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18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

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18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

Eerste Divisie · Round 12
NAC Breda
Heracles Almelo
19:00Fri
42%
34%
Draw24%

NAC Breda are the stronger side

WWDWW

last 5 games

LWDWW

last 5 games

Stadium
Rat Verlegh Stadion, Breda · 19,000 seats
Managers
Carl Hoefkens · Vincent Heilmann
Preview

NAC Breda are 5th of 20 in Eerste Divisie 26/27, with 20 points from 11 games played.

Heracles Almelo are 1st of 20, with 28 points from 11 games played.

Over their last 10, NAC Breda scored 2 and conceded 1.8 a game on average, and both teams scored in 70% of those.

Heracles Almelo scored 3.2 and conceded 1 a game over the same span, and both teams scored in 60%.

NAC Breda last played Helmond (away) and won 2-0.

Heracles Almelo last played Maastricht (away) and won 5-1.

Head-to-head, NAC Breda has 2W 1D 3L from the last 6 meetings, averaging 2.67 goals a game.

Last 5 matches

Every competition. Scores are coloured from each team's side: green won, orange drew, red lost. Tap the arrow to see the first half.

18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

NAC Breda
4Win1Draw0Loss
Eerste Divisie
20 Sep 2026 · 15:45
De GraafschapDG
1-2
BBreda
Eerste Divisie
26 Sep 2026 · 19:00
BredaB
4-2
FEFC Eindhoven
Eerste Divisie
03 Oct 2026 · 15:30
VitesseV
2-2
BBreda
Heracles Almelo
3Win1Draw1Loss
Eerste Divisie
18 Sep 2026 · 19:00
AlmereA
1-0
HAHeracles Almelo
Eerste Divisie
26 Sep 2026 · 15:30
Heracles AlmeloHA
2-0
VVitesse
Eerste Divisie
02 Oct 2026 · 20:00
HelmondH
2-2
HAHeracles Almelo

First half goals

Goals scoredper gameGoals concededper game
71.420.4
61.220.4

Final goals

Goals scoredper gameGoals concededper game
112.251
122.440.8
Events
Team

15 of Breda's last 15 matches had a goal in the 1st half

Over 0.5 goals in the 1st half · 76% chance
15 / 15
Total goals 1st Half: +0.5

Heracles Almelo conceded in 15 of their last 15 away matches

NAC Breda over 0.5 goals · 83% chance
15 / 15
Goals conceded

Heracles Almelo didn't draw in 14 of their last 15 matches

NAC Breda or Heracles Almelo (no draw) · 75% chance
14 / 15
No draws

Heracles Almelo didn't draw in 14 of their last 15 away matches

NAC Breda or Heracles Almelo (no draw) · 75% chance
14 / 15
No draws

14 of Heracles Almelo's last 15 away matches had a goal in the 2nd half

Over 0.5 goals in the 2nd half · 84% chance
14 / 15
Total goals 2nd Half: +0.5

13 of Breda's last 15 matches had over 1.5 goals

Over 1.5 goals · 84% chance
13 / 15
Total goals: +1.5

Breda conceded in 13 of their last 15 matches

Heracles Almelo over 0.5 goals · 79% chance
13 / 15
Goals conceded

13 of Breda's last 15 home matches had a goal in the 1st half

Over 0.5 goals in the 1st half · 76% chance
13 / 15
Total goals 1st Half: +0.5

A pattern in past results, not a prediction. Each one shows the longest run of recent games where it held at least 80% of the time.

Standings of NAC Breda and Heracles Almelo in Eerste Divisie

#
Team
MP
W
D
L
GD
Pts
PPG
Last 5
1
HA
Heracles AlmeloWWDWL
11
9
1
1
+23
28
2.55
WWDWL
2
AC
Almere City FCLWWLW
11
7
1
3
+14
22
2
LWWLW
3
VV
VVV VenloDWWLW
11
7
1
3
+12
22
2
DWWLW
4
FE
FC EmmenWWDWL
11
7
1
3
+5
22
2
WWDWL
5
NB
NAC BredaWWDWW
11
6
2
3
+3
20
1.82
WWDWW
6
VA
Vitesse ArnhemWLDLW
11
5
2
4
+1
17
1.55
WLDLW
7
RJ
Roda JC KerkradeDLWDW
10
4
4
2
+2
16
1.6
DLWDW
8
FV
FC VolendamDWLWL
11
5
1
5
+5
16
1.45
DWLWL
9
MM
MVV MaastrichtLLLWL
11
5
1
5
-11
16
1.45
LLLWL
10
RW
RKC WaalwijkDLDLW
11
3
6
2
+4
15
1.36
DLDLW
11
JA
Jong AZ AlkmaarDLWDL
11
4
2
5
+4
14
1.27
DLWDL
12
FD
FC Den BoschWWDLW
11
4
2
5
-3
14
1.27
WWDLW
13
JP
Jong PSV EindhovenDLDLW
10
3
4
3
-2
13
1.3
DLDLW
14
TO
TOP OssLWWLW
11
4
0
7
-1
12
1.09
LWWLW
15
DG
De GraafschapWDWLW
10
3
2
5
-10
11
1.1
WDWLW
16
FE
FC EindhovenLLDLW
11
3
2
6
-8
11
1
LLDLW
17
HS
Helmond SportLLDLL
11
2
3
6
-5
9
0.82
LLDLL
18
JA
Jong Ajax AmsterdamLDLLW
10
2
2
6
-12
8
0.8
LDLLW
19
FD
FC DordrechtLDWLL
10
2
2
6
-14
8
0.8
LDWLL
20
JF
Jong FC UtrechtLLWWD
10
2
1
7
-7
7
0.7
LLWWD
Promotion Promotion Playoffs

NAC Breda vs Heracles Almelo: pre-match stats

For each team, in how many of its recent matches did this happen? Based on its last 10 matches, in any competition.

Part of the match
Which matches
What to look at
Total goals in the match: over or under 0.5
NAC Breda
Under
0% · 0 of 10
Over
100% · 10 of 10
Heracles Almelo
Under
0% · 0 of 10
Over
100% · 10 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 1.5
NAC Breda
Under
10% · 1 of 10
Over
90% · 9 of 10
Heracles Almelo
Under
10% · 1 of 10
Over
90% · 9 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 2.5
NAC Breda
Under
30% · 3 of 10
Over
70% · 7 of 10
Heracles Almelo
Under
20% · 2 of 10
Over
80% · 8 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 3.5
NAC Breda
Under
40% · 4 of 10
Over
60% · 6 of 10
Heracles Almelo
Under
30% · 3 of 10
Over
70% · 7 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 4.5
NAC Breda
Under
60% · 6 of 10
Over
40% · 4 of 10
Heracles Almelo
Under
50% · 5 of 10
Over
50% · 5 of 10
Our three best bets
NAC Breda or Heracles Almelo
74% chance
both teams to score: Yes
65% chance
Over 2.5 · total goals
62% chance
Best value
NAC Breda (draw no bet)
56% chance
NAC Breda or Heracles Almelo
74% chance
NAC Breda
Last 10 games
2
scored a game
1.8
conceded a game
Both teams scored70% of games
Over 2.5 goals70% of games
Kept a clean sheet20% of games
Heracles Almelo
Last 10 games
3.2
scored a game
1
conceded a game
Both teams scored60% of games
Over 2.5 goals80% of games
Kept a clean sheet30% of games
No injury list for this league, so absences are unknown — this isn't the same as "no injuries".
NAC Breda
Heracles Almelo
Eerste Divisie
09 Oct 2026 · 19:00
BredaB
1-0
MMaastricht
Eerste Divisie
16 Oct 2026 · 19:00
HelmondH
0-2
BBreda
Goals scored
11
2.2 per game
Goals conceded
5
1 per game
Eerste Divisie
09 Oct 2026 · 19:00
Heracles AlmeloHA
3-0
WWaalwijk
Eerste Divisie
18 Oct 2026 · 15:45
MaastrichtM
1-5
HAHeracles Almelo
Goals scored
12
2.4 per game
Goals conceded
4
0.8 per game