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18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

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18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

Serie A · Round 8
Lazio
Parma Calcio
19:45Sat
65%
14%
Draw21%

Lazio are the stronger side

DWDWW

last 5 games

LDLWL

last 5 games

Stadium
Stadio Olimpico, Rome · 70,634 seats
Managers
Gennaro Gattuso · Alberto Gilardino
Odds have moved in the last 24h — not advice, just worth knowing before you bet: Over/Under: Over 3.5 3.33→3.10 (-6.9%), Over/Under: Under 1.5 3.40→3.60 (+5.9%), Draw No Bet: Away 4.70→4.90 (+4.3%), Over/Under: Under 2.5 1.84→1.91 (+3.8%)
Preview

Lazio are 2nd of 20 in Serie A 26/27, with 19 points from 7 games played.

Parma Calcio are 16th of 20, with 4 points from 6 games played.

Over their last 10, Lazio scored 1.9 and conceded 1 a game on average, and both teams scored in 50% of those.

Parma Calcio scored 0.7 and conceded 1.5 a game over the same span, and both teams scored in 40%.

Lazio last played Juventus (away) and won 3-0.

Parma Calcio last played Inter (away) and lost 0-3.

Head-to-head, Lazio has 3W 2D 1L from the last 6 meetings, averaging 2.5 goals a game.

Last 5 matches

Every competition. Scores are coloured from each team's side: green won, orange drew, red lost. Tap the arrow to see the first half.

18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

Lazio
3Win2Draw0Loss
Serie A
12 Sep 2026 · 17:00
LazioL
2-2
MMilan
Serie A
19 Sep 2026 · 19:45
VeneziaV
0-2
LLazio
Club Friendly Games
03 Oct 2026 · 14:00
LazioL
3-3
SStabia
Parma Calcio
1Win1Draw3Loss
Coppa Italia
01 Sep 2026 · 17:00
Parma CalcioPC
0-2
CCremonese
Serie A
06 Sep 2026 · 14:00
Parma CalcioPC
1-1
MMonza
Serie A
14 Sep 2026 · 17:30
ComoC
2-1
PCParma Calcio

First half goals

Goals scoredper gameGoals concededper game
71.420.4
10.271.4

Final goals

Goals scoredper gameGoals concededper game
132.661.2
40.891.8
Events
Team

Lazio haven't lost in 14 of their last 15 matches

Lazio or draw · 86% chance
14 / 15
Unbeaten

Lazio scored in 14 of their last 15 matches

Lazio over 0.5 goals · 85% chanceLazio over 1.5 goals · 57% chance
14 / 15
Goals scored

14 of Lazio's last 15 matches had a goal in the 2nd half

Over 0.5 goals in the 2nd half · 77% chance
14 / 15
Total goals 2nd Half: +0.5

Lazio won or saw over 2.5 goals in 14 of their last 15 matches

Lazio to win or over 2.5 goals · 76% chance
14 / 15
Won or over 2.5 goals

14 of Lazio's last 15 home matches had a goal in the 1st half

Over 0.5 goals in the 1st half · 70% chance
14 / 15
Total goals 1st Half: +0.5

Lazio didn't draw in 14 of their last 15 away matches

Lazio or Parma Calcio (no draw) · 79% chance
14 / 15
No draws

14 of Lazio's last 15 away matches had under 1.5 goals in the 1st half

Under 1.5 goals in the 1st half · 66% chance
14 / 15
Total goals 1st Half: -1.5

14 of Parma Calcio's last 15 matches had under 3.5 goals

Under 3.5 goals · 72% chance
14 / 15
Total goals: -3.5

A pattern in past results, not a prediction. Each one shows the longest run of recent games where it held at least 80% of the time.

Standings of Lazio and Parma Calcio in Serie A

#
Team
MP
W
D
L
GD
Pts
PPG
Last 5
1
IM
Inter MilanoWWDWW
7
6
1
0
+12
19
2.71
WWDWW
2
LR
Lazio RomeWWWDW
7
6
1
0
+10
19
2.71
WWWDW
3
AR
AS RomaWDDWW
7
5
2
0
+13
17
2.43
WDDWW
4
AM
AC MilanWDWDD
7
4
3
0
+7
15
2.14
WDWDD
5
C1
Como 1907WDLWW
7
4
2
1
+5
14
2
WDLWW
6
FC
Frosinone CalcioWLWDW
7
4
1
2
+4
13
1.86
WLWDW
7
CC
Cagliari CalcioDWWWL
6
4
1
1
+3
13
2.17
DWWWL
8
JT
Juventus TurinLDWLD
7
3
2
2
+1
11
1.57
LDWLD
9
SN
SSC NapoliLWDWL
7
3
1
3
+3
10
1.43
LWDWL
10
AB
Atalanta BCLWLLL
7
3
0
4
-1
9
1.29
LWLLL
11
UL
US LecceWLLWL
7
3
0
4
-3
9
1.29
WLLWL
12
SC
Sassuolo CalcioLDLWD
7
2
2
3
-2
8
1.14
LDLWD
13
TF
Torino FCWDLWL
6
2
1
3
-2
7
1.17
WDLWL
14
BF
Bologna FCLWDLD
7
1
2
4
-4
5
0.71
LWDLD
15
AM
AC MonzaLWLDL
6
1
1
4
-6
4
0.67
LWLDL
16
PC
Parma CalcioLWLDL
6
1
1
4
-6
4
0.67
LWLDL
17
UC
Udinese CalcioLLLLL
7
1
1
5
-7
4
0.57
LLLLL
18
GC
Genoa CFCLWLDL
7
1
1
5
-8
4
0.57
LWLDL
19
AF
ACF FiorentinaLLDWL
7
1
1
5
-9
4
0.57
LLDWL
20
VF
Venezia FCWLLLL
7
1
0
6
-10
3
0.43
WLLLL
Champions League UEFA Europa League Conference League Qualification Relegation

Lazio vs Parma Calcio: pre-match stats

For each team, in how many of its recent matches did this happen? Based on its last 10 matches, in any competition.

Part of the match
Which matches
What to look at
Total goals in the match: over or under 0.5
Lazio
Under
0% · 0 of 10
Over
100% · 10 of 10
Parma Calcio
Under
0% · 0 of 10
Over
100% · 10 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 1.5
Lazio
Under
20% · 2 of 10
Over
80% · 8 of 10
Parma Calcio
Under
10% · 1 of 10
Over
90% · 9 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 2.5
Lazio
Under
40% · 4 of 10
Over
60% · 6 of 10
Parma Calcio
Under
70% · 7 of 10
Over
30% · 3 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 3.5
Lazio
Under
70% · 7 of 10
Over
30% · 3 of 10
Parma Calcio
Under
100% · 10 of 10
Over
0% · 0 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 4.5
Lazio
Under
90% · 9 of 10
Over
10% · 1 of 10
Parma Calcio
Under
100% · 10 of 10
Over
0% · 0 of 10
Our three best bets
Over 1.5 · total goals
73% chance
Lazio to win
65% chance
both teams to score: No
55% chance
Best value
Lazio to win
65% chance
Under 2.5 · total goals
51% chance
Lazio
Last 10 games
1.9
scored a game
1
conceded a game
Both teams scored50% of games
Over 2.5 goals60% of games
Kept a clean sheet40% of games
Parma Calcio
Last 10 games
0.7
scored a game
1.5
conceded a game
Both teams scored40% of games
Over 2.5 goals30% of games
Kept a clean sheet10% of games
Lazio
  • Out · Alessio Furlanetto (Goalkeeper) — Injured
  • AGOut · Albert Gudmundsson (Forward) — Injured
Parma Calcio
  • Out · Hans Nicolussi Caviglia (Forward) — Injured
  • Out · Pontus Almqvist (Forward) — Injured
  • Out · Nesta Elphege (Forward) — Ill
Serie A
11 Oct 2026 · 14:00
LazioL
3-1
MMonza
Serie A
18 Oct 2026 · 19:45
JuventusJ
0-3
LLazio
Goals scored
13
2.6 per game
Goals conceded
6
1.2 per game
Serie A
20 Sep 2026 · 14:00
Parma CalcioPC
2-1
GGenoa
Serie A
10 Oct 2026 · 17:00
InterI
3-0
PCParma Calcio
Goals scored
4
0.8 per game
Goals conceded
9
1.8 per game