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18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

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18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

League One · Round 13
Luton
Leicester
12:30Sat
46%
30%
Draw24%

Luton are the stronger side

LWWWL

last 5 games

DWLLW

last 5 games

Stadium
Kenilworth Road, Luton · 12,056 seats
Managers
Jack Wilshere · Russell Martin
Preview

Luton are 16th of 24 in League One 26/27, with 11 points from 9 games played.

Leicester are 14th of 24, with 12 points from 9 games played.

Over their last 10, Luton scored 2.2 and conceded 1.8 a game on average, and both teams scored in 60% of those.

Leicester scored 1.8 and conceded 1.8 a game over the same span, and both teams scored in 70%.

Luton last played Milton Keynes (away) and lost 1-2.

Leicester last played Doncaster (at home) and won 2-1.

Head-to-head, Luton has 2W 1D 3L from the last 6 meetings, averaging 2.33 goals a game.

Last 5 matches

Every competition. Scores are coloured from each team's side: green won, orange drew, red lost. Tap the arrow to see the first half.

18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

Luton
3Win0Draw2Loss
League One
19 Sep 2026 · 15:00
LutonL
0-1
BBradford
EFL Trophy, Southern Group D
22 Sep 2026 · 19:00
LutonL
6-0
ITIpswich Town
EFL Trophy, Southern Group D
03 Oct 2026 · 15:00
ColchesterC
4-5
LLuton
Leicester
2Win1Draw2Loss
League One
19 Sep 2026 · 12:30
BarnsleyB
1-1
LLeicester
EFL Trophy, Southern Group B
22 Sep 2026 · 19:00
LeicesterL
6-1
FFulham
EFL Trophy, Southern Group B
06 Oct 2026 · 19:00
StevenageS
2-1
LLeicester

First half goals

Goals scoredper gameGoals concededper game
5120.4
71.451

Final goals

Goals scoredper gameGoals concededper game
163.281.6
112.281.6
Events
Team

15 of Luton's last 15 away matches had over 1.5 goals

Over 1.5 goals · 83% chance
15 / 15
Total goals: +1.5

14 of Luton's last 15 home matches had a goal in the 1st half

Over 0.5 goals in the 1st half · 76% chance
14 / 15
Total goals 1st Half: +0.5

Luton scored in 14 of their last 15 away matches

Luton over 0.5 goals · 84% chanceLuton over 1.5 goals · 54% chance
14 / 15
Goals scored

14 of Luton's last 15 away matches had a goal in the 2nd half

Over 0.5 goals in the 2nd half · 84% chance
14 / 15
Total goals 2nd Half: +0.5

Luton won or saw over 2.5 goals in 14 of their last 15 away matches

Luton to win or over 2.5 goals · 76% chance
14 / 15
Won or over 2.5 goals

14 of Luton's last 15 matches had over 1.5 goals in League One

Over 1.5 goals · 83% chance
14 / 15
Total goals: +1.5

14 of Luton's last 15 matches had a goal in the 1st half in League One

Over 0.5 goals in the 1st half · 76% chance
14 / 15
Total goals 1st Half: +0.5

Luton scored in 14 of their last 15 matches in League One

Luton over 0.5 goals · 84% chanceLuton over 1.5 goals · 54% chance
14 / 15
Goals scored

A pattern in past results, not a prediction. Each one shows the longest run of recent games where it held at least 80% of the time.

Standings of Luton and Leicester in League One

#
Team
MP
W
D
L
GD
Pts
PPG
Last 5
1
BC
Bradford City FCWDDWW
10
6
2
2
+5
20
2
WDDWW
2
SC
Stockport County FCWWWDL
10
6
1
3
+10
19
1.9
WWWDL
3
HT
Huddersfield TownWDWLD
10
5
4
1
+9
19
1.9
WDWLD
4
PA
Plymouth ArgyleLWWLW
11
6
1
4
+4
19
1.73
LWWLW
5
CU
Cambridge UnitedWWDDW
10
5
4
1
+4
19
1.9
WWDDW
6
SW
Sheffield WednesdayWDDDW
9
5
3
1
+12
18
2
WDDDW
7
RF
Reading FCLWDDW
10
4
3
3
+10
15
1.5
LWDDW
8
OU
Oxford UnitedDWDWW
8
4
3
1
+7
15
1.88
DWDWW
9
LO
Leyton Orient LondonWDLWL
10
4
2
4
+4
14
1.4
WDLWL
10
BA
Burton AlbionDLLWD
11
3
4
4
-2
13
1.18
DLLWD
11
WW
Wycombe WanderersWLDWW
10
3
4
3
-4
13
1.3
WLDWW
12
SF
Stevenage FCLWLWW
9
3
3
3
+2
12
1.33
LWLWW
13
MT
Mansfield TownDWDDL
9
3
3
3
-2
12
1.33
DWDDL
14
LC
Leicester CityWLDWL
9
3
3
3
-3
12
1.33
WLDWL
15
AW
AFC WimbledonLLDDW
10
3
3
4
-8
12
1.2
LLDDW
16
LT
Luton TownLWLLD
9
3
2
4
0
11
1.22
LWLLD
17
DR
Doncaster RoversLWWLL
9
2
3
4
-1
9
1
LWWLL
18
MK
Milton Keynes DonsWLDDD
9
1
6
2
-5
9
1
WLDDD
19
PU
Peterborough UnitedDWLLD
10
2
3
5
-7
9
0.9
DWLLD
20
BF
Blackpool FCLLLDL
9
2
2
5
-3
8
0.89
LLLDL
21
BF
Barnsley FCLLDLL
9
2
2
5
-8
8
0.89
LLDLL
22
BF
Bromley FCLLWDL
9
2
2
5
-12
8
0.89
LLWDL
23
NC
Notts CountyLLLLD
9
1
4
4
-5
7
0.78
LLLLD
24
WA
Wigan AthleticWLLDL
9
2
1
6
-7
7
0.78
WLLDL
Promotion Promotion Playoffs Relegation

Luton vs Leicester: pre-match stats

For each team, in how many of its recent matches did this happen? Based on its last 10 matches, in any competition.

Part of the match
Which matches
What to look at
Total goals in the match: over or under 0.5
Luton
Under
0% · 0 of 10
Over
100% · 10 of 10
Leicester
Under
10% · 1 of 10
Over
90% · 9 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 1.5
Luton
Under
10% · 1 of 10
Over
90% · 9 of 10
Leicester
Under
10% · 1 of 10
Over
90% · 9 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 2.5
Luton
Under
40% · 4 of 10
Over
60% · 6 of 10
Leicester
Under
30% · 3 of 10
Over
70% · 7 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 3.5
Luton
Under
60% · 6 of 10
Over
40% · 4 of 10
Leicester
Under
50% · 5 of 10
Over
50% · 5 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 4.5
Luton
Under
60% · 6 of 10
Over
40% · 4 of 10
Leicester
Under
80% · 8 of 10
Over
20% · 2 of 10
Our three best bets
Luton or Leicester
76% chance
both teams to score: Yes
64% chance
Over 2.5 · total goals
63% chance
Best value
Luton (draw no bet)
60% chance
both teams to score: Yes
64% chance
Luton
Last 10 games
2.2
scored a game
1.8
conceded a game
Both teams scored60% of games
Over 2.5 goals60% of games
Kept a clean sheet20% of games
Leicester
Last 10 games
1.8
scored a game
1.8
conceded a game
Both teams scored70% of games
Over 2.5 goals70% of games
Kept a clean sheet20% of games
No injury list for this league, so absences are unknown — this isn't the same as "no injuries".
Luton
Leicester
League One
10 Oct 2026 · 15:00
WycombeW
1-4
LLuton
League One
17 Oct 2026 · 12:30
Milton KeynesMK
2-1
LLuton
Goals scored
16
3.2 per game
Goals conceded
8
1.6 per game
League One
10 Oct 2026 · 15:00
LeicesterL
1-3
PPeterborough
League One
17 Oct 2026 · 15:00
LeicesterL
2-1
DDoncaster
Goals scored
11
2.2 per game
Goals conceded
8
1.6 per game