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18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

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18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

Serie A · Round 8
Inter
Fiorentina
12:30Sun
71%
12%
Draw17%

Inter are the stronger side

WDWLW

last 5 games

WWDLL

last 5 games

Stadium
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza, Milan · 80,018 seats
Managers
Cristian Chivu · Paolo Vanoli
Preview

Inter are 1st of 20 in Serie A 26/27, with 19 points from 7 games played.

Fiorentina are 19th of 20, with 4 points from 7 games played.

Over their last 10, Inter scored 2.6 and conceded 1.5 a game on average, and both teams scored in 70% of those.

Fiorentina scored 1.6 and conceded 1.9 a game over the same span, and both teams scored in 70%.

Inter last played Bologna (away) and won 3-1.

Fiorentina last played Como (at home) and lost 1-3.

Head-to-head, Inter has 5W 1D 0L from the last 6 meetings, averaging 2.67 goals a game.

Last 5 matches

Every competition. Scores are coloured from each team's side: green won, orange drew, red lost. Tap the arrow to see the first half.

18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

Inter
3Win1Draw1Loss
Serie A
14 Sep 2026 · 19:45
InterI
5-3
UUdinese
Serie A
19 Sep 2026 · 17:00
RomaR
2-2
IInter
Serie A
10 Oct 2026 · 17:00
InterI
3-0
PCParma Calcio
Fiorentina
2Win1Draw2Loss
Serie A
11 Sep 2026 · 19:45
VeneziaV
2-4
FFiorentina
Coppa Italia
15 Sep 2026 · 20:00
FiorentinaF
3-0
PPisa
Serie A
20 Sep 2026 · 11:30
FiorentinaF
1-1
NNapoli

First half goals

Goals scoredper gameGoals concededper game
71.461.2
40.861.2

Final goals

Goals scoredper gameGoals concededper game
163.2102
10281.6
Events
Team

Inter scored in 15 of their last 15 matches

Inter over 0.5 goals · 92% chanceInter over 1.5 goals · 71% chance
15 / 15
Goals scored

Inter scored in 15 of their last 15 home matches

Inter over 0.5 goals · 92% chanceInter over 1.5 goals · 71% chance
15 / 15
Goals scored

Inter haven't lost in 15 of their last 15 matches in Serie A

Inter or draw · 88% chance
15 / 15
Unbeaten

Inter won or saw over 2.5 goals in 14 of their last 15 matches

Inter to win or over 2.5 goals · 85% chance
14 / 15
Won or over 2.5 goals

14 of Inter's last 15 home matches had over 1.5 goals

Over 1.5 goals · 86% chance
14 / 15
Total goals: +1.5

14 of Inter's last 15 home matches had a goal in the 2nd half

Over 0.5 goals in the 2nd half · 85% chance
14 / 15
Total goals 2nd Half: +0.5

Inter scored in 14 of their last 15 away matches

Inter over 0.5 goals · 92% chanceInter over 1.5 goals · 71% chance
14 / 15
Goals scored

14 of Inter's last 15 matches had over 1.5 goals in Serie A

Over 1.5 goals · 86% chance
14 / 15
Total goals: +1.5

A pattern in past results, not a prediction. Each one shows the longest run of recent games where it held at least 80% of the time.

Standings of Inter and Fiorentina in Serie A

#
Team
MP
W
D
L
GD
Pts
PPG
Last 5
1
IM
Inter MilanoWWDWW
7
6
1
0
+12
19
2.71
WWDWW
2
LR
Lazio RomeWWWDW
7
6
1
0
+10
19
2.71
WWWDW
3
AR
AS RomaWDDWW
7
5
2
0
+13
17
2.43
WDDWW
4
AM
AC MilanWDWDD
7
4
3
0
+7
15
2.14
WDWDD
5
C1
Como 1907WDLWW
7
4
2
1
+5
14
2
WDLWW
6
FC
Frosinone CalcioWLWDW
7
4
1
2
+4
13
1.86
WLWDW
7
CC
Cagliari CalcioDWWWL
6
4
1
1
+3
13
2.17
DWWWL
8
JT
Juventus TurinLDWLD
7
3
2
2
+1
11
1.57
LDWLD
9
SN
SSC NapoliLWDWL
7
3
1
3
+3
10
1.43
LWDWL
10
AB
Atalanta BCLWLLL
7
3
0
4
-1
9
1.29
LWLLL
11
UL
US LecceWLLWL
7
3
0
4
-3
9
1.29
WLLWL
12
SC
Sassuolo CalcioLDLWD
7
2
2
3
-2
8
1.14
LDLWD
13
TF
Torino FCWDLWL
6
2
1
3
-2
7
1.17
WDLWL
14
BF
Bologna FCLWDLD
7
1
2
4
-4
5
0.71
LWDLD
15
AM
AC MonzaLWLDL
6
1
1
4
-6
4
0.67
LWLDL
16
PC
Parma CalcioLWLDL
6
1
1
4
-6
4
0.67
LWLDL
17
UC
Udinese CalcioLLLLL
7
1
1
5
-7
4
0.57
LLLLL
18
GC
Genoa CFCLWLDL
7
1
1
5
-8
4
0.57
LWLDL
19
AF
ACF FiorentinaLLDWL
7
1
1
5
-9
4
0.57
LLDWL
20
VF
Venezia FCWLLLL
7
1
0
6
-10
3
0.43
WLLLL
Champions League UEFA Europa League Conference League Qualification Relegation

Inter vs Fiorentina: pre-match stats

For each team, in how many of its recent matches did this happen? Based on its last 10 matches, in any competition.

Part of the match
Which matches
What to look at
Total goals in the match: over or under 0.5
Inter
Under
0% · 0 of 10
Over
100% · 10 of 10
Fiorentina
Under
0% · 0 of 10
Over
100% · 10 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 1.5
Inter
Under
20% · 2 of 10
Over
80% · 8 of 10
Fiorentina
Under
0% · 0 of 10
Over
100% · 10 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 2.5
Inter
Under
20% · 2 of 10
Over
80% · 8 of 10
Fiorentina
Under
20% · 2 of 10
Over
80% · 8 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 3.5
Inter
Under
40% · 4 of 10
Over
60% · 6 of 10
Fiorentina
Under
60% · 6 of 10
Over
40% · 4 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 4.5
Inter
Under
60% · 6 of 10
Over
40% · 4 of 10
Fiorentina
Under
80% · 8 of 10
Over
20% · 2 of 10
Our three best bets
Inter to win
69% chance
Over 2.5 · total goals
66% chance
both teams to score: Yes
57% chance
Best value
Inter to win
69% chance
Under 3.5 · total goals
55% chance
Inter
Last 10 games
2.6
scored a game
1.5
conceded a game
Both teams scored70% of games
Over 2.5 goals80% of games
Kept a clean sheet30% of games
Fiorentina
Last 10 games
1.6
scored a game
1.9
conceded a game
Both teams scored70% of games
Over 2.5 goals80% of games
Kept a clean sheet10% of games
Inter
  • Out · Curtis Jones (Midfielder) — Injured
  • Out · Lautaro Martinez (Forward) — Injured
Fiorentina

Nobody listed.

UEFA Champions League
13 Oct 2026 · 20:00
InterI
3-4
CBClub Brugge
Serie A
17 Oct 2026 · 17:00
BolognaB
1-3
IInter
Goals scored
16
3.2 per game
Goals conceded
10
2 per game
Serie A
10 Oct 2026 · 14:00
GenoaG
2-1
FFiorentina
Serie A
18 Oct 2026 · 14:00
FiorentinaF
1-3
CComo
Goals scored
10
2 per game
Goals conceded
8
1.6 per game