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18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

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18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

Premier League · Round 8
Liverpool
Brighton
15:00Sun
45%
30%
Draw25%

Liverpool are the stronger side

WWLWW

last 5 games

WWWWW

last 5 games

Stadium
Anfield, Liverpool · 61,276 seats
Managers
Andoni Iraola · Fabian Hurzeler
Preview

Liverpool are 5th of 20 in Premier League, with 12 points from 7 games played.

Brighton are 3rd of 20, with 16 points from 7 games played.

Over their last 10, Liverpool scored 2 and conceded 1.3 a game on average, and both teams scored in 60% of those.

Brighton scored 3.4 and conceded 0.7 a game over the same span, and both teams scored in 30%.

Liverpool last played Brentford (away) and won 2-1.

Brighton last played Crystal Palace (at home) and won 5-0.

Head-to-head, Liverpool has 4W 0D 2L from the last 6 meetings, averaging 3.5 goals a game.

Last 5 matches

Every competition. Scores are coloured from each team's side: green won, orange drew, red lost. Tap the arrow to see the first half.

18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

Liverpool
4Win0Draw1Loss
EFL Cup
15 Sep 2026 · 20:00
LiverpoolL
3-1
TTottenham
Premier League
20 Sep 2026 · 14:00
BournemouthB
0-1
LLiverpool
Premier League
11 Oct 2026 · 16:30
LiverpoolL
0-3
MCManchester City
Brighton
5Win0Draw0Loss
EFL Cup
16 Sep 2026 · 20:00
Manchester UnitedMU
2-3
BBrighton
Premier League
19 Sep 2026 · 15:00
BrightonB
3-0
AArsenal
Premier League
10 Oct 2026 · 15:00
SunderlandS
0-2
BBrighton

First half goals

Goals scoredper gameGoals concededper game
40.810.2
81.620.4

Final goals

Goals scoredper gameGoals concededper game
122.481.6
173.420.4
Events
Team

Liverpool won or saw over 2.5 goals in 14 of their last 15 matches

Liverpool to win or over 2.5 goals · 74% chance
14 / 15
Won or over 2.5 goals

Liverpool didn't draw in 14 of their last 15 away matches

Liverpool or Brighton (no draw) · 75% chance
14 / 15
No draws

Brighton didn't draw in 14 of their last 15 home matches

Liverpool or Brighton (no draw) · 75% chance
14 / 15
No draws

14 of Brighton's last 15 matches had over 1.5 goals in Premier League

Over 1.5 goals · 82% chance
14 / 15
Total goals: +1.5

14 of Brighton's last 15 matches had a goal in the 2nd half in Premier League

Over 0.5 goals in the 2nd half · 83% chance
14 / 15
Total goals 2nd Half: +0.5

14 of Brighton's last 15 away matches had a goal in the 2nd half in Premier League

Over 0.5 goals in the 2nd half · 83% chance
14 / 15
Total goals 2nd Half: +0.5

Liverpool scored in 13 of their last 15 matches

Liverpool over 0.5 goals · 83% chanceLiverpool over 1.5 goals · 52% chance
13 / 15
Goals scored

Liverpool won at least one half in 13 of their last 15 matches

Liverpool to win either half · 61% chance
13 / 15
Won at least one half

A pattern in past results, not a prediction. Each one shows the longest run of recent games where it held at least 80% of the time.

Standings of Liverpool and Brighton in Premier League

#
Team
MP
W
D
L
GD
Pts
PPG
Last 5
1
MC
Manchester CityWWWWW
7
7
0
0
+12
21
3
WWWWW
2
AF
Arsenal FCWWLWW
7
6
0
1
+6
18
2.57
WWLWW
3
B&
Brighton & Hove AlbionWWWWD
7
5
1
1
+18
16
2.29
WWWWD
4
CF
Chelsea FCWWLDL
7
4
1
2
+4
13
1.86
WWLDL
5
LF
Liverpool FCWLWDW
7
3
3
1
+1
12
1.71
WLWDW
6
BF
Brentford FCLDWDD
7
2
4
1
+5
10
1.43
LDWDD
7
LU
Leeds UnitedDLDWD
7
2
4
1
+3
10
1.43
DLDWD
8
EF
Everton FCLDWDD
7
2
4
1
+1
10
1.43
LDWDD
9
HC
Hull CityLDLDD
7
2
3
2
+1
9
1.29
LDLDD
10
IT
Ipswich TownLWLWL
7
3
0
4
-4
9
1.29
LWLWL
11
NU
Newcastle UnitedLLWLD
7
2
2
3
-4
8
1.14
LLWLD
12
AV
Aston VillaWDWLD
7
2
2
3
-4
8
1.14
WDWLD
13
MU
Manchester UnitedDDDLD
7
1
4
2
0
7
1
DDDLD
14
CP
Crystal PalaceLWDLW
7
2
1
4
-8
7
1
LWDLW
15
AB
AFC BournemouthWLLDD
7
1
3
3
-4
6
0.86
WLLDD
16
CC
Coventry CityWWLLL
6
2
0
4
-6
6
1
WWLLL
17
FF
Fulham FCWLDDL
7
1
2
4
-3
5
0.71
WLDDL
18
NF
Nottingham ForestLLLWD
7
1
2
4
-4
5
0.71
LLLWD
19
SA
Sunderland AFCLLLLD
7
1
1
5
-8
4
0.57
LLLLD
20
TH
Tottenham HotspurDLDDL
6
0
3
3
-6
3
0.5
DLDDL
Champions League UEFA Europa League Relegation

Liverpool vs Brighton: pre-match stats

For each team, in how many of its recent matches did this happen? Based on its last 10 matches, in any competition.

Part of the match
Which matches
What to look at
Total goals in the match: over or under 0.5
Liverpool
Under
10% · 1 of 10
Over
90% · 9 of 10
Brighton
Under
0% · 0 of 10
Over
100% · 10 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 1.5
Liverpool
Under
20% · 2 of 10
Over
80% · 8 of 10
Brighton
Under
0% · 0 of 10
Over
100% · 10 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 2.5
Liverpool
Under
30% · 3 of 10
Over
70% · 7 of 10
Brighton
Under
20% · 2 of 10
Over
80% · 8 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 3.5
Liverpool
Under
60% · 6 of 10
Over
40% · 4 of 10
Brighton
Under
30% · 3 of 10
Over
70% · 7 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 4.5
Liverpool
Under
90% · 9 of 10
Over
10% · 1 of 10
Brighton
Under
60% · 6 of 10
Over
40% · 4 of 10
Our three best bets
Liverpool or Brighton
76% chance
both teams to score: Yes
63% chance
Under 3.5 · total goals
61% chance
Best value
Under 3.5 · total goals
61% chance
Liverpool or Brighton
76% chance
Liverpool
Last 10 games
2
scored a game
1.3
conceded a game
Both teams scored60% of games
Over 2.5 goals70% of games
Kept a clean sheet30% of games
Brighton
Last 10 games
3.4
scored a game
0.7
conceded a game
Both teams scored30% of games
Over 2.5 goals80% of games
Kept a clean sheet70% of games
Liverpool
  • CBOut · Conor Bradley (Defender) — Injured
  • Out · Hugo Ekitike (Forward) — Injured
  • GLOut · Giovanni Leoni (Defender) — Injured
  • Out · Dominik Szoboszlai (Midfielder) — Injured
  • Out · Jeremie Frimpong (Defender) — Injured
  • Out · Amara Nallo (Defender) — Injured
Brighton
  • Out · Yankuba Minteh (Forward) — Injured
  • FAOut · Femi Azeez (Midfielder) — Injured
  • Out · Kaoru Mitoma (Midfielder) — Injured
  • STOut · Stefanos Tzimas (Forward) — Injured
  • Out · Mats Wieffer (Defender) — Injured
  • ZYOut · Zadok Yohanna (Forward) — Other
  • EFOut · Evan Ferguson (Forward) — Injured
UEFA Champions League
14 Oct 2026 · 17:45
LASKL
3-6
LLiverpool
Premier League
17 Oct 2026 · 15:00
BrentfordB
1-2
LLiverpool
Goals scored
12
2.4 per game
Goals conceded
8
1.6 per game
UEFA Conference League
15 Oct 2026 · 20:00
BrightonB
4-0
KKauno
Premier League
18 Oct 2026 · 14:00
BrightonB
5-0
CPCrystal Palace
Goals scored
17
3.4 per game
Goals conceded
2
0.4 per game