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18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

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18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

Serie A · Round 8
Atalanta
Frosinone
15:00Sun
55%
23%
Draw22%

Atalanta are the stronger side

LLWWL

last 5 games

WDWLW

last 5 games

Stadium
New Balance Arena, Bergamo · 24,950 seats
Managers
Maurizio Sarri · Massimiliano Alvini
Odds have moved in the last 24h — not advice, just worth knowing before you bet: 1X2: Away 4.52→4.29 (-5.1%), Draw No Bet: Away 3.40→3.25 (-4.4%)
Preview

Atalanta are 10th of 20 in Serie A 26/27, with 9 points from 7 games played.

Frosinone are 6th of 20, with 13 points from 7 games played.

Over their last 10, Atalanta scored 1.4 and conceded 1.2 a game on average, and both teams scored in 60% of those.

Frosinone scored 2.2 and conceded 1.7 a game over the same span, and both teams scored in 60%.

Atalanta last played Milan (away) and lost 2-3.

Frosinone last played Sassuolo (at home) and won 4-2.

Head-to-head, Atalanta has 4W 1D 1L from the last 6 meetings, averaging 3.17 goals a game.

Last 5 matches

Every competition. Scores are coloured from each team's side: green won, orange drew, red lost. Tap the arrow to see the first half.

18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

Atalanta
2Win0Draw3Loss
Serie A
12 Sep 2026 · 19:45
AtalantaA
1-2
CCagliari
Serie A
20 Sep 2026 · 17:00
JuventusJ
2-0
AAtalanta
Serie A
12 Oct 2026 · 17:30
AtalantaA
3-1
VVenezia
Frosinone
3Win1Draw1Loss
Serie A
06 Sep 2026 · 14:00
FrosinoneF
3-2
VVenezia
Serie A
12 Sep 2026 · 14:00
GenoaG
1-1
FFrosinone
Serie A
20 Sep 2026 · 14:00
FrosinoneF
2-0
CComo

First half goals

Goals scoredper gameGoals concededper game
71.451
81.640.8

Final goals

Goals scoredper gameGoals concededper game
91.891.8
10281.6
Events
Team

Atalanta didn't draw in 14 of their last 15 matches

Atalanta or Frosinone (no draw) · 78% chance
14 / 15
No draws

14 of Atalanta's last 15 away matches had over 1.5 goals

Over 1.5 goals · 86% chance
14 / 15
Total goals: +1.5

Atalanta scored in 14 of their last 15 away matches

Atalanta over 0.5 goals · 88% chanceAtalanta over 1.5 goals · 63% chance
14 / 15
Goals scored

14 of Atalanta's last 15 away matches had a goal in the 2nd half

Over 0.5 goals in the 2nd half · 86% chance
14 / 15
Total goals 2nd Half: +0.5

Frosinone scored in 14 of their last 15 home matches

Frosinone over 0.5 goals · 74% chanceFrosinone over 1.5 goals · 39% chance
14 / 15
Goals scored

14 of Frosinone's last 15 away matches had over 1.5 goals

Over 1.5 goals · 86% chance
14 / 15
Total goals: +1.5

Frosinone scored in 14 of their last 15 away matches

Frosinone over 0.5 goals · 74% chanceFrosinone over 1.5 goals · 39% chance
14 / 15
Goals scored

14 of Frosinone's last 15 away matches had a goal in the 2nd half

Over 0.5 goals in the 2nd half · 86% chance
14 / 15
Total goals 2nd Half: +0.5

A pattern in past results, not a prediction. Each one shows the longest run of recent games where it held at least 80% of the time.

Standings of Atalanta and Frosinone in Serie A

#
Team
MP
W
D
L
GD
Pts
PPG
Last 5
1
IM
Inter MilanoWWDWW
7
6
1
0
+12
19
2.71
WWDWW
2
LR
Lazio RomeWWWDW
7
6
1
0
+10
19
2.71
WWWDW
3
AR
AS RomaWDDWW
7
5
2
0
+13
17
2.43
WDDWW
4
AM
AC MilanWDWDD
7
4
3
0
+7
15
2.14
WDWDD
5
C1
Como 1907WDLWW
7
4
2
1
+5
14
2
WDLWW
6
FC
Frosinone CalcioWLWDW
7
4
1
2
+4
13
1.86
WLWDW
7
CC
Cagliari CalcioDWWWL
6
4
1
1
+3
13
2.17
DWWWL
8
JT
Juventus TurinLDWLD
7
3
2
2
+1
11
1.57
LDWLD
9
SN
SSC NapoliLWDWL
7
3
1
3
+3
10
1.43
LWDWL
10
AB
Atalanta BCLWLLL
7
3
0
4
-1
9
1.29
LWLLL
11
UL
US LecceWLLWL
7
3
0
4
-3
9
1.29
WLLWL
12
SC
Sassuolo CalcioLDLWD
7
2
2
3
-2
8
1.14
LDLWD
13
TF
Torino FCWDLWL
6
2
1
3
-2
7
1.17
WDLWL
14
BF
Bologna FCLWDLD
7
1
2
4
-4
5
0.71
LWDLD
15
AM
AC MonzaLWLDL
6
1
1
4
-6
4
0.67
LWLDL
16
PC
Parma CalcioLWLDL
6
1
1
4
-6
4
0.67
LWLDL
17
UC
Udinese CalcioLLLLL
7
1
1
5
-7
4
0.57
LLLLL
18
GC
Genoa CFCLWLDL
7
1
1
5
-8
4
0.57
LWLDL
19
AF
ACF FiorentinaLLDWL
7
1
1
5
-9
4
0.57
LLDWL
20
VF
Venezia FCWLLLL
7
1
0
6
-10
3
0.43
WLLLL
Champions League UEFA Europa League Conference League Qualification Relegation

Atalanta vs Frosinone: pre-match stats

For each team, in how many of its recent matches did this happen? Based on its last 10 matches, in any competition.

Part of the match
Which matches
What to look at
Total goals in the match: over or under 0.5
Atalanta
Under
10% · 1 of 10
Over
90% · 9 of 10
Frosinone
Under
0% · 0 of 10
Over
100% · 10 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 1.5
Atalanta
Under
30% · 3 of 10
Over
70% · 7 of 10
Frosinone
Under
10% · 1 of 10
Over
90% · 9 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 2.5
Atalanta
Under
40% · 4 of 10
Over
60% · 6 of 10
Frosinone
Under
30% · 3 of 10
Over
70% · 7 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 3.5
Atalanta
Under
70% · 7 of 10
Over
30% · 3 of 10
Frosinone
Under
60% · 6 of 10
Over
40% · 4 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 4.5
Atalanta
Under
90% · 9 of 10
Over
10% · 1 of 10
Frosinone
Under
60% · 6 of 10
Over
40% · 4 of 10
Our three best bets
Atalanta (draw no bet)
71% chance
Over 2.5 · total goals
67% chance
both teams to score: Yes
65% chance
Best value
both teams to score: Yes
65% chance
Atalanta to win
55% chance
Atalanta
Last 10 games
1.4
scored a game
1.2
conceded a game
Both teams scored60% of games
Over 2.5 goals60% of games
Kept a clean sheet30% of games
Frosinone
Last 10 games
2.2
scored a game
1.7
conceded a game
Both teams scored60% of games
Over 2.5 goals70% of games
Kept a clean sheet20% of games
Atalanta
  • Out · Isak Hien (Defender) — Injured
  • Out · Odilon Kossounou (Defender) — Injured
  • Out · Giorgio Scalvini (Defender) — Injured
Frosinone
  • Out · Florian Grillitsch (Midfielder) — Injured
  • DBOut · Daniel Birligea (Forward) — Injured
UEFA Conference League
15 Oct 2026 · 20:00
AtalantaA
3-1
PPafos
Serie A
18 Oct 2026 · 17:00
MilanM
3-2
AAtalanta
Goals scored
9
1.8 per game
Goals conceded
9
1.8 per game
Serie A
10 Oct 2026 · 19:45
NapoliN
3-0
FFrosinone
Serie A
16 Oct 2026 · 19:45
FrosinoneF
4-2
SSassuolo
Goals scored
10
2 per game
Goals conceded
8
1.6 per game