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18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

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18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

Premier League · Round 8
Aston Villa
Man City
12:30Sat
21%
56%
Draw23%

Man City are the stronger side

WWDWW

last 5 games

WWWLW

last 5 games

Stadium
Villa Park, Birmingham · 43,205 seats
Managers
Unai Emery · Enzo Maresca
Preview

Aston Villa are 12th of 20 in Premier League, with 8 points from 7 games played.

Man City are 1st of 20, with 21 points from 7 games played.

Over their last 10, Aston Villa scored 2.2 and conceded 1.1 a game on average, and both teams scored in 60% of those.

Man City scored 2.8 and conceded 1.1 a game over the same span, and both teams scored in 50%.

Aston Villa last played Newcastle (away) and won 1-0.

Man City last played Ipswich (at home) and won 3-2.

Head-to-head, Aston Villa has 4W 0D 2L from the last 6 meetings, averaging 2.67 goals a game.

Last 5 matches

Every competition. Scores are coloured from each team's side: green won, orange drew, red lost. Tap the arrow to see the first half.

18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

Aston Villa
4Win1Draw0Loss
Premier League
19 Sep 2026 · 12:30
TottenhamT
2-3
AVAston Villa
Club Friendly Games
02 Oct 2026 · 19:30
SevillaS
1-3
AVAston Villa
Premier League
10 Oct 2026 · 15:00
Aston VillaAV
2-2
BBrentford
Man City
4Win0Draw1Loss
EFL Cup
17 Sep 2026 · 19:30
Manchester CityMC
5-0
NNorwich
Premier League
20 Sep 2026 · 14:00
Manchester CityMC
5-3
SSunderland
Premier League
11 Oct 2026 · 16:30
LiverpoolL
0-3
MCManchester City

First half goals

Goals scoredper gameGoals concededper game
61.210.2
71.461.2

Final goals

Goals scoredper gameGoals concededper game
15351
183.691.8
Events
Team

15 of Aston Villa's last 15 home matches had a goal in the 2nd half

Over 0.5 goals in the 2nd half · 83% chance
15 / 15
Total goals 2nd Half: +0.5

Manchester City didn't draw in 15 of their last 15 matches

Aston Villa or Man City (no draw) · 77% chance
15 / 15
No draws

Manchester City won or saw over 2.5 goals in 15 of their last 15 matches

Man City to win or over 2.5 goals · 78% chance
15 / 15
Won or over 2.5 goals

Manchester City didn't draw in 15 of their last 15 home matches

Aston Villa or Man City (no draw) · 77% chance
15 / 15
No draws

Manchester City scored in 15 of their last 15 home matches

Man City over 0.5 goals · 87% chanceMan City over 1.5 goals · 60% chance
15 / 15
Goals scored

Manchester City won or saw over 2.5 goals in 15 of their last 15 home matches

Man City to win or over 2.5 goals · 78% chance
15 / 15
Won or over 2.5 goals

Manchester City scored in 15 of their last 15 matches in Premier League

Man City over 0.5 goals · 87% chanceMan City over 1.5 goals · 60% chance
15 / 15
Goals scored

Manchester City won at least one half in 15 of their last 15 matches in Premier League

Man City to win either half · 70% chance
15 / 15
Won at least one half

A pattern in past results, not a prediction. Each one shows the longest run of recent games where it held at least 80% of the time.

Standings of Aston Villa and Man City in Premier League

#
Team
MP
W
D
L
GD
Pts
PPG
Last 5
1
MC
Manchester CityWWWWW
7
7
0
0
+12
21
3
WWWWW
2
AF
Arsenal FCWWLWW
7
6
0
1
+6
18
2.57
WWLWW
3
B&
Brighton & Hove AlbionWWWWD
7
5
1
1
+18
16
2.29
WWWWD
4
CF
Chelsea FCWWLDL
7
4
1
2
+4
13
1.86
WWLDL
5
LF
Liverpool FCWLWDW
7
3
3
1
+1
12
1.71
WLWDW
6
BF
Brentford FCLDWDD
7
2
4
1
+5
10
1.43
LDWDD
7
LU
Leeds UnitedDLDWD
7
2
4
1
+3
10
1.43
DLDWD
8
EF
Everton FCLDWDD
7
2
4
1
+1
10
1.43
LDWDD
9
HC
Hull CityLDLDD
7
2
3
2
+1
9
1.29
LDLDD
10
IT
Ipswich TownLWLWL
7
3
0
4
-4
9
1.29
LWLWL
11
NU
Newcastle UnitedLLWLD
7
2
2
3
-4
8
1.14
LLWLD
12
AV
Aston VillaWDWLD
7
2
2
3
-4
8
1.14
WDWLD
13
MU
Manchester UnitedDDDLD
7
1
4
2
0
7
1
DDDLD
14
CP
Crystal PalaceLWDLW
7
2
1
4
-8
7
1
LWDLW
15
AB
AFC BournemouthWLLDD
7
1
3
3
-4
6
0.86
WLLDD
16
CC
Coventry CityWWLLL
6
2
0
4
-6
6
1
WWLLL
17
FF
Fulham FCWLDDL
7
1
2
4
-3
5
0.71
WLDDL
18
NF
Nottingham ForestLLLWD
7
1
2
4
-4
5
0.71
LLLWD
19
SA
Sunderland AFCLLLLD
7
1
1
5
-8
4
0.57
LLLLD
20
TH
Tottenham HotspurDLDDL
6
0
3
3
-6
3
0.5
DLDDL
Champions League UEFA Europa League Relegation

Aston Villa vs Man City: pre-match stats

For each team, in how many of its recent matches did this happen? Based on its last 10 matches, in any competition.

Part of the match
Which matches
What to look at
Total goals in the match: over or under 0.5
Aston Villa
Under
10% · 1 of 10
Over
90% · 9 of 10
Man City
Under
0% · 0 of 10
Over
100% · 10 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 1.5
Aston Villa
Under
30% · 3 of 10
Over
70% · 7 of 10
Man City
Under
20% · 2 of 10
Over
80% · 8 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 2.5
Aston Villa
Under
30% · 3 of 10
Over
70% · 7 of 10
Man City
Under
30% · 3 of 10
Over
70% · 7 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 3.5
Aston Villa
Under
40% · 4 of 10
Over
60% · 6 of 10
Man City
Under
50% · 5 of 10
Over
50% · 5 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 4.5
Aston Villa
Under
70% · 7 of 10
Over
30% · 3 of 10
Man City
Under
50% · 5 of 10
Over
50% · 5 of 10
Our three best bets
Aston Villa or Man City
77% chance
Man City (draw no bet)
72% chance
Over 2.5 · total goals
62% chance
Best value
Aston Villa or Man City
77% chance
Man City to win
56% chance
Aston Villa
Last 10 games
2.2
scored a game
1.1
conceded a game
Both teams scored60% of games
Over 2.5 goals70% of games
Kept a clean sheet30% of games
Man City
Last 10 games
2.8
scored a game
1.1
conceded a game
Both teams scored50% of games
Over 2.5 goals70% of games
Kept a clean sheet50% of games
Aston Villa
  • Out · Modou Keba Cisse (Defender) — Injured
  • Out · George Hemmings (Forward) — Injured
  • Out · Ian Maatsen (Defender) — Injured
  • Out · Amadou Onana (Midfielder) — Injured
  • Out · Matteo Ruggeri (Defender) — Injured
Man City

Nobody listed.

UEFA Champions League
14 Oct 2026 · 20:00
Aston VillaAV
6-0
FFenerbahce
Premier League
17 Oct 2026 · 17:30
NewcastleN
0-1
AVAston Villa
Goals scored
15
3 per game
Goals conceded
5
1 per game
UEFA Champions League
14 Oct 2026 · 20:00
Manchester CityMC
2-4
PPSG
Premier League
17 Oct 2026 · 15:00
Manchester CityMC
3-2
IIpswich
Goals scored
18
3.6 per game
Goals conceded
9
1.8 per game