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18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

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18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

Serie A · Round 9
Roma
Cagliari
20:45Tue
71%
11%
Draw18%

Roma are the stronger side

WDDLW

last 5 games

LWWWD

last 5 games

Stadium
Stadio Olimpico, Rome · 70,634 seats
Preview

Roma are 3rd of 20 in Serie A 26/27, with 17 points from 7 games played.

Cagliari are 7th of 20, with 13 points from 6 games played.

Over their last 10, Roma scored 2.2 and conceded 1 a game on average, and both teams scored in 50% of those.

Cagliari scored 1.4 and conceded 0.9 a game over the same span, and both teams scored in 50%.

Roma last played Genoa (at home) and won 2-0.

Cagliari last played Juventus (at home) and drew 1-1.

Head-to-head, Roma has 4W 1D 1L from the last 6 meetings, averaging 2.17 goals a game.

Last 5 matches

Every competition. Scores are coloured from each team's side: green won, orange drew, red lost. Tap the arrow to see the first half.

18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

Roma
2Win2Draw1Loss
Serie A
14 Sep 2026 · 17:30
TorinoT
0-2
RRoma
Serie A
19 Sep 2026 · 17:00
RomaR
2-2
IInter
Serie A
11 Oct 2026 · 11:30
ComoC
0-0
RRoma
Cagliari
3Win1Draw1Loss
Coppa Italia
03 Sep 2026 · 20:00
CagliariC
1-2
HVHellas Verona
Serie A
07 Sep 2026 · 17:30
CagliariC
1-0
LLecce
Serie A
12 Sep 2026 · 19:45
AtalantaA
1-2
CCagliari

First half goals

Goals scoredper gameGoals concededper game
40.810.2
30.620.4

Final goals

Goals scoredper gameGoals concededper game
91.861.2
61.240.8
Events
Team

Roma scored in 15 of their last 15 home matches

Roma over 0.5 goals · 89% chanceRoma over 1.5 goals · 64% chance
15 / 15
Goals scored

14 of Roma's last 15 matches had over 1.5 goals

Over 1.5 goals · 78% chance
14 / 15
Total goals: +1.5

14 of Roma's last 15 home matches had over 1.5 goals

Over 1.5 goals · 78% chance
14 / 15
Total goals: +1.5

14 of Roma's last 15 home matches had a goal in the 2nd half

Over 0.5 goals in the 2nd half · 79% chance
14 / 15
Total goals 2nd Half: +0.5

14 of Roma's last 15 away matches had over 1.5 goals

Over 1.5 goals · 78% chance
14 / 15
Total goals: +1.5

Roma haven't lost in 14 of their last 15 matches in Serie A

Roma or draw · 89% chance
14 / 15
Unbeaten

Roma scored in 14 of their last 15 matches in Serie A

Roma over 0.5 goals · 89% chanceRoma over 1.5 goals · 64% chance
14 / 15
Goals scored

14 of Cagliari's last 15 away matches had a goal in the 2nd half

Over 0.5 goals in the 2nd half · 79% chance
14 / 15
Total goals 2nd Half: +0.5

A pattern in past results, not a prediction. Each one shows the longest run of recent games where it held at least 80% of the time.

Standings of Roma and Cagliari in Serie A

#
Team
MP
W
D
L
GD
Pts
PPG
Last 5
1
IM
Inter MilanoWWDWW
7
6
1
0
+12
19
2.71
WWDWW
2
LR
Lazio RomeWWWDW
7
6
1
0
+10
19
2.71
WWWDW
3
AR
AS RomaWDDWW
7
5
2
0
+13
17
2.43
WDDWW
4
AM
AC MilanWDWDD
7
4
3
0
+7
15
2.14
WDWDD
5
C1
Como 1907WDLWW
7
4
2
1
+5
14
2
WDLWW
6
FC
Frosinone CalcioWLWDW
7
4
1
2
+4
13
1.86
WLWDW
7
CC
Cagliari CalcioDWWWL
6
4
1
1
+3
13
2.17
DWWWL
8
JT
Juventus TurinLDWLD
7
3
2
2
+1
11
1.57
LDWLD
9
SN
SSC NapoliLWDWL
7
3
1
3
+3
10
1.43
LWDWL
10
AB
Atalanta BCLWLLL
7
3
0
4
-1
9
1.29
LWLLL
11
UL
US LecceWLLWL
7
3
0
4
-3
9
1.29
WLLWL
12
SC
Sassuolo CalcioLDLWD
7
2
2
3
-2
8
1.14
LDLWD
13
TF
Torino FCWDLWL
6
2
1
3
-2
7
1.17
WDLWL
14
BF
Bologna FCLWDLD
7
1
2
4
-4
5
0.71
LWDLD
15
AM
AC MonzaLWLDL
6
1
1
4
-6
4
0.67
LWLDL
16
PC
Parma CalcioLWLDL
6
1
1
4
-6
4
0.67
LWLDL
17
UC
Udinese CalcioLLLLL
7
1
1
5
-7
4
0.57
LLLLL
18
GC
Genoa CFCLWLDL
7
1
1
5
-8
4
0.57
LWLDL
19
AF
ACF FiorentinaLLDWL
7
1
1
5
-9
4
0.57
LLDWL
20
VF
Venezia FCWLLLL
7
1
0
6
-10
3
0.43
WLLLL
Champions League UEFA Europa League Conference League Qualification Relegation

Roma vs Cagliari: pre-match stats

For each team, in how many of its recent matches did this happen? Based on its last 10 matches, in any competition.

Part of the match
Which matches
What to look at
Total goals in the match: over or under 0.5
Roma
Under
10% · 1 of 10
Over
90% · 9 of 10
Cagliari
Under
0% · 0 of 10
Over
100% · 10 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 1.5
Roma
Under
10% · 1 of 10
Over
90% · 9 of 10
Cagliari
Under
50% · 5 of 10
Over
50% · 5 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 2.5
Roma
Under
40% · 4 of 10
Over
60% · 6 of 10
Cagliari
Under
60% · 6 of 10
Over
40% · 4 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 3.5
Roma
Under
50% · 5 of 10
Over
50% · 5 of 10
Cagliari
Under
80% · 8 of 10
Over
20% · 2 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 4.5
Roma
Under
90% · 9 of 10
Over
10% · 1 of 10
Cagliari
Under
90% · 9 of 10
Over
10% · 1 of 10
Our three best bets
Roma to win
70% chance
Under 3.5 · total goals
66% chance
both teams to score: No
54% chance
Best value
Roma to win
70% chance
Under 3.5 · total goals
66% chance
Roma
Last 10 games
2.2
scored a game
1
conceded a game
Both teams scored50% of games
Over 2.5 goals60% of games
Kept a clean sheet50% of games
Cagliari
Last 10 games
1.4
scored a game
0.9
conceded a game
Both teams scored50% of games
Over 2.5 goals40% of games
Kept a clean sheet40% of games
Roma
  • Out · Bryan Cristante (Midfielder) — Injured
  • Out · Mile Svilar (Goalkeeper) — Injured
  • Out · Manu Kone (Midfielder) — Injured
  • MSOut · Muhammed S Bah (Midfielder) — Injured
Cagliari
  • RIOut · Riyad Idrissi (Defender) — Injured
  • Out · Mattia Felici (Forward) — Injured
UEFA Champions League
14 Oct 2026 · 20:00
RomaR
3-4
RMReal Madrid
Serie A
17 Oct 2026 · 19:45
RomaR
2-0
GGenoa
Goals scored
9
1.8 per game
Goals conceded
6
1.2 per game
Serie A
19 Sep 2026 · 14:00
UdineseU
0-1
CCagliari
Serie A
11 Oct 2026 · 19:45
CagliariC
1-1
JJuventus
Goals scored
6
1.2 per game
Goals conceded
4
0.8 per game