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18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

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18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

Ligue 1 · Round 8
Marseille
Le Havre
17:15Sun
60%
18%
Draw22%

Marseille are the stronger side

LLWLW

last 5 games

LDLLL

last 5 games

Stadium
CEPAC Velodrome, Marseille · 67,394 seats
Managers
Bruno Genesio · Didier Digard
Preview

Marseille are 9th of 18 in Ligue 1, with 9 points from 7 games played.

Le Havre are 18th of 18, with 2 points from 7 games played.

Over their last 10, Marseille scored 1.6 and conceded 1.7 a game on average, and both teams scored in 50% of those.

Le Havre scored 0.8 and conceded 1.3 a game over the same span, and both teams scored in 50%.

Marseille last played Angers (away) and won 5-2.

Le Havre last played Auxerre (at home) and lost 1-3.

Head-to-head, Marseille has 6W 0D 0L from the last 6 meetings, averaging 4.17 goals a game.

Last 5 matches

Every competition. Scores are coloured from each team's side: green won, orange drew, red lost. Tap the arrow to see the first half.

18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

Marseille
2Win0Draw3Loss
UEFA Europa League
17 Sep 2026 · 20:00
BesiktasB
4-1
MMarseille
Ligue 1
20 Sep 2026 · 19:45
MarseilleM
1-2
PPSG
Ligue 1
11 Oct 2026 · 19:45
TroyesT
0-2
MMarseille
Le Havre
0Win1Draw4Loss
Ligue 1
05 Sep 2026 · 19:45
Le HavreLH
1-2
SBStade Brest 29
Ligue 1
12 Sep 2026 · 19:45
Le HavreLH
0-0
AAngers
Ligue 1
19 Sep 2026 · 19:45
ToulouseT
3-2
LHLe Havre

First half goals

Goals scoredper gameGoals concededper game
30.630.6
0030.6

Final goals

Goals scoredper gameGoals concededper game
91.891.8
40.891.8
Events
Team

Marseille didn't draw in 15 of their last 15 matches

Marseille or Le Havre (no draw) · 78% chance
15 / 15
No draws

15 of Marseille's last 15 matches had a goal in the 2nd half in Ligue 1

Over 0.5 goals in the 2nd half · 82% chance
15 / 15
Total goals 2nd Half: +0.5

14 of Marseille's last 15 matches had a goal in the 2nd half

Over 0.5 goals in the 2nd half · 82% chance
14 / 15
Total goals 2nd Half: +0.5

Marseille didn't draw in 14 of their last 15 home matches

Marseille or Le Havre (no draw) · 78% chance
14 / 15
No draws

14 of Marseille's last 15 home matches had a goal in the 2nd half

Over 0.5 goals in the 2nd half · 82% chance
14 / 15
Total goals 2nd Half: +0.5

Marseille didn't draw in 14 of their last 15 away matches

Marseille or Le Havre (no draw) · 78% chance
14 / 15
No draws

Marseille didn't draw in 14 of their last 15 matches in Ligue 1

Marseille or Le Havre (no draw) · 78% chance
14 / 15
No draws

Le Havre haven't won in 14 of their last 15 matches in Ligue 1

Marseille or draw · 82% chance
14 / 15
Winless

A pattern in past results, not a prediction. Each one shows the longest run of recent games where it held at least 80% of the time.

Standings of Marseille and Le Havre in Ligue 1

#
Team
MP
W
D
L
GD
Pts
PPG
Last 5
1
OL
Olympique LyonWLWDW
7
4
2
1
+8
14
2
WLWDW
2
PS
Paris Saint-GermainWWWWL
7
4
2
1
+5
14
2
WWWWL
3
PF
Paris FCWLWDW
7
4
2
1
+5
14
2
WLWDW
4
LO
Lille OSCDWLWW
7
4
2
1
+5
14
2
DWLWW
5
AM
AS MonacoLDWDW
7
4
2
1
+4
14
2
LDWDW
6
SR
Stade Rennais FCLWLWW
7
4
1
2
+1
13
1.86
LWLWW
7
FL
FC LorientWWLDW
7
3
2
2
+1
11
1.57
WWLDW
8
RC
Racing Club De LensWWLDL
7
3
1
3
+3
10
1.43
WWLDL
9
OM
Olympique MarseilleWWLLL
7
3
0
4
+4
9
1.29
WWLLL
10
SB
Stade Brest 29DWLLW
7
2
3
2
+3
9
1.29
DWLLW
11
TF
Toulouse FCWDWDL
7
2
3
2
+1
9
1.29
WDWDL
12
AA
AJ AuxerreWLWWL
7
3
0
4
-6
9
1.29
WLWWL
13
ON
OGC NiceLWWLD
7
2
2
3
-3
8
1.14
LWWLD
14
SA
Strasbourg AlsaceLLLDW
7
2
1
4
-3
7
1
LLLDW
15
AS
Angers SCOLLWDL
7
2
1
4
-6
7
1
LLWDL
16
LM
Le Mans FCLLWDD
7
1
3
3
-5
6
0.86
LLWDD
17
ET
ESTAC TroyesLLLLL
7
1
1
5
-11
4
0.57
LLLLL
18
LH
Le Havre ACLLLDL
7
0
2
5
-6
2
0.29
LLLDL
Champions League Champions League Qualification UEFA Europa League Conference League Qualification Relegation Playoffs Relegation

Marseille vs Le Havre: pre-match stats

For each team, in how many of its recent matches did this happen? Based on its last 10 matches, in any competition.

Part of the match
Which matches
What to look at
Total goals in the match: over or under 0.5
Marseille
Under
0% · 0 of 10
Over
100% · 10 of 10
Le Havre
Under
10% · 1 of 10
Over
90% · 9 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 1.5
Marseille
Under
20% · 2 of 10
Over
80% · 8 of 10
Le Havre
Under
50% · 5 of 10
Over
50% · 5 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 2.5
Marseille
Under
40% · 4 of 10
Over
60% · 6 of 10
Le Havre
Under
60% · 6 of 10
Over
40% · 4 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 3.5
Marseille
Under
60% · 6 of 10
Over
40% · 4 of 10
Le Havre
Under
80% · 8 of 10
Over
20% · 2 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 4.5
Marseille
Under
70% · 7 of 10
Over
30% · 3 of 10
Le Havre
Under
90% · 9 of 10
Over
10% · 1 of 10
Our three best bets
Under 3.5 · total goals
62% chance
Marseille to win
61% chance
both teams to score: Yes
56% chance
Best value
Marseille to win
61% chance
Under 3.5 · total goals
62% chance
Marseille
Last 10 games
1.6
scored a game
1.7
conceded a game
Both teams scored50% of games
Over 2.5 goals60% of games
Kept a clean sheet20% of games
Le Havre
Last 10 games
0.8
scored a game
1.3
conceded a game
Both teams scored50% of games
Over 2.5 goals40% of games
Kept a clean sheet20% of games
Marseille
  • Out · Derek Cornelius (Defender) — Injured
Le Havre
  • Out · Felix Mambimbi (Forward) — Injured
  • Out · Stephan Zagadou (Defender) — Injured
  • LMOut · Lionel Mpasi (Goalkeeper) — Injured
  • Out · Timothee Pembele (Defender) — Injured
  • EJOut · Elias Jelert Kristensen (Defender) — Injured
UEFA Europa League
15 Oct 2026 · 20:00
MarseilleM
0-1
OOlympiacos
Ligue 1
18 Oct 2026 · 14:00
AngersA
2-5
MMarseille
Goals scored
9
1.8 per game
Goals conceded
9
1.8 per game
Ligue 1
10 Oct 2026 · 16:15
LilleL
1-0
LHLe Havre
Ligue 1
18 Oct 2026 · 16:15
Le HavreLH
1-3
AAuxerre
Goals scored
4
0.8 per game
Goals conceded
9
1.8 per game