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18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

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18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

Premiership · Round 10
Motherwell FC
Heart of Midlothian FC
15:00Sun
30%
45%
Draw25%

Heart of Midlothian FC are the stronger side

LLLLL

last 5 games

LDWDL

last 5 games

Stadium
Fir Park, Motherwell · 13,677 seats
Managers
Alfred Johansson · Wouter Vrancken
Odds have moved in the last 24h — not advice, just worth knowing before you bet: Draw No Bet: Home 2.55→2.30 (-9.8%), 1X2: Home 3.47→3.17 (-8.6%), Draw No Bet: Away 1.50→1.59 (+6%), 1X2: Away 2.02→2.14 (+5.9%)
Preview

Motherwell FC are 10th of 12 in Premiership 26/27, with 8 points from 9 games played.

Heart of Midlothian FC are 3rd of 12, with 16 points from 9 games played.

Over their last 10, Motherwell FC scored 1.1 and conceded 2.3 a game on average, and both teams scored in 50% of those.

Heart of Midlothian FC scored 2.5 and conceded 1.9 a game over the same span, and both teams scored in 80%.

Motherwell FC last played Kilmarnock (away) and lost 2-3.

Heart of Midlothian FC last played Celtic (away) and lost 1-7.

Head-to-head, Motherwell FC has 0W 4D 2L from the last 6 meetings, averaging 2.5 goals a game.

Last 5 matches

Every competition. Scores are coloured from each team's side: green won, orange drew, red lost. Tap the arrow to see the first half.

18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

Motherwell FC
0Win0Draw5Loss
Premiership
05 Sep 2026 · 15:00
RangersR
1-0
MMotherwell
Premiership
15 Sep 2026 · 19:45
MotherwellM
0-4
AAberdeen
Premiership
19 Sep 2026 · 15:00
Dundee FCDF
2-1
MMotherwell
Heart of Midlothian FC
1Win2Draw2Loss
Premiership
15 Sep 2026 · 19:45
FalkirkF
2-1
HOHeart of Midlothian
Premiership
19 Sep 2026 · 17:45
KilmarnockK
1-1
HOHeart of Midlothian
Premiership
10 Oct 2026 · 15:00
Heart of MidlothianHO
5-0
SMSt. Mirren

First half goals

Goals scoredper gameGoals concededper game
20.461.2
5171.4

Final goals

Goals scoredper gameGoals concededper game
30.6122.4
91.8112.2
Events
Team

15 of Heart of Midlothian's last 15 matches had over 1.5 goals

Over 1.5 goals · 80% chance
15 / 15
Total goals: +1.5

Heart of Midlothian scored in 15 of their last 15 matches

Heart of Midlothian FC over 0.5 goals · 81% chanceHeart of Midlothian FC over 1.5 goals · 50% chance
15 / 15
Goals scored

15 of Heart of Midlothian's last 15 matches had a goal in the 2nd half

Over 0.5 goals in the 2nd half · 82% chance
15 / 15
Total goals 2nd Half: +0.5

Heart of Midlothian drew or saw over 2.5 goals in 15 of their last 15 matches

A draw or over 2.5 goals · 75% chance
15 / 15
Drew or over 2.5 goals

15 of Heart of Midlothian's last 15 away matches had a goal in the 1st half

Over 0.5 goals in the 1st half · 73% chance
15 / 15
Total goals 1st Half: +0.5

14 of Heart of Midlothian's last 15 matches had a goal in the 1st half

Over 0.5 goals in the 1st half · 73% chance
14 / 15
Total goals 1st Half: +0.5

Heart of Midlothian haven't lost in 14 of their last 15 home matches

Heart of Midlothian FC or draw · 70% chance
14 / 15
Unbeaten

Heart of Midlothian scored in 14 of their last 15 home matches

Heart of Midlothian FC over 0.5 goals · 81% chanceHeart of Midlothian FC over 1.5 goals · 50% chance
14 / 15
Goals scored

A pattern in past results, not a prediction. Each one shows the longest run of recent games where it held at least 80% of the time.

Standings of Motherwell FC and Heart of Midlothian FC in Premiership

#
Team
MP
W
D
L
GD
Pts
PPG
Last 5
1
CG
Celtic GlasgowWWLWW
9
8
0
1
+18
24
2.67
WWLWW
2
GR
Glasgow RangersDWWWW
9
6
2
1
+6
20
2.22
DWWWW
3
HO
Heart of Midlothian FCLWDLW
9
5
1
3
+5
16
1.78
LWDLW
4
DF
Dundee FCDWWLD
9
4
2
3
+3
14
1.56
DWWLD
5
SJ
St. Johnstone FCDWDLW
9
3
3
3
0
12
1.33
DWDLW
6
DU
Dundee UnitedDWWDL
9
3
3
3
-1
12
1.33
DWWDL
7
AF
Aberdeen FCWLDWD
9
3
2
4
0
11
1.22
WLDWD
8
SM
St Mirren FCLLLLL
9
3
1
5
-8
10
1.11
LLLLL
9
FF
Falkirk FCWLDWD
9
2
3
4
-3
9
1
WLDWD
10
MF
Motherwell FCLLLLL
9
2
2
5
-5
8
0.89
LLLLL
11
KF
Kilmarnock FCWLDWD
9
2
2
5
-10
8
0.89
WLDWD
12
HF
Hibernian FCLLDLL
9
2
1
6
-5
7
0.78
LLDLL
Championship round Relegation Round

Motherwell FC vs Heart of Midlothian FC: pre-match stats

For each team, in how many of its recent matches did this happen? Based on its last 10 matches, in any competition.

Part of the match
Which matches
What to look at
Total goals in the match: over or under 0.5
Motherwell FC
Under
0% · 0 of 10
Over
100% · 10 of 10
Heart of Midlothian FC
Under
0% · 0 of 10
Over
100% · 10 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 1.5
Motherwell FC
Under
20% · 2 of 10
Over
80% · 8 of 10
Heart of Midlothian FC
Under
0% · 0 of 10
Over
100% · 10 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 2.5
Motherwell FC
Under
30% · 3 of 10
Over
70% · 7 of 10
Heart of Midlothian FC
Under
20% · 2 of 10
Over
80% · 8 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 3.5
Motherwell FC
Under
50% · 5 of 10
Over
50% · 5 of 10
Heart of Midlothian FC
Under
60% · 6 of 10
Over
40% · 4 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 4.5
Motherwell FC
Under
70% · 7 of 10
Over
30% · 3 of 10
Heart of Midlothian FC
Under
70% · 7 of 10
Over
30% · 3 of 10
Our three best bets
Motherwell FC or Heart of Midlothian FC
75% chance
Under 3.5 · total goals
64% chance
both teams to score: Yes
60% chance
Best value
Under 3.5 · total goals
64% chance
Heart of Midlothian FC (draw no bet)
60% chance
Motherwell FC
Last 10 games
1.1
scored a game
2.3
conceded a game
Both teams scored50% of games
Over 2.5 goals70% of games
Kept a clean sheet10% of games
Heart of Midlothian FC
Last 10 games
2.5
scored a game
1.9
conceded a game
Both teams scored80% of games
Over 2.5 goals80% of games
Kept a clean sheet20% of games
No injury list for this league, so absences are unknown — this isn't the same as "no injuries".
Motherwell FC
Heart of Midlothian FC
Premiership
11 Oct 2026 · 12:00
MotherwellM
0-2
CCeltic
Premiership
17 Oct 2026 · 15:00
KilmarnockK
3-2
MMotherwell
Goals scored
3
0.6 per game
Goals conceded
12
2.4 per game
UEFA Conference League
15 Oct 2026 · 20:00
Heart of MidlothianHO
1-1
NNordsjaelland
Premiership
18 Oct 2026 · 15:00
CelticC
7-1
HOHeart of Midlothian
Goals scored
9
1.8 per game
Goals conceded
11
2.2 per game