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18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

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18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

Premier League · Round 8
Sunderland AFC
Leeds United
17:30Sun
33%
38%
Draw29%

Evenly matched

WLLWL

last 5 games

LWDLD

last 5 games

Stadium
Stadium of Light, Sunderland · 48,095 seats
Managers
Regis Le Bris · Daniel Farke
Odds have moved in the last 24h — not advice, just worth knowing before you bet: Draw No Bet: Home 1.97→2.05 (+4.1%), 1X2: Home 2.80→2.89 (+3.2%), 1X2: Away 2.61→2.53 (-3.1%)
Preview

Sunderland AFC are 19th of 20 in Premier League, with 4 points from 7 games played.

Leeds United are 7th of 20, with 10 points from 7 games played.

Over their last 10, Sunderland AFC scored 1 and conceded 1.5 a game on average, and both teams scored in 40% of those.

Leeds United scored 1.8 and conceded 1.2 a game over the same span, and both teams scored in 60%.

Sunderland AFC last played Bournemouth (away) and lost 0-2.

Leeds United last played Manchester United (at home) and drew 1-1.

Head-to-head, Sunderland AFC has 1W 3D 2L from the last 6 meetings, averaging 1.83 goals a game.

Last 5 matches

Every competition. Scores are coloured from each team's side: green won, orange drew, red lost. Tap the arrow to see the first half.

18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

Sunderland AFC
2Win0Draw3Loss
UEFA Europa League
16 Sep 2026 · 20:00
SunderlandS
1-0
AAlkmaar
Premier League
20 Sep 2026 · 14:00
Manchester CityMC
5-3
SSunderland
Premier League
10 Oct 2026 · 15:00
SunderlandS
0-2
BBrighton
Leeds United
1Win2Draw2Loss
EFL Cup
09 Sep 2026 · 20:15
ChelseaC
6-3
LULeeds United
Premier League
14 Sep 2026 · 20:00
Leeds UnitedLU
4-1
NNewcastle
Premier League
20 Sep 2026 · 14:00
Leeds UnitedLU
0-0
CPCrystal Palace

First half goals

Goals scoredper gameGoals concededper game
20.451
40.810.2

Final goals

Goals scoredper gameGoals concededper game
61.2102
91.8102
Events
Team

Sunderland didn't draw in 14 of their last 15 matches

Sunderland AFC or Leeds United (no draw) · 71% chance
14 / 15
No draws

Sunderland didn't draw in 14 of their last 15 home matches

Sunderland AFC or Leeds United (no draw) · 71% chance
14 / 15
No draws

14 of Sunderland's last 15 matches had a goal in the 2nd half in Premier League

Over 0.5 goals in the 2nd half · 76% chance
14 / 15
Total goals 2nd Half: +0.5

Leeds United scored in 14 of their last 15 matches

Leeds United over 0.5 goals · 73% chanceLeeds United over 1.5 goals · 37% chance
14 / 15
Goals scored

13 of Sunderland's last 15 matches had under 3.5 goals

Under 3.5 goals · 75% chance
13 / 15
Total goals: -3.5

13 of Sunderland's last 15 matches had a goal in the 2nd half

Over 0.5 goals in the 2nd half · 76% chance
13 / 15
Total goals 2nd Half: +0.5

13 of Sunderland's last 15 home matches had under 3.5 goals

Under 3.5 goals · 75% chance
13 / 15
Total goals: -3.5

13 of Sunderland's last 15 home matches had under 1.5 goals in the 1st half

Under 1.5 goals in the 1st half · 70% chance
13 / 15
Total goals 1st Half: -1.5

A pattern in past results, not a prediction. Each one shows the longest run of recent games where it held at least 80% of the time.

Standings of Sunderland AFC and Leeds United in Premier League

#
Team
MP
W
D
L
GD
Pts
PPG
Last 5
1
MC
Manchester CityWWWWW
7
7
0
0
+12
21
3
WWWWW
2
AF
Arsenal FCWWLWW
7
6
0
1
+6
18
2.57
WWLWW
3
B&
Brighton & Hove AlbionWWWWD
7
5
1
1
+18
16
2.29
WWWWD
4
CF
Chelsea FCWWLDL
7
4
1
2
+4
13
1.86
WWLDL
5
LF
Liverpool FCWLWDW
7
3
3
1
+1
12
1.71
WLWDW
6
BF
Brentford FCLDWDD
7
2
4
1
+5
10
1.43
LDWDD
7
LU
Leeds UnitedDLDWD
7
2
4
1
+3
10
1.43
DLDWD
8
EF
Everton FCLDWDD
7
2
4
1
+1
10
1.43
LDWDD
9
HC
Hull CityLDLDD
7
2
3
2
+1
9
1.29
LDLDD
10
IT
Ipswich TownLWLWL
7
3
0
4
-4
9
1.29
LWLWL
11
NU
Newcastle UnitedLLWLD
7
2
2
3
-4
8
1.14
LLWLD
12
AV
Aston VillaWDWLD
7
2
2
3
-4
8
1.14
WDWLD
13
MU
Manchester UnitedDDDLD
7
1
4
2
0
7
1
DDDLD
14
CP
Crystal PalaceLWDLW
7
2
1
4
-8
7
1
LWDLW
15
AB
AFC BournemouthWLLDD
7
1
3
3
-4
6
0.86
WLLDD
16
CC
Coventry CityWWLLL
6
2
0
4
-6
6
1
WWLLL
17
FF
Fulham FCWLDDL
7
1
2
4
-3
5
0.71
WLDDL
18
NF
Nottingham ForestLLLWD
7
1
2
4
-4
5
0.71
LLLWD
19
SA
Sunderland AFCLLLLD
7
1
1
5
-8
4
0.57
LLLLD
20
TH
Tottenham HotspurDLDDL
6
0
3
3
-6
3
0.5
DLDDL
Champions League UEFA Europa League Relegation

Sunderland AFC vs Leeds United: pre-match stats

For each team, in how many of its recent matches did this happen? Based on its last 10 matches, in any competition.

Part of the match
Which matches
What to look at
Total goals in the match: over or under 0.5
Sunderland AFC
Under
0% · 0 of 10
Over
100% · 10 of 10
Leeds United
Under
10% · 1 of 10
Over
90% · 9 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 1.5
Sunderland AFC
Under
30% · 3 of 10
Over
70% · 7 of 10
Leeds United
Under
20% · 2 of 10
Over
80% · 8 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 2.5
Sunderland AFC
Under
70% · 7 of 10
Over
30% · 3 of 10
Leeds United
Under
60% · 6 of 10
Over
40% · 4 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 3.5
Sunderland AFC
Under
90% · 9 of 10
Over
10% · 1 of 10
Leeds United
Under
70% · 7 of 10
Over
30% · 3 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 4.5
Sunderland AFC
Under
90% · 9 of 10
Over
10% · 1 of 10
Leeds United
Under
80% · 8 of 10
Over
20% · 2 of 10
Our three best bets
Under 3.5 · total goals
76% chance
Sunderland AFC or Leeds United
70% chance
Leeds United (draw no bet)
54% chance
Best value
Under 3.5 · total goals
76% chance
Under 2.5 · total goals
55% chance
Sunderland AFC
Last 10 games
1
scored a game
1.5
conceded a game
Both teams scored40% of games
Over 2.5 goals30% of games
Kept a clean sheet30% of games
Leeds United
Last 10 games
1.8
scored a game
1.2
conceded a game
Both teams scored60% of games
Over 2.5 goals40% of games
Kept a clean sheet40% of games
Sunderland AFC
  • RMOut · Romaine Mundle (Midfielder) — Injured
  • Out · Daniel Ballard (Defender) — Injured
  • Out · Thomas Meunier (Defender) — Injured
Leeds United
  • Out · Mateo Joseph (Forward) — Injured
  • Out · Joe Rodon (Defender) — Injured
UEFA Europa League
15 Oct 2026 · 17:45
TorreenseT
1-2
SSunderland
Premier League
18 Oct 2026 · 14:00
BournemouthB
2-0
SSunderland
Goals scored
6
1.2 per game
Goals conceded
10
2 per game
Premier League
10 Oct 2026 · 12:30
ArsenalA
2-1
LULeeds United
Premier League
18 Oct 2026 · 14:00
Leeds UnitedLU
1-1
MUManchester United
Goals scored
9
1.8 per game
Goals conceded
10
2 per game