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18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

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18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

Championship · Round 12
Greenock Morton FC
Ayr United FC
15:00Sat
29%
44%
Draw27%

Ayr United FC are the stronger side

LLLWW

last 5 games

WLWDL

last 5 games

Stadium
Cappielow Park, Greenock · 11,589 seats
Managers
Gary Miller · Gary Andrew Naysmith
Preview

Greenock Morton FC are 9th of 10 in Championship, with 7 points from 11 games played.

Ayr United FC are 7th of 10, with 12 points from 11 games played.

Over their last 10, Greenock Morton FC scored 0.9 and conceded 1.7 a game on average, and both teams scored in 60% of those.

Ayr United FC scored 0.9 and conceded 1.4 a game over the same span, and both teams scored in 50%.

Greenock Morton FC last played Queen's Park (at home) and won 2-0.

Ayr United FC last played Partick Thistle (at home) and lost 0-1.

Head-to-head, Greenock Morton FC has 2W 3D 1L from the last 6 meetings, averaging 2.5 goals a game.

Last 5 matches

Every competition. Scores are coloured from each team's side: green won, orange drew, red lost. Tap the arrow to see the first half.

18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

Greenock Morton FC
2Win0Draw3Loss
Championship
19 Sep 2026 · 15:00
GreenockG
0-1
DDunfermline
Championship
25 Sep 2026 · 19:45
InvernessI
2-0
GGreenock
Championship
03 Oct 2026 · 15:00
GreenockG
1-2
RRRaith Rovers
Ayr United FC
2Win1Draw2Loss
Championship
18 Sep 2026 · 19:30
Queen's ParkQP
0-2
AAyr
Championship
25 Sep 2026 · 19:45
AyrA
0-1
SStenhousemuir
Championship
03 Oct 2026 · 15:00
LivingstonL
1-2
AAyr

First half goals

Goals scoredper gameGoals concededper game
30.620.4
30.630.6

Final goals

Goals scoredper gameGoals concededper game
5161.2
5140.8
Events
Team

Greenock didn't draw in 14 of their last 15 matches

Greenock Morton FC or Ayr United FC (no draw) · 72% chance
14 / 15
No draws

14 of Greenock's last 15 matches had under 3.5 goals

Under 3.5 goals · 73% chance
14 / 15
Total goals: -3.5

Greenock conceded in 14 of their last 15 matches

Ayr United FC over 0.5 goals · 77% chance
14 / 15
Goals conceded

14 of Greenock's last 15 home matches had under 3.5 goals

Under 3.5 goals · 73% chance
14 / 15
Total goals: -3.5

14 of Greenock's last 15 away matches had over 1.5 goals

Over 1.5 goals · 74% chance
14 / 15
Total goals: +1.5

Greenock conceded in 14 of their last 15 away matches

Ayr United FC over 0.5 goals · 77% chance
14 / 15
Goals conceded

14 of Ayr's last 15 away matches had a goal in the 1st half

Over 0.5 goals in the 1st half · 68% chance
14 / 15
Total goals 1st Half: +0.5

14 of Ayr's last 15 matches had under 3.5 goals in Championship

Under 3.5 goals · 73% chance
14 / 15
Total goals: -3.5

A pattern in past results, not a prediction. Each one shows the longest run of recent games where it held at least 80% of the time.

Standings of Greenock Morton FC and Ayr United FC in Championship

#
Team
MP
W
D
L
GD
Pts
PPG
Last 5
1
SF
Stenhousemuir FCDLWWW
10
7
2
1
+8
23
2.3
DLWWW
2
RR
Raith Rovers FCDWWLD
11
6
3
2
+9
21
1.91
DWWLD
3
PT
Partick Thistle FCWWWDL
10
6
3
1
+8
21
2.1
WWWDL
4
IC
Inverness Caledonian Thistle FCWLWWD
11
4
4
3
+3
16
1.45
WLWWD
5
LF
Livingston FCDLLWD
11
4
2
5
+3
14
1.27
DLLWD
6
DA
Dunfermline Athletic FCDDWWD
9
3
5
1
+2
14
1.56
DDWWD
7
AU
Ayr United FCLDWLW
11
3
3
5
-2
12
1.09
LDWLW
8
AF
Arbroath FCLLLWL
11
3
2
6
-10
11
1
LLLWL
9
GM
Greenock Morton FCWWLLL
11
2
1
8
-9
7
0.64
WWLLL
10
QP
Queens Park FCLWLLL
11
2
1
8
-12
7
0.64
LWLLL
Promotion Promotion Playoffs Relegation Playoffs Relegation

Greenock Morton FC vs Ayr United FC: pre-match stats

For each team, in how many of its recent matches did this happen? Based on its last 10 matches, in any competition.

Part of the match
Which matches
What to look at
Total goals in the match: over or under 0.5
Greenock Morton FC
Under
0% · 0 of 10
Over
100% · 10 of 10
Ayr United FC
Under
0% · 0 of 10
Over
100% · 10 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 1.5
Greenock Morton FC
Under
10% · 1 of 10
Over
90% · 9 of 10
Ayr United FC
Under
30% · 3 of 10
Over
70% · 7 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 2.5
Greenock Morton FC
Under
50% · 5 of 10
Over
50% · 5 of 10
Ayr United FC
Under
70% · 7 of 10
Over
30% · 3 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 3.5
Greenock Morton FC
Under
90% · 9 of 10
Over
10% · 1 of 10
Ayr United FC
Under
80% · 8 of 10
Over
20% · 2 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 4.5
Greenock Morton FC
Under
90% · 9 of 10
Over
10% · 1 of 10
Ayr United FC
Under
90% · 9 of 10
Over
10% · 1 of 10
Our three best bets
Over 1.5 · total goals
72% chance
Greenock Morton FC or Ayr United FC
72% chance
Ayr United FC (draw no bet)
61% chance
Best value
Ayr United FC (draw no bet)
61% chance
Under 3.5 · total goals
72% chance
Greenock Morton FC
Last 10 games
0.9
scored a game
1.7
conceded a game
Both teams scored60% of games
Over 2.5 goals50% of games
Kept a clean sheet10% of games
Ayr United FC
Last 10 games
0.9
scored a game
1.4
conceded a game
Both teams scored50% of games
Over 2.5 goals30% of games
Kept a clean sheet10% of games
No injury list for this league, so absences are unknown — this isn't the same as "no injuries".
Greenock Morton FC
Ayr United FC
Championship
10 Oct 2026 · 15:00
ArbroathA
1-2
GGreenock
Championship
17 Oct 2026 · 15:00
GreenockG
2-0
QPQueen's Park
Goals scored
5
1 per game
Goals conceded
6
1.2 per game
Championship
10 Oct 2026 · 15:00
AyrA
1-1
DDunfermline
Championship
16 Oct 2026 · 19:30
AyrA
0-1
PTPartick Thistle
Goals scored
5
1 per game
Goals conceded
4
0.8 per game