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18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

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18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

Eredivisie · Round 10
Sparta Rotterdam
Ajax
16:45Sun
18%
62%
Draw20%

Ajax are the stronger side

DLLDW

last 5 games

WDDLW

last 5 games

Stadium
Sparta Stadium Het Kasteel, Rotterdam · 11,026 seats
Managers
Rogier Meijer · Michel
Odds have moved in the last 24h — not advice, just worth knowing before you bet: Draw No Bet: Home 4.40→3.90 (-11.4%), 1X2: Home 5.57→4.96 (-11%), Double Chance: Home or Draw 2.40→2.25 (-6.2%), GG/NG: No 2.55→2.70 (+5.9%)
Preview

Sparta Rotterdam are 13th of 18 in Eredivisie 26/27, with 9 points from 9 games played.

Ajax are 4th of 18, with 18 points from 9 games played.

Over their last 10, Sparta Rotterdam scored 1.6 and conceded 2.2 a game on average, and both teams scored in 70% of those.

Ajax scored 3.3 and conceded 1.7 a game over the same span, and both teams scored in 90%.

Sparta Rotterdam last played Willem II (at home) and won 3-2.

Ajax last played Groningen (away) and won 5-2.

Head-to-head, Sparta Rotterdam has 0W 3D 3L from the last 6 meetings, averaging 3.5 goals a game.

Last 5 matches

Every competition. Scores are coloured from each team's side: green won, orange drew, red lost. Tap the arrow to see the first half.

18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

Sparta Rotterdam
1Win2Draw2Loss
Eredivisie
04 Sep 2026 · 19:00
SpartaS
2-2
ZZwolle
Eredivisie
13 Sep 2026 · 19:00
EindhovenE
4-1
SSparta
Eredivisie
19 Sep 2026 · 17:45
SpartaS
0-4
HHeerenveen
Ajax
2Win2Draw1Loss
Eredivisie
15 Sep 2026 · 19:00
AjaxA
5-1
WIWillem II
Eredivisie
19 Sep 2026 · 19:00
AjaxA
2-2
EExcelsior
Eredivisie
10 Oct 2026 · 20:00
AjaxA
1-1
NNijmegen

First half goals

Goals scoredper gameGoals concededper game
40.861.2
61.230.6

Final goals

Goals scoredper gameGoals concededper game
91.8153
142.881.6
Events
Team

15 of Ajax's last 15 matches had over 1.5 goals

Over 1.5 goals · 88% chance
15 / 15
Total goals: +1.5

Ajax scored in 15 of their last 15 matches

Ajax over 0.5 goals · 91% chanceAjax over 1.5 goals · 69% chance
15 / 15
Goals scored

Ajax scored in 15 of their last 15 home matches

Ajax over 0.5 goals · 91% chanceAjax over 1.5 goals · 69% chance
15 / 15
Goals scored

Sparta won or saw over 2.5 goals in 14 of their last 15 away matches

Sparta Rotterdam to win or over 2.5 goals · 76% chance
14 / 15
Won or over 2.5 goals

Sparta conceded in 14 of their last 15 matches in Eredivisie

Ajax over 0.5 goals · 91% chance
14 / 15
Goals conceded

14 of Ajax's last 15 matches had a goal in the 1st half

Over 0.5 goals in the 1st half · 81% chance
14 / 15
Total goals 1st Half: +0.5

14 of Ajax's last 15 matches had a goal in the 2nd half

Over 0.5 goals in the 2nd half · 87% chance
14 / 15
Total goals 2nd Half: +0.5

Ajax won or saw over 2.5 goals in 14 of their last 15 matches

Ajax to win or over 2.5 goals · 84% chance
14 / 15
Won or over 2.5 goals

A pattern in past results, not a prediction. Each one shows the longest run of recent games where it held at least 80% of the time.

Standings of Sparta Rotterdam and Ajax in Eredivisie

#
Team
MP
W
D
L
GD
Pts
PPG
Last 5
1
FR
Feyenoord RotterdamWWWWW
9
7
2
0
+21
23
2.56
WWWWW
2
AA
AZ AlkmaarDLWDW
9
6
2
1
+10
20
2.22
DLWDW
3
PE
PSV EindhovenLWLWW
9
6
1
2
+15
19
2.11
LWLWW
4
AA
Ajax AmsterdamWDDWW
9
5
3
1
+15
18
2
WDDWW
5
FT
FC Twente EnschedeLDWWW
9
5
2
2
+7
17
1.89
LDWWW
6
FS
Fortuna SittardDDWLW
9
4
3
2
-1
15
1.67
DDWLW
7
FG
FC GroningenLWWDD
9
4
2
3
+3
14
1.56
LWWDD
8
SH
SC HeerenveenWLWDL
9
3
3
3
+4
12
1.33
WLWDL
9
GA
Go Ahead EaglesLDDDD
9
2
5
2
-1
11
1.22
LDDDD
10
ER
Excelsior RotterdamLLDLD
9
3
2
4
-2
11
1.22
LLDLD
11
FU
FC UtrechtWWLWD
9
3
2
4
-10
11
1.22
WWLWD
12
NN
NEC NijmegenDDDLD
9
2
4
3
-1
10
1.11
DDDLD
13
SR
Sparta RotterdamWDLLD
9
2
3
4
-6
9
1
WDLLD
14
SC
SC CambuurDWDWD
9
2
3
4
-8
9
1
DWDWD
15
PZ
PEC ZwolleWLLLD
9
2
1
6
-12
7
0.78
WLLLD
16
ST
SC TelstarLDLDL
9
1
3
5
-8
6
0.67
LDLDL
17
AD
ADO Den HaagWDDLL
9
1
3
5
-9
6
0.67
WDDLL
18
WI
Willem II TilburgLLLLD
9
0
2
7
-17
2
0.22
LLLLD
Champions League Champions League Qualification UEFA Europa League Qualification Qualification Playoffs Relegation Playoffs Relegation

Sparta Rotterdam vs Ajax: pre-match stats

For each team, in how many of its recent matches did this happen? Based on its last 10 matches, in any competition.

Part of the match
Which matches
What to look at
Total goals in the match: over or under 0.5
Sparta Rotterdam
Under
10% · 1 of 10
Over
90% · 9 of 10
Ajax
Under
0% · 0 of 10
Over
100% · 10 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 1.5
Sparta Rotterdam
Under
20% · 2 of 10
Over
80% · 8 of 10
Ajax
Under
0% · 0 of 10
Over
100% · 10 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 2.5
Sparta Rotterdam
Under
20% · 2 of 10
Over
80% · 8 of 10
Ajax
Under
10% · 1 of 10
Over
90% · 9 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 3.5
Sparta Rotterdam
Under
30% · 3 of 10
Over
70% · 7 of 10
Ajax
Under
20% · 2 of 10
Over
80% · 8 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 4.5
Sparta Rotterdam
Under
60% · 6 of 10
Over
40% · 4 of 10
Ajax
Under
50% · 5 of 10
Over
50% · 5 of 10
Our three best bets
Ajax (draw no bet)
77% chance
Over 2.5 · total goals
70% chance
both teams to score: Yes
65% chance
Best value
Ajax (draw no bet)
77% chance
both teams to score: Yes
65% chance
Sparta Rotterdam
Last 10 games
1.6
scored a game
2.2
conceded a game
Both teams scored70% of games
Over 2.5 goals80% of games
Kept a clean sheet10% of games
Ajax
Last 10 games
3.3
scored a game
1.7
conceded a game
Both teams scored90% of games
Over 2.5 goals90% of games
Kept a clean sheet10% of games
Sparta Rotterdam

Nobody listed.

Ajax

Nobody listed.

Eredivisie
10 Oct 2026 · 15:30
GA EaglesGE
3-3
SSparta
Eredivisie
17 Oct 2026 · 20:00
SpartaS
3-2
WIWillem II
Goals scored
9
1.8 per game
Goals conceded
15
3 per game
UEFA Conference League
15 Oct 2026 · 17:45
HajdukH
2-1
AAjax
Eredivisie
18 Oct 2026 · 15:45
GroningenG
2-5
AAjax
Goals scored
14
2.8 per game
Goals conceded
8
1.6 per game