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18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

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18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

Ligue 1 · Round 8
PSG
Lyon
20:45Sun
71%
13%
Draw16%

PSG are the stronger side

WWWWW

last 5 games

WWLWW

last 5 games

Stadium
Parc des Princes, Paris · 48,000 seats
Managers
Luis Enrique · Paulo Fonseca
Odds have moved in the last 24h — not advice, just worth knowing before you bet: Draw No Bet: Away 5.10→5.60 (+9.8%), Double Chance: Draw or Away 2.75→2.90 (+5.5%), 1X2: Draw 5.56→5.84 (+5%), GG/NG: No 2.45→2.35 (-4.1%)
Preview

PSG are 2nd of 18 in Ligue 1, with 14 points from 7 games played.

Lyon are 1st of 18, with 14 points from 7 games played.

Over their last 10, PSG scored 2.4 and conceded 1.3 a game on average, and both teams scored in 80% of those.

Lyon scored 1.9 and conceded 1 a game over the same span, and both teams scored in 70%.

PSG last played Strasbourg Alsace (away) and won 3-1.

Lyon last played Nice (at home) and won 2-1.

Head-to-head, PSG has 5W 0D 1L from the last 6 meetings, averaging 4.17 goals a game.

Last 5 matches

Every competition. Scores are coloured from each team's side: green won, orange drew, red lost. Tap the arrow to see the first half.

18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

PSG
5Win0Draw0Loss
Ligue 1
13 Sep 2026 · 19:45
Stade Brest 29SB
0-1
PPSG
Ligue 1
20 Sep 2026 · 19:45
MarseilleM
1-2
PPSG
Ligue 1
10 Oct 2026 · 19:45
PSGP
3-1
LMLe Mans
Lyon
4Win0Draw1Loss
UEFA Europa League
16 Sep 2026 · 20:00
AnderlechtA
1-2
LLyon
Ligue 1
19 Sep 2026 · 19:45
LyonL
4-0
SRStade Rennais
Ligue 1
09 Oct 2026 · 19:45
LensL
2-1
LLyon

First half goals

Goals scoredper gameGoals concededper game
5110.2
81.620.4

Final goals

Goals scoredper gameGoals concededper game
132.651
122.461.2
Events
Team

PSG scored in 15 of their last 15 home matches

PSG over 0.5 goals · 93% chancePSG over 1.5 goals · 74% chance
15 / 15
Goals scored

PSG scored in 15 of their last 15 matches in Ligue 1

PSG over 0.5 goals · 93% chancePSG over 1.5 goals · 74% chance
15 / 15
Goals scored

PSG won or saw over 2.5 goals in 15 of their last 15 matches in Ligue 1

PSG to win or over 2.5 goals · 86% chance
15 / 15
Won or over 2.5 goals

15 of Lyon's last 15 home matches had over 1.5 goals

Over 1.5 goals · 88% chance
15 / 15
Total goals: +1.5

PSG conceded in 14 of their last 15 matches

Lyon over 0.5 goals · 65% chance
14 / 15
Goals conceded

14 of PSG's last 15 home matches had over 1.5 goals

Over 1.5 goals · 88% chance
14 / 15
Total goals: +1.5

14 of PSG's last 15 home matches had a goal in the 1st half

Over 0.5 goals in the 1st half · 81% chance
14 / 15
Total goals 1st Half: +0.5

14 of PSG's last 15 home matches had a goal in the 2nd half

Over 0.5 goals in the 2nd half · 87% chance
14 / 15
Total goals 2nd Half: +0.5

A pattern in past results, not a prediction. Each one shows the longest run of recent games where it held at least 80% of the time.

Standings of PSG and Lyon in Ligue 1

#
Team
MP
W
D
L
GD
Pts
PPG
Last 5
1
OL
Olympique LyonWLWDW
7
4
2
1
+8
14
2
WLWDW
2
PS
Paris Saint-GermainWWWWL
7
4
2
1
+5
14
2
WWWWL
3
PF
Paris FCWLWDW
7
4
2
1
+5
14
2
WLWDW
4
LO
Lille OSCDWLWW
7
4
2
1
+5
14
2
DWLWW
5
AM
AS MonacoLDWDW
7
4
2
1
+4
14
2
LDWDW
6
SR
Stade Rennais FCLWLWW
7
4
1
2
+1
13
1.86
LWLWW
7
FL
FC LorientWWLDW
7
3
2
2
+1
11
1.57
WWLDW
8
RC
Racing Club De LensWWLDL
7
3
1
3
+3
10
1.43
WWLDL
9
OM
Olympique MarseilleWWLLL
7
3
0
4
+4
9
1.29
WWLLL
10
SB
Stade Brest 29DWLLW
7
2
3
2
+3
9
1.29
DWLLW
11
TF
Toulouse FCWDWDL
7
2
3
2
+1
9
1.29
WDWDL
12
AA
AJ AuxerreWLWWL
7
3
0
4
-6
9
1.29
WLWWL
13
ON
OGC NiceLWWLD
7
2
2
3
-3
8
1.14
LWWLD
14
SA
Strasbourg AlsaceLLLDW
7
2
1
4
-3
7
1
LLLDW
15
AS
Angers SCOLLWDL
7
2
1
4
-6
7
1
LLWDL
16
LM
Le Mans FCLLWDD
7
1
3
3
-5
6
0.86
LLWDD
17
ET
ESTAC TroyesLLLLL
7
1
1
5
-11
4
0.57
LLLLL
18
LH
Le Havre ACLLLDL
7
0
2
5
-6
2
0.29
LLLDL
Champions League Champions League Qualification UEFA Europa League Conference League Qualification Relegation Playoffs Relegation

PSG vs Lyon: pre-match stats

For each team, in how many of its recent matches did this happen? Based on its last 10 matches, in any competition.

Part of the match
Which matches
What to look at
Total goals in the match: over or under 0.5
PSG
Under
0% · 0 of 10
Over
100% · 10 of 10
Lyon
Under
10% · 1 of 10
Over
90% · 9 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 1.5
PSG
Under
20% · 2 of 10
Over
80% · 8 of 10
Lyon
Under
10% · 1 of 10
Over
90% · 9 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 2.5
PSG
Under
20% · 2 of 10
Over
80% · 8 of 10
Lyon
Under
30% · 3 of 10
Over
70% · 7 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 3.5
PSG
Under
40% · 4 of 10
Over
60% · 6 of 10
Lyon
Under
70% · 7 of 10
Over
30% · 3 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 4.5
PSG
Under
80% · 8 of 10
Over
20% · 2 of 10
Lyon
Under
90% · 9 of 10
Over
10% · 1 of 10
Our three best bets
PSG to win
71% chance
Over 2.5 · total goals
71% chance
both teams to score: Yes
60% chance
Best value
PSG to win
71% chance
Under 3.5 · total goals
50% chance
PSG
Last 10 games
2.4
scored a game
1.3
conceded a game
Both teams scored80% of games
Over 2.5 goals80% of games
Kept a clean sheet10% of games
Lyon
Last 10 games
1.9
scored a game
1
conceded a game
Both teams scored70% of games
Over 2.5 goals70% of games
Kept a clean sheet30% of games
PSG
  • Out · Senny Mayulu (Midfielder) — Injured
  • Out · Nuno Mendes (Defender) — Injured
Lyon
  • Out · Nicolas Tagliafico (Defender) — Injured
  • MOOut · Mohamed Ouedraogo (Defender) — Injured
  • Out · Lois Openda (Forward) — Injured
UEFA Champions League
14 Oct 2026 · 20:00
Manchester CityMC
2-4
PPSG
Ligue 1
17 Oct 2026 · 16:15
Strasbourg AlsaceSA
1-3
PPSG
Goals scored
13
2.6 per game
Goals conceded
5
1 per game
UEFA Europa League
15 Oct 2026 · 17:45
LyonL
3-2
CPCrystal Palace
Ligue 1
18 Oct 2026 · 19:45
LyonL
2-1
NNice
Goals scored
12
2.4 per game
Goals conceded
6
1.2 per game