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18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

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18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

Liga MX · Round 14
Club Leon
Deportivo Toluca FC
00:00Sun
29%
46%
Draw25%

Deportivo Toluca FC are the stronger side

WDWDL

last 5 games

LDLLD

last 5 games

Stadium
Estadio Leon, Leon · 33,943 seats
Managers
Javier Gandolfi · Antonio Mohamed
Preview

Club Leon are 7th of 18 in Liga MX 26/27, Apertura, with 18 points from 12 games played.

Deportivo Toluca FC are 2nd of 18, with 21 points from 12 games played.

Over their last 10, Club Leon scored 1.5 and conceded 1.4 a game on average, and both teams scored in 60% of those.

Deportivo Toluca FC scored 2.3 and conceded 1.4 a game over the same span, and both teams scored in 60%.

Club Leon last played America (at home) and lost 3-5.

Deportivo Toluca FC last played San Luis (at home) and drew 1-1.

Head-to-head, Club Leon has 0W 2D 4L from the last 6 meetings, averaging 4.67 goals a game.

Last 5 matches

Every competition. Scores are coloured from each team's side: green won, orange drew, red lost. Tap the arrow to see the first half.

18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

Club Leon
2Win2Draw1Loss
Liga MX, Apertura
15 Sep 2026 · 02:00
LeonL
2-0
SLSan Luis
Liga MX, Apertura
21 Sep 2026 · 03:10
QueretaroQ
1-1
LLeon
Liga MX, Apertura
28 Sep 2026 · 02:00
LeonL
2-1
JJuarez
Deportivo Toluca FC
0Win2Draw3Loss
Liga MX, Apertura
21 Sep 2026 · 01:00
TolucaT
2-3
SLSantos Laguna
Liga MX, Apertura
26 Sep 2026 · 23:50
Cruz AzulCA
3-3
TToluca
Club Friendly Games
03 Oct 2026 · 00:30
MonterreyM
2-1
TToluca

First half goals

Goals scoredper gameGoals concededper game
10.220.4
30.651

Final goals

Goals scoredper gameGoals concededper game
91.881.6
91.8122.4
Events
Team

15 of Leon's last 15 matches had a goal in the 2nd half

Over 0.5 goals in the 2nd half · 82% chance
15 / 15
Total goals 2nd Half: +0.5

Leon didn't draw in 15 of their last 15 home matches

Club Leon or Deportivo Toluca FC (no draw) · 75% chance
15 / 15
No draws

Leon won or saw over 2.5 goals in 15 of their last 15 home matches

Club Leon to win or over 2.5 goals · 70% chance
15 / 15
Won or over 2.5 goals

15 of Leon's last 15 away matches had a goal in the 2nd half

Over 0.5 goals in the 2nd half · 82% chance
15 / 15
Total goals 2nd Half: +0.5

15 of Toluca's last 15 home matches had a goal in the 2nd half

Over 0.5 goals in the 2nd half · 82% chance
15 / 15
Total goals 2nd Half: +0.5

14 of Leon's last 15 matches had under 1.5 goals in the 1st half

Under 1.5 goals in the 1st half · 60% chance
14 / 15
Total goals 1st Half: -1.5

Leon scored in 14 of their last 15 matches

Club Leon over 0.5 goals · 74% chanceClub Leon over 1.5 goals · 39% chance
14 / 15
Goals scored

Leon scored in 14 of their last 15 home matches

Club Leon over 0.5 goals · 74% chanceClub Leon over 1.5 goals · 39% chance
14 / 15
Goals scored

A pattern in past results, not a prediction. Each one shows the longest run of recent games where it held at least 80% of the time.

Standings of Club Leon and Deportivo Toluca FC in Liga MX, Apertura

#
Team
MP
W
D
L
GD
Pts
PPG
Last 5
1
CA
CF AmericaWDWDL
11
7
3
1
+13
24
2.18
WDWDL
2
DT
Deportivo Toluca FCDLDLW
12
6
3
3
+10
21
1.75
DLDLW
3
AF
Atlas FCWDWDL
12
6
3
3
+1
21
1.75
WDWDL
4
CG
CD GuadalajaraDDLDW
12
5
5
2
+7
20
1.67
DDLDW
5
CC
CF Cruz AzulWDDLW
12
6
2
4
+6
20
1.67
WDDLW
6
QF
Queretaro FCLWWDW
11
6
2
3
+2
20
1.82
LWWDW
7
CL
Club LeonLDWDW
12
5
3
4
+1
18
1.5
LDWDW
8
CM
CF MonterreyWDLWD
11
5
2
4
+3
17
1.55
WDLWD
9
CS
Club Santos LagunaWWWWW
12
5
1
6
+1
16
1.33
WWWWW
10
CT
Club Tijuana de CalienteDDLDL
11
4
4
3
+1
16
1.45
DDLDL
11
PU
Pumas UNAMWDLDL
12
4
4
4
-1
16
1.33
WDLDL
12
CP
Club PueblaDDLDL
12
4
4
4
-1
16
1.33
DDLDL
13
TU
Tigres UANLDWWLD
12
3
5
4
-2
14
1.17
DWWLD
14
CP
CF PachucaLDLDW
12
3
4
5
+3
13
1.08
LDLDW
15
AS
Atletico San LuisDLWWL
12
3
4
5
-5
13
1.08
DLWWL
16
AF
Atlante FCLLWDL
12
2
5
5
-6
11
0.92
LLWDL
17
CN
Club NecaxaLDLLL
12
2
3
7
-10
9
0.75
LDLLL
18
FJ
FC JuarezLDLWL
12
1
1
10
-23
4
0.33
LDLWL
Playoffs

Club Leon vs Deportivo Toluca FC: pre-match stats

For each team, in how many of its recent matches did this happen? Based on its last 10 matches, in any competition.

Part of the match
Which matches
What to look at
Total goals in the match: over or under 0.5
Club Leon
Under
0% · 0 of 10
Over
100% · 10 of 10
Deportivo Toluca FC
Under
0% · 0 of 10
Over
100% · 10 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 1.5
Club Leon
Under
10% · 1 of 10
Over
90% · 9 of 10
Deportivo Toluca FC
Under
10% · 1 of 10
Over
90% · 9 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 2.5
Club Leon
Under
60% · 6 of 10
Over
40% · 4 of 10
Deportivo Toluca FC
Under
40% · 4 of 10
Over
60% · 6 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 3.5
Club Leon
Under
80% · 8 of 10
Over
20% · 2 of 10
Deportivo Toluca FC
Under
50% · 5 of 10
Over
50% · 5 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 4.5
Club Leon
Under
90% · 9 of 10
Over
10% · 1 of 10
Deportivo Toluca FC
Under
60% · 6 of 10
Over
40% · 4 of 10
Our three best bets
Club Leon or Deportivo Toluca FC
75% chance
Under 3.5 · total goals
62% chance
both teams to score: Yes
62% chance
Best value
Deportivo Toluca FC (draw no bet)
61% chance
Deportivo Toluca FC to win
46% chance
Club Leon
Last 10 games
1.5
scored a game
1.4
conceded a game
Both teams scored60% of games
Over 2.5 goals40% of games
Kept a clean sheet30% of games
Deportivo Toluca FC
Last 10 games
2.3
scored a game
1.4
conceded a game
Both teams scored60% of games
Over 2.5 goals60% of games
Kept a clean sheet40% of games
Club Leon

Nobody listed.

Deportivo Toluca FC

Nobody listed.

Liga MX, Apertura
10 Oct 2026 · 02:00
PueblaP
1-1
LLeon
Liga MX, Apertura
18 Oct 2026 · 02:00
LeonL
3-5
AAmerica
Goals scored
9
1.8 per game
Goals conceded
8
1.6 per game
Liga MX, Apertura
10 Oct 2026 · 04:00
TigresT
3-2
TToluca
Liga MX, Apertura
18 Oct 2026 · 02:00
TolucaT
1-1
SLSan Luis
Goals scored
9
1.8 per game
Goals conceded
12
2.4 per game