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18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

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18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

Liga DIMAYOR · Round 16
Atletico Nacional
Independiente Medellin
00:10Mon
52%
21%
Draw27%

Atletico Nacional are the stronger side

DWDWW

last 5 games

DLWLL

last 5 games

Stadium
Estadio Atanasio Girardot, Medellin · 44,863 seats
Managers
Lucas Gonzalez · Luis Perea
Preview

Atletico Nacional are 1st of 20 in Apertura, with 40 points from 19 games played.

Independiente Medellin are 11th of 20, with 26 points from 19 games played.

Over their last 10, Atletico Nacional scored 2 and conceded 1 a game on average, and both teams scored in 60% of those.

Independiente Medellin scored 1.5 and conceded 1.7 a game over the same span, and both teams scored in 70%.

Atletico Nacional last played Boyaca Chico (away) and won 4-1.

Independiente Medellin last played Once Caldas (at home) and lost 0-2.

Head-to-head, Atletico Nacional has 4W 2D 0L from the last 6 meetings, averaging 2.33 goals a game.

Last 5 matches

Every competition. Scores are coloured from each team's side: green won, orange drew, red lost. Tap the arrow to see the first half.

18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

Atletico Nacional
3Win2Draw0Loss
Club Friendly Games
26 Sep 2026 · 21:30
Atletico NacionalAN
1-1
CChapecoense
Liga DIMAYOR, Finalizacion
01 Oct 2026 · 02:00
Atletico NacionalAN
3-1
JJunior
Liga DIMAYOR, Finalizacion
08 Oct 2026 · 00:05
Atletico NacionalAN
0-0
T
Independiente Medellin
1Win1Draw3Loss
Liga DIMAYOR, Finalizacion
30 Sep 2026 · 02:05
Ind. MedellinIM
2-2
MMillonarios
Liga DIMAYOR, Finalizacion
06 Oct 2026 · 01:00
Ind. MedellinIM
0-1
ISIndepend. Santa Fe
Liga DIMAYOR, Finalizacion
12 Oct 2026 · 02:15
America CaliAC
1-2
IM

First half goals

Goals scoredper gameGoals concededper game
61.220.4
20.461.2

Final goals

Goals scoredper gameGoals concededper game
112.251
61.291.8
Events
Team

Atletico Nacional didn't draw in 15 of their last 15 away matches

Atletico Nacional or Independiente Medellin (no draw) · 74% chance
15 / 15
No draws

Atletico Nacional haven't lost in 14 of their last 15 home matches

Atletico Nacional or draw · 79% chance
14 / 15
Unbeaten

Atletico Nacional scored in 14 of their last 15 home matches

Atletico Nacional over 0.5 goals · 82% chanceAtletico Nacional over 1.5 goals · 51% chance
14 / 15
Goals scored

Atletico Nacional haven't lost in 13 of their last 15 matches

Atletico Nacional or draw · 79% chance
13 / 15
Unbeaten

13 of Atletico Nacional's last 15 matches had over 1.5 goals

Over 1.5 goals · 76% chance
13 / 15
Total goals: +1.5

13 of Atletico Nacional's last 15 home matches had over 1.5 goals

Over 1.5 goals · 76% chance
13 / 15
Total goals: +1.5

Atletico Nacional didn't draw in 13 of their last 15 matches in Liga DIMAYOR

Atletico Nacional or Independiente Medellin (no draw) · 74% chance
13 / 15
No draws

Atletico Nacional conceded in 13 of their last 15 away matches in Liga DIMAYOR

Independiente Medellin over 0.5 goals · 64% chance
13 / 15
Goals conceded

A pattern in past results, not a prediction. Each one shows the longest run of recent games where it held at least 80% of the time.

Standings of Atletico Nacional and Independiente Medellin in Liga DIMAYOR, Finalizacion

#
Team
MP
W
D
L
GD
Pts
PPG
Last 5
1
AN
Atletico NacionalWDWDL
19
13
1
5
+20
40
2.11
WDWDL
2
CJ
CD Junior FCDDDLL
19
11
2
6
+7
35
1.84
DDDLL
3
AP
AD PastoDLWWD
19
10
4
5
+4
34
1.79
DLWWD
4
AD
America de CaliDLWWD
19
10
3
6
+10
33
1.74
DLWWD
5
CO
CD Once CaldasWWDLL
19
8
9
2
+9
33
1.74
WWDLL
6
CT
CD TolimaLLDDD
19
8
7
4
+10
31
1.63
LLDDD
7
IS
Independiente Santa FeLWWLW
19
7
8
4
+7
29
1.53
LWWLW
8
ID
Internacional de Bogota.DDDLL
19
7
7
5
0
28
1.47
DDDLL
9
DC
Deportivo CaliDDWWW
19
7
6
6
+4
27
1.42
DDWWW
10
MF
Millonarios FCWDDDW
19
7
5
7
+8
26
1.37
WDDDW
11
IM
Independiente MedellinLWLDL
19
7
5
7
+2
26
1.37
LWLDL
12
AD
Aguilas Doradas RionegroWDDWL
19
7
5
7
-5
26
1.37
WDDWL
13
CB
CA BucaramangaDDWWW
19
5
8
6
+6
23
1.21
DDWWW
14
LF
Llaneros FCWLLLW
19
4
10
5
-3
22
1.16
WLLLW
15
FF
Fortaleza FCDDDLD
19
5
7
7
-5
22
1.16
DDDLD
16
JD
Jaguares de CordobaLWLLL
19
5
3
11
-13
18
0.95
LWLLL
17
AF
Alianza FC ValleduparDLWLW
19
3
8
8
-14
17
0.89
DLWLW
18
BC
Boyaca Chico FCLLDWL
19
5
2
12
-17
17
0.89
LLDWL
19
CD
Cucuta Deportivo FCWWWLL
19
3
7
9
-13
16
0.84
WWWLL
20
DP
Deportivo Pereira FC SADDLLD
19
1
7
11
-17
10
0.53
DDLLD
Playoffs

Atletico Nacional vs Independiente Medellin: pre-match stats

For each team, in how many of its recent matches did this happen? Based on its last 10 matches, in any competition.

Part of the match
Which matches
What to look at
Total goals in the match: over or under 0.5
Atletico Nacional
Under
10% · 1 of 10
Over
90% · 9 of 10
Independiente Medellin
Under
0% · 0 of 10
Over
100% · 10 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 1.5
Atletico Nacional
Under
10% · 1 of 10
Over
90% · 9 of 10
Independiente Medellin
Under
10% · 1 of 10
Over
90% · 9 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 2.5
Atletico Nacional
Under
50% · 5 of 10
Over
50% · 5 of 10
Independiente Medellin
Under
30% · 3 of 10
Over
70% · 7 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 3.5
Atletico Nacional
Under
60% · 6 of 10
Over
40% · 4 of 10
Independiente Medellin
Under
60% · 6 of 10
Over
40% · 4 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 4.5
Atletico Nacional
Under
70% · 7 of 10
Over
30% · 3 of 10
Independiente Medellin
Under
80% · 8 of 10
Over
20% · 2 of 10
Our three best bets
Over 1.5 · total goals
76% chance
Atletico Nacional or Independiente Medellin
74% chance
Atletico Nacional (draw no bet)
71% chance
Best value
Over 1.5 · total goals
76% chance
Under 3.5 · total goals
70% chance
Atletico Nacional
Last 10 games
2
scored a game
1
conceded a game
Both teams scored60% of games
Over 2.5 goals50% of games
Kept a clean sheet30% of games
Independiente Medellin
Last 10 games
1.5
scored a game
1.7
conceded a game
Both teams scored70% of games
Over 2.5 goals70% of games
Kept a clean sheet0% of games
Atletico Nacional
  • Out · James Rodriguez (Midfielder) — Other
Independiente Medellin

Nobody listed.

Tolima
Copa DIMAYOR, Knockout Stage
15 Oct 2026 · 02:30
Atletico NacionalAN
3-2
IMInd. Medellin
Liga DIMAYOR, Finalizacion
17 Oct 2026 · 21:00
Boyaca ChicoBC
1-4
ANAtletico Nacional
Goals scored
11
2.2 per game
Goals conceded
5
1 per game
Ind. Medellin
Copa DIMAYOR, Knockout Stage
15 Oct 2026 · 02:30
Atletico NacionalAN
3-2
IMInd. Medellin
Liga DIMAYOR, Finalizacion
18 Oct 2026 · 02:10
Ind. MedellinIM
0-2
OCOnce Caldas
Goals scored
6
1.2 per game
Goals conceded
9
1.8 per game