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18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

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18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

J1 League · Round 11
Nagoya Grampus
Cerezo Osaka
11:00Wed
42%
32%
Draw26%

Nagoya Grampus are the stronger side

LWWWW

last 5 games

WWDWL

last 5 games

Stadium
Toyota Stadium, Toyota · 45,000 seats
Managers
Michael Petrovic · Pablo Machin
Preview

Nagoya Grampus are 12th of 20 in J1 League 26/27, with 12 points from 10 games played.

Cerezo Osaka are 13th of 20, with 12 points from 10 games played.

Over their last 10, Nagoya Grampus scored 1.9 and conceded 2.2 a game on average, and both teams scored in 70% of those.

Cerezo Osaka scored 1.3 and conceded 1.5 a game over the same span, and both teams scored in 50%.

Nagoya Grampus last played Kashiwa (away) and won 3-1.

Cerezo Osaka last played Frontale (at home) and lost 2-4.

Head-to-head, Nagoya Grampus has 3W 1D 2L from the last 6 meetings, averaging 3.5 goals a game.

Last 5 matches

Every competition. Scores are coloured from each team's side: green won, orange drew, red lost. Tap the arrow to see the first half.

18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

Nagoya Grampus
4Win0Draw1Loss
J.League
19 Sep 2026 · 11:00
TokyoT
1-0
NNagoya
J. League Cup
29 Sep 2026 · 11:00
Giravanz KGK
1-3
NNagoya
J.League
11 Oct 2026 · 08:00
FrontaleF
1-2
NNagoya
Cerezo Osaka
3Win1Draw1Loss
J. League Cup
29 Sep 2026 · 11:00
FujiedaF
1-2
CCerezo
Emperor Cup
07 Oct 2026 · 10:30
CerezoC
2-0
KUKagoshima Utd
J.League
10 Oct 2026 · 06:00
CerezoC
0-0
MMarinos

First half goals

Goals scoredper gameGoals concededper game
61.230.6
5130.6

Final goals

Goals scoredper gameGoals concededper game
153102
91.871.4
Events
Team

Nagoya conceded in 15 of their last 15 matches

Cerezo Osaka over 0.5 goals · 75% chance
15 / 15
Goals conceded

Nagoya didn't draw in 15 of their last 15 away matches

Nagoya Grampus or Cerezo Osaka (no draw) · 74% chance
15 / 15
No draws

15 of Nagoya's last 15 away matches had a goal in the 2nd half

Over 0.5 goals in the 2nd half · 81% chance
15 / 15
Total goals 2nd Half: +0.5

Nagoya didn't draw in 14 of their last 15 matches

Nagoya Grampus or Cerezo Osaka (no draw) · 74% chance
14 / 15
No draws

14 of Nagoya's last 15 matches had a goal in the 2nd half

Over 0.5 goals in the 2nd half · 81% chance
14 / 15
Total goals 2nd Half: +0.5

Nagoya didn't draw in 14 of their last 15 home matches

Nagoya Grampus or Cerezo Osaka (no draw) · 74% chance
14 / 15
No draws

14 of Nagoya's last 15 home matches had over 1.5 goals

Over 1.5 goals · 80% chance
14 / 15
Total goals: +1.5

14 of Nagoya's last 15 home matches had over 2.5 goals

Over 2.5 goals · 57% chance
14 / 15
Total goals: +2.5

A pattern in past results, not a prediction. Each one shows the longest run of recent games where it held at least 80% of the time.

Standings of Nagoya Grampus and Cerezo Osaka in J.League

#
Team
MP
W
D
L
GD
Pts
PPG
Last 5
1
SH
Sanfrecce HiroshimaWWWWL
10
7
2
1
+19
23
2.3
WWWWL
2
MZ
Machida ZelviaWWLDW
10
7
2
1
+15
23
2.3
WWLDW
3
FT
FC TokyoWWWWW
10
7
2
1
+13
23
2.3
WWWWW
4
VK
Vissel KobeWLWWW
10
7
1
2
+8
22
2.2
WLWWW
5
KR
Kashiwa ReysolLWWWL
10
7
0
3
+5
21
2.1
LWWWL
6
KA
Kashima AntlersWWDLL
10
6
1
3
+5
19
1.9
WWDLL
7
KF
Kawasaki FrontaleWLDWW
10
4
4
2
+5
16
1.6
WLDWW
8
YF
Yokohama F MarinosDDWDW
10
4
4
2
+4
16
1.6
DDWDW
9
UR
Urawa Red DiamondsWLWLW
10
5
0
5
-4
15
1.5
WLWLW
10
SS
Shimizu S-PulseDWWWL
10
4
2
4
-1
14
1.4
DWWWL
11
FO
Fagiano OkayamaLLLWW
10
4
1
5
-3
13
1.3
LLLWW
12
NG
Nagoya GrampusWWLLL
10
4
0
6
-4
12
1.2
WWLLL
13
CO
Cerezo OsakaLDDLD
10
3
3
4
-7
12
1.2
LDDLD
14
MH
Mito HollyhockLLLLD
10
2
3
5
-2
9
0.9
LLLLD
15
VN
V-Varen NagasakiLDDWL
10
2
3
5
-7
9
0.9
LDDWL
16
KS
Kyoto Sanga FCLLWLL
10
2
2
6
-8
8
0.8
LLWLL
17
AF
Avispa FukuokaLWLLD
10
2
1
7
-5
7
0.7
LWLLD
18
GO
Gamba OsakaDLLLL
10
1
4
5
-8
7
0.7
DLLLL
19
JU
JEF United ChibaDDLDW
10
1
3
6
-11
6
0.6
DDLDW
20
TV
Tokyo VerdyLLLDD
10
0
4
6
-14
4
0.4
LLLDD
Champions League Elite Relegation

Nagoya Grampus vs Cerezo Osaka: pre-match stats

For each team, in how many of its recent matches did this happen? Based on its last 10 matches, in any competition.

Part of the match
Which matches
What to look at
Total goals in the match: over or under 0.5
Nagoya Grampus
Under
0% · 0 of 10
Over
100% · 10 of 10
Cerezo Osaka
Under
20% · 2 of 10
Over
80% · 8 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 1.5
Nagoya Grampus
Under
10% · 1 of 10
Over
90% · 9 of 10
Cerezo Osaka
Under
30% · 3 of 10
Over
70% · 7 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 2.5
Nagoya Grampus
Under
20% · 2 of 10
Over
80% · 8 of 10
Cerezo Osaka
Under
60% · 6 of 10
Over
40% · 4 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 3.5
Nagoya Grampus
Under
50% · 5 of 10
Over
50% · 5 of 10
Cerezo Osaka
Under
70% · 7 of 10
Over
30% · 3 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 4.5
Nagoya Grampus
Under
90% · 9 of 10
Over
10% · 1 of 10
Cerezo Osaka
Under
70% · 7 of 10
Over
30% · 3 of 10
Our three best bets
Nagoya Grampus or Cerezo Osaka
74% chance
Under 3.5 · total goals
64% chance
both teams to score: Yes
60% chance
Best value
Over 2.5 · total goals
57% chance
Nagoya Grampus (draw no bet)
56% chance
Nagoya Grampus
Last 10 games
1.9
scored a game
2.2
conceded a game
Both teams scored70% of games
Over 2.5 goals80% of games
Kept a clean sheet0% of games
Cerezo Osaka
Last 10 games
1.3
scored a game
1.5
conceded a game
Both teams scored50% of games
Over 2.5 goals40% of games
Kept a clean sheet40% of games
Nagoya Grampus

Nobody listed.

Cerezo Osaka

Nobody listed.

J. League Cup
14 Oct 2026 · 11:00
NagoyaN
7-6
FOFagiano O
J.League
17 Oct 2026 · 11:00
KashiwaK
1-3
NNagoya
Goals scored
15
3 per game
Goals conceded
10
2 per game
J. League Cup
14 Oct 2026 · 11:00
Gainare TGT
2-3
CCerezo
J.League
17 Oct 2026 · 07:00
CerezoC
2-4
FFrontale
Goals scored
9
1.8 per game
Goals conceded
7
1.4 per game