loss
OFB Cup
04 Sep 2026 · 18:00
Wallern/St. MarienkirchenWM
1-5
RRied
Bundesliga
11 Sep 2026 · 18:30
RiedR
1-1
SSalzburg
Bundesliga
20 Sep 2026 · 13:30
RiedR
4-1
WWolfsberg

First half goals

Goals scoredper gameGoals concededper game
40.820.4
112.220.4

Final goals

Goals scoredper gameGoals concededper game
81.671.4
15361.2
Events
Team

15 of Sturm Graz's last 15 away matches had over 1.5 goals

Over 1.5 goals · 83% chance
15 / 15
Total goals: +1.5

14 of Sturm Graz's last 15 home matches had a goal in the 2nd half

Over 0.5 goals in the 2nd half · 83% chance
14 / 15
Total goals 2nd Half: +0.5

14 of Sturm Graz's last 15 matches had over 1.5 goals in Bundesliga

Over 1.5 goals · 83% chance
14 / 15
Total goals: +1.5

Sturm Graz scored in 14 of their last 15 matches in Bundesliga

Sturm Graz over 0.5 goals · 87% chanceSturm Graz over 1.5 goals · 61% chance
14 / 15
Goals scored

14 of Sturm Graz's last 15 matches had a goal in the 2nd half in Bundesliga

Over 0.5 goals in the 2nd half · 83% chance
14 / 15
Total goals 2nd Half: +0.5

14 of Ried's last 15 matches had over 1.5 goals

Over 1.5 goals · 83% chance
14 / 15
Total goals: +1.5

14 of Ried's last 15 matches had a goal in the 1st half

Over 0.5 goals in the 1st half · 76% chance
14 / 15
Total goals 1st Half: +0.5

Ried scored in 14 of their last 15 matches

SV Ried over 0.5 goals · 69% chanceSV Ried over 1.5 goals · 33% chance
14 / 15
Goals scored

A pattern in past results, not a prediction. Each one shows the longest run of recent games where it held at least 80% of the time.

Standings of Sturm Graz and SV Ried in Bundesliga

#
Team
MP
W
D
L
GD
Pts
PPG
Last 5
1
SR
SK RapidWWWWL
9
8
0
1
+18
24
2.67
WWWWL
2
FS
FC SalzburgWDWDW
9
6
3
0
+17
21
2.33
WDWDW
3
LL
LASK LinzWLDLW
9
6
1
2
+14
19
2.11
WLDLW
4
SS
SK Sturm GrazWWLWL
9
5
2
2
+6
17
1.89
WWLWL
5
SR
SV RiedWWWDL
9
4
2
3
+1
14
1.56
WWWDL
6
WT
WSG TirolWLLDW
9
3
2
4
-2
11
1.22
WLLDW
7
TH
TSV HartbergLWDDW
9
3
2
4
-4
11
1.22
LWDDW
8
GA
Grazer AK 1902LDDWD
9
2
3
4
-15
9
1
LDDWD
9
AL
Austria LustenauLLWLL
9
2
2
5
-8
8
0.89
LLWLL
10
FA
FK Austria WienLLDWL
9
2
1
6
-9
7
0.78
LLDWL
11
SA
SCR AltachLWLLL
9
2
0
7
-7
6
0.67
LWLLL
12
WA
Wolfsberger ACLLLLL
9
1
2
6
-11
5
0.56
LLLLL
Championship round Relegation Round

Sturm Graz vs SV Ried: pre-match stats

For each team, in how many of its recent matches did this happen? Based on its last 10 matches, in any competition.

Part of the match
Which matches
What to look at
Total goals in the match: over or under 0.5
Sturm Graz
Under
10% · 1 of 10
Over
90% · 9 of 10
SV Ried
Under
0% · 0 of 10
Over
100% · 10 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 1.5
Sturm Graz
Under
20% · 2 of 10
Over
80% · 8 of 10
SV Ried
Under
10% · 1 of 10
Over
90% · 9 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 2.5
Sturm Graz
Under
40% · 4 of 10
Over
60% · 6 of 10
SV Ried
Under
30% · 3 of 10
Over
70% · 7 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 3.5
Sturm Graz
Under
70% · 7 of 10
Over
30% · 3 of 10
SV Ried
Under
50% · 5 of 10
Over
50% · 5 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 4.5
Sturm Graz
Under
80% · 8 of 10
Over
20% · 2 of 10
SV Ried
Under
50% · 5 of 10
Over
50% · 5 of 10
Our three best bets
Sturm Graz (draw no bet)
73% chance
Over 2.5 · total goals
63% chance
both teams to score: Yes
60% chance
Best value
Over 2.5 · total goals
63% chance
Sturm Graz (draw no bet)
73% chance
Sturm Graz
Last 10 games
1.7
scored a game
1.3
conceded a game
Both teams scored50% of games
Over 2.5 goals60% of games
Kept a clean sheet30% of games
SV Ried
Last 10 games
2.1
scored a game
1.6
conceded a game
Both teams scored90% of games
Over 2.5 goals70% of games
Kept a clean sheet10% of games
Sturm Graz

Nobody listed.

SV Ried

Nobody listed.

UEFA Europa League
15 Oct 2026 · 20:00
BournemouthB
3-0
SGSturm Graz
Bundesliga
18 Oct 2026 · 16:00
Sturm GrazSG
6-1
GGAK
Goals scored
8
1.6 per game
Goals conceded
7
1.4 per game
Bundesliga
10 Oct 2026 · 16:00
TirolT
1-2
RRied
Bundesliga
17 Oct 2026 · 18:30
RiedR
3-2
AAustria
Goals scored
15
3 per game
Goals conceded
6
1.2 per game